If only Britt could stay healthy...
Successful fantasy owners know that once NFL regular-season action is in full swing, hype has no place impacting roster decisions. Aside from injuries and injury replacements, roster moves and start/sit decisions should be made on statistics—what players have produced this season and where they are trending.
Still, players appear on fantasy rosters and in starting roles because of hype, and they could be robbing your fantasy team of valuable points. This season has seen Reggie Bush (Top 10 fantasy scorer through Week 3) rise to meet the hype. Others are still falling short of meeting expectations with production. It’s time to reevaluate these five fantasy players who were hyped coming into the season.
Speculative hope turned into hype for fantasy football owners who ended up using (on average) a first-round pick to draft the Titans’ struggling RB. Johnson’s draft position was in large part based on his elite 2009 season and last year’s promising finish.
Over the last six games of 2011, Johnson averaged 5.3 yards per carry. It suggested a return to the form that made him the league’s leading rusher two seasons ago. But Johnson has not picked up where he left off and has averaged a pathetic 1.4 YPC in 2012.
The Titans picked up their first victory of the season in Week 3 over the Lions, 44-41, but Johnson was not a contributing factor. Second-year QB Jake Locker threw for 378 yards, two TDs and even out-rushed Johnson 35 yards to 24.
Wilson was being drafted as a top handcuff based on projections that he would be the No. 2 guy in New York. Wilson went in Round 11 of a B/R Writer’s Mock Draft prior to the season.
An injury to Bradshaw, which could have been a windfall for Wilson owners, instead turned into an opportunity for Andre Brown. Brown leapfrogged Wilson on the depth chart with his performance against the Panthers last week, making it unlikely that Wilson will be a fantasy asset this season.
There was serious debate whether Meachem or Malcom Floyd would be the Chargers' No. 1 receiver in 2012. For the record, I picked Floyd. But the fantasy owners who went with the hype on Meachem are now left wanting. Through three games this season, Floyd has out-produced Meachem 27 fantasy points to eight in ESPN standard scoring.
The arguments for Meachem were based on his leaving a crowded receiving corps in New Orleans to become the go-to guy in San Diego.
Meachem’s best season was a 722-yard, nine-TD effort in 2009, but he hasn't looked in top form yet in 2012. He was completely shut out in Week 2 and had just four catches in both Weeks 1 and 3.
Britt is an exceptional talent that has been unable to sustain any type of elite production. He has shown the potential to be a fantasy stud, but only suited up for a full season once during his rookie season
Britt was on the verge of a breakout season with 271 yards receiving and three TDs in the first two weeks of 2011. But just like in 2010, when Britt’s season was derailed by a hamstring injury that caused him to miss four games, a Week 3 knee injury ended his year early.
An ankle injury sustained in Week 3 this season isn’t likely to put Britt’s 2012 season in jeopardy yet, but it does lessen the probability of him reaching his full potential and elite fantasy status.
Wilson scored six touchdowns in the preseason (five passing, one rushing) and threw only one interception. Three of his TDs came on runs of 30-plus yards. Fantasy owners bought into the hype and some even started Wilson in Week 1, but his resulting production has not been at the level of a fantasy starter.
The Seahawks are 2-1 and Wilson has certainly played a part in their success, but games of eight, 12 and 14 fantasy points are far less than spectacular, especially with fellow rookie Robert Griffin III (living up to the hype) putting up 24, 30 and 24 points in the first three weeks.
Wilson is certainly doing a more than sufficient job as the Seahawks’ QB, but he is not yet the fantasy superstar he was hyped to be after his monstrous preseason.