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Last year Brandon Lloyd was the best receiver in fantasy football, mostly thanks to the Broncos’ incredibly high pass count. That doesn’t mean that Lloyd is overrated, however.
Lloyd has never had his athleticism or skills questioned in his tumultuous eight-year career. He has been in a coach’s doghouse once or twice before in his career, which may have added to his poor career stats.
Lloyd is a dynamic receiver who has had virtually all of his career success with Kyle Orton as the quarterback. Even in his short stint with the Bears, Lloyd recorded nearly all of stats in the early going with Orton as the quarterback.
We don’t expect Lloyd to record over 1,400 yards again, and would be shocked if he did better than 11 touchdowns this season. That being said, Lloyd is now the most proven receiver on the team with the departure of Jabar Gaffney to Washington.
Lloyd will likely still record around 65-70 catches, but you can certainly expect a regression. Right now, Lloyd is being drafted 49th overall, and is typically the 18th receiver off of the board in fantasy football drafts.
We think Lloyd should be looked at cautiously because of his injury-riddled past and questionable mental toughness. Lloyd is going to be the main receiver for Orton, however, so he may be worthy of being in the top 15 this season.
Starting opposite of Lloyd will be either Eddie Royal, who is coming off of hip surgery, or Eric Decker. Royal represents a very quick possession receiver playing the slot. Decker is more of a down-field threat. Whoever wins the battle for No. 2 represents a far greater value than the other in this offense.
In other words, don’t expect too many three-receiver sets in Denver.