NFL Picks Week 8: Early Predictions on Las Vegas Betting Odds

Jeff Grant@@JeffGrantSportsContributor IOctober 24, 2011

NFL Picks Week 8: Early Predictions on Las Vegas Betting Odds

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    The sports betting world is already looking ahead due to seven lines being released by Las Vegas oddsmakers for Week 8 of the NFL season.

    Bettors found little advantage in terms of betting trends before Sunday night's contest between the Indianapolis Colts and New Orleans Saints, as favorites were 5-5-1 ATS, while the "under" held a slim 6-5 edge.

    Let's take an early look at next week from a betting perspective.

Minnesota at Carolina (-3)

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    Sharp money immediately took the Minnesota Vikings as four-point road underdogs next week against the Carolina Panthers.

    The move is clearly aimed at backing Vikings running back Adrian Peterson against a Panthers stop unit that ranks 29th in the league in allowing 133.4 rushing yards per game.

    Carolina is 2-0 ATS as a favorite this season, including a 33-20 win over the Washington Redskins when laying 1.5 points at home Sunday.

    Both teams will enjoy a bye week after next Sunday's meeting, offering no advantage for either side in terms of scheduling.

Miami at New York Giants (-10)

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    Oddsmakers have sent out the New York Giants at this number before, resulting in a 36-25 loss to the Seattle Seahawks as 10-point home favorites.

    Very interesting that the Miami Dolphins are sent out at the same betting odds, especially after scoring just 21 points combined in two games since their bye week.

    Giants quarterback Eli Manning better get his team focused after a week off, as a slip-up here could be costly.

    The last nine games on New York's schedule are arguably the toughest in football.

Washington at Buffalo (-4.5)

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    The Washington Redskins have registered a minus-five turnover margin in two losses since coming off a bye week, including a 33-20 loss to the Carolina Panthers as 1.5-point road underdogs.

    Not exactly a recipe for success against a team that leads the AFC with a plus-nine turnover margin and coming off a week of rest.

    Bettors will also find that the Bills are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings with the Redskins.

New England (-2.5) at Pittsburgh

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    Turnover differential could play a key part in this contest, as New England Patriots hold a plus-11 advantage over the Pittsburgh Steelers.

    Last year's meeting resulted in a 39-26 win for the Patriots as 4.5-point road favorites, which was actually a 23-3 advantage before 39 points were scored in the final 15 minutes.

    Trend players will find that the Steelers are 27-3 ATS when playing with revenge in October, while the Patriots have covered six of seven in the Steel City.

    The marquee game of Week 8 in the AFC.

Cleveland at San Francisco (-8.5)

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    San Francisco 49ers head coach Jim Harbaugh has caught the attention of oddsmakers, being sent out as 8.5-point home favorites against the Cleveland Browns.

    Quite an inflated price when considering the team hasn't been a favorite of more than six points this season.

    Cleveland is 1-1 ATS on the year away from home, missing by a half-point in a 24-17 loss to the Oakland Raiders as seven-point underdogs in Week 6.

    Too early to tell, but the Browns do carry in the fourth-best defense in the league in terms of total yards, but they really haven't played a top-flight offense all year.

    San Francisco certainly doesn't fall into that category, coming in with the 27th-ranked offense, but facing much tougher opponents.

    Interesting betting odds for this matchup.

Dallas at Philadelphia (-3.5)

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    Definitely a play-it-safe line sent out by the oddsmakers for this NFC East rivalry, but Philadelphia will likely draw plenty of wagering attention due to head coach Andy Reid being 9-2 ATS off the bye.

    The Dallas Cowboys evened their record at 3-3 on the season with a 34-7 blowout win over the St. Louis Rams, as rookie running back DeMarco Murray gained 253 rushing yards.

    With the last 11 Cowboys' games being decided by four points or less, sharp bettors may drive this line up before taking the road underdogs.

    Watch closely.

San Diego (-3.5) at Kansas City

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    The San Diego Chargers are arguably the most difficult team to handicap, posting a 2-4 ATS mark on the year, coming off a 27-21 loss to the New York Jets as one-point road favorites Sunday.

    It's quite alarming that Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers was held scoreless in the second half of the contest, especially when having two weeks to prepare for the game.

    Kansas City will be playing with revenge in mind, falling 20-17 as 14.5-point road underdogs in San Diego in Week 3.

    Bettors will notice that the Chiefs were four-point home underdogs at Arrowhead Stadium in last year's 21-14 season-opening win over the Chargers on "Monday Night Football."

    Very familiar situation, but San Diego held a 389-to-197 advantage in total yards in that game.

    The Chiefs will be riding in on a three-game win streak, which will draw more public wagers than usual, causing me to think twice in jumping in on the home underdog.