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Cox is on the move, all the way up to the six-spot.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Trent Richardson, RB, University of Alabama
Contract prediction: four years, fully guaranteed, $20.9 million, $12.3 million signing bonus
6. St. Louis Rams (from Washington Redskins): Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi State University
Contract prediction: four years, fully guaranteed, $18.35 million, $10.6 million signing bonus
Analysis: Along with at least one other draftnik, this is as high as the industry has mocked Cox at this point in the process to my knowledge. Blackmon is still the consensus pick at this spot and I think we are going to find out just how smart and disciplined Les Snead is based on the execution of this selection.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars: Quinton Coples, DE, University of North Carolina
Contract prediction: four years, fully guaranteed, $16.3 million, $9.25 million signing bonus
Analysis: Since taking the reins in Jacksonville in January 2009, this will be general manager Gene Smith's fourth consecutive draft in this range on the board.
His first-round picks—2009 left tackle Eugene Monroe, 2010 defensive tackle Tyson Alualu and 2011 quarterback Blaine Gabbert—have been complete disasters in their six combined career seasons save for Monroe in 2011. The blindside bookend appeared to hit his stride in his third campaign.
What I glean from this somewhat abbreviated sample is that Smith has struggled with the execution of these picks but that he is also not averse to selecting players that may be slow-starters.
Coples fits this bill, as there is ample industry support that he is the most talented defensive end prospect in the class. Others, myself included, think he fits better as a five-technique in a 3-4 alignment and that his lack of suddenness, agility and motor will limit him as a pass-rusher.
8. Miami Dolphins: Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M University
Contract prediction: four years, fully guaranteed, $14.25 million, $7.9 million signing bonus