NFL Picks Week 12: Home Teams Sure to Cover the Spread
With the NFL entering its final quarter on Thanksgiving week, plenty of fans and players everywhere have plenty to be thankful for. But for gambling fans, some should be thanking the NFL schedule makers.
Week 12's slate of games features a good number of squads who are sure to win their Week 12 home games, and for fans who want to take the easy covers, the schedule couldn't look better.
Who are some home squads sure to cover the spread in Week 12? Let's take a look.
All spreads are courtesy of footballlocks.com.
Dallas Favored Against Miami (-7)
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Don't look now, but the Miami Dolphins are on a three-game winning streak.
They decimated Kansas City, Washington and now Buffalo and head into Dallas with a confidence that was completely unexpected just three weeks ago.
That momentum will be stopped in Dallas, where the Cowboys are also on a three-game winning streak and have a wild-card spot to be playing for.
No matter how inconsistent Tony Romo has played this season, he is fully capable of beating the Dolphins. The Cowboys offense may not be completely healthy, but they are still able to put up big numbers and they will do so at home against Miami.
Prediction: Dallas 30, Miami 10
New York Jets Favored Against Buffalo (-8)
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Remember just three weeks ago when Buffalo and the New York Jets were tied and were in control of the AFC wild-card spots? How the mighty have stumbled.
But when it comes down to it, the Jets should easily take this one at home. The Jets already bested the Bills 27-11 in Buffalo, and the Bills have lost three straight games by a combined 80 points. The Jets may be inconsistent, but the Bills are downright sinking.
While it may be hard to trust Mark Sanchez, it's much harder to trust that Buffalo can keep a road game close. Take the Jets to cover the spread.
Prediction: New York 20, Buffalo 10
Cincinnati Favored Against Cleveland (-7.5)
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For the Bengals, Thanksgiving is the eye of the storm. They just lost two straight games to their division-rivaling Steelers and Ravens, and will still have to face both teams again before the end of the regular season.
But at least for this Sunday, they get a shot at a much less threatening team. The Browns are 4-6 but are a worse team than their record indicates.
AJ Green will hopefully be healthy this week for Cincinnati, so expect the Bengals to get back on track with a good win over Cleveland.
Prediction: Bengals 26, Browns 9
Atlanta Favored Against Minnesota (-9.5)
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After a setback against the Saints in Week 10, the Falcons got back on track with a 23-17 win over Tennessee and are in the serious hunt for a wild-card spot.
Minnesota played well against a dysfunctional Oakland team and lost 27-21 in Minneapolis. But with Atlanta's defense and the continued performance of Michael Turner, the Falcons have all the tools and the proper motivation to wipe the floor with the Vikings.
Atlanta needs all the wins they can get if they hope to secure a wild-card spot, so expect them to be plenty ready to take on Minnesota at home.
Prediction: Atlanta 29, Vikings 17
Oakland Favored Against Chicago (-4.5)
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If Jay Cutler was healthy, this line would look somewhat silly.
Unfortunately for the Bears, Caleb Hanie is starting now. Cutler's broken thumb will likely cost them a shot at the playoffs.
It's a shame since in the last few weeks, Chicago has been as good as any team in the league. But now they head into Oakland, where, on the flip side, the Raiders are finally getting healthy.
Even if Darren McFadden doesn't return or is limited in his playing time, backup Michael Bush has been as good as any running back in the business.
Chicago's defense won't be limited by Cutler's injury, but their offense sure will, and Oakland needs this win to continue holding onto their division lead.
Prediction: Oakland 23, Chicago 13