Fantasy Football: Michael Vick and 5 Guys Everyone Will Overdraft
I'm sure that Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Michael Vick won many a fantasy league last year for his owners.
But 2011 is a different year and owners need to forget about what happened at the end of last year. On most occasions, only the real superstars of the game are able to back up as strong a season as Vick had last year.
The following is a list of five top 100 ranked players that will be overdrafted in fantasy football leagues this season.
5. BenJarvus Green-Ellis, RB, NE
Green-Ellis was a major part of the great regular season New England put together in 2010. His first 1,000 yeard season really came out of nowhere after being limited to back up duties in years past.
The major problem that "Law Firm" faces this season is a crowded roster of running backs the Patriots possess. Head coach Bill Belichek has been known throughout his tenure with New England to mix and match his running backs.
Ellis' work ethic will no doubt keep him in the mix for carries this season, but it seems unlikely that he will reach the 229 carries he had in 2000. I would not risk a middle-round pick on any Patriots running back as long as Brady is at the healm.
4. Anquan Boldin, WR, BAL
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While the addition of Lee Evans by the Ravens should help Boldin some, he will still likely be overdrafted.
Boldin was not the same player he was with Arizona last year in Baltimore and needs a huge turnaround this year to live up to his name.
With the exception of a 3-touchdown, 142-yard performance against the Browns in Week 2, Boldin was an average NFL wideout at best. It was clearly evident he missed the arm of Kurt Warner and the attention drawn by Larry Fitzgerald.
Evans at least gives Baltimore a decent deep threat that they lacked in 2010. That should draw some attention away from Boldin, but the most important thing for him will be developing a better rapport with Joe Flacco.
3. Daniel Thomas, RB, MIA
One lesson learned from 2010 is that no matter what the hype is behind rookie running backs, it takes them some time to adjust to the NFL. San Diego running back Ryan Matthews was drafted among the top runners in the game, but ended up losing his job to a fullback.
This year should prove to be even tougher for rookies because of the lockout. A very limited training camp took some precious time away from younger players.
Thomas also has to deal with being in one of the weaker offenses in the NFL. The Dolphins are a team that has almost no confidence in both their head coach and quarterback.
The exact role is also not known for the rookie from Kansas State. They have said some great things about off-season signing Reggie Bush, and Thomas should not be drafted as a starter for your fantasy team in standard leagues.
2. Peyton Hillis, RB, CLE
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Hillis was one of the more surprising stories in 2010, but the feature back wore down as the season wore on. He failed to score a single touchdown in the season's final five games.
The former fullback will likely lose some carries to Brandon Jackson and Montario Hardesty this year. But that isn't the biggest concern for Hillis, as that may even help him to stay fresh throughout the season.
The Browns are still projected to be one of the more anemic passing games in all of the NFL, as they did not do much in the off-season to improve in that area. That will allow defenses to stack the box against the run, hurting Hillis' potential.
P.S. Don't forget the proverbial Madden curse!
1. Michael Vick, QB, PHI
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As exciting a pick as Vick might seem to be, I wouldn't even think about drafting him this year, especially based on where he is being taken. The Eagles are one of the most hyped teams going into the season and it can be easy to get caught up in the hoopla.
While I'm somewhat concerned about Vick's injury proneness, his rough finish last year is why there are many red flags against him. After not throwing an interception throughout the first 10 weeks in 2010, he had six picks in his last six starts.
The biggest issue here is that defenses really started to figure out what Vick was doing and how to limit his effectiveness. The quarterback's efforts through the first 10 weeks of 2010 was the best stretch of his career and will be hard for him to match that ever again.
Most people that get Vick will have to draft him among the top five quarterbacks. As long as Vick stays healthy, he is likely to hover around the top ten, but there's no way he should be taken over the likes of Drew Brees, Tom Brady, Peyton Manning and Philip Rivers.