2011 NFL Predictions: Take the Under on 6.5 Wins for the Washington Redskins
Bodog.com is supposedly a big gambling website. It's not hard to see why, with some of the lines they put on their NFL team prop bets. It's time to put the site out of business by betting the under for their line on the Washington Redskins, a team that plays in the very difficult NFC East.
If the team misses the playoffs, it likely won't be due to the schedule; the Redskins have 11 games against teams that missed the playoffs last season.
Here are the top five reasons why the Redskins, unfortunately, won't reach seven wins in 2011.
5: Skill Position Players
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images
Washington has the worst skill position players in the entire NFL, and it's not hard to see that when looking at the roster.
Not getting Santonio Holmes was a blow, even though many fans are sick of big-money free-agent signings.
Maybe Leonard Hankerson, a third-round draft pick, will evolve into a good receiver, but Donte' Stallworth will not work for right now. Re-signing Santana Moss was a must, and he ranks on the lower end of the list of number one receivers anyway.
4: Donovan McNabb Managed Just Six Wins Last Season
Jim McIsaac/Getty Images
The skill position players for Washington are terrible and, while McNabb was consistently bad last season, he still presented the threat of a deep pass, but small receivers can't make a play on the ball with a poor pass.
If a veteran quarterback who played in the division for 11 seasons can't manage single-digit losses, I doubt the other two options can.
3: Defensive Issues
Grant Halverson/Getty Images
Washington's defense has respected veterans, like London Fletcher and DeAngelo Hall, that make plays, but they are not enough against good passing offenses like the New York Giants, Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys.
The defense won't fail the team, but they won't be able to make up for the poor offense with a bend-but-don't-break style that remains despite switching to a 3-4.
Brian Orakpo can get to quarterbacks, but will Ryan Kerrigan do the same with consistency in year one? At least Kerrigan's effort will be there.
2: Andrew Luck
Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images
Would Shanahan possibly seek out a better passer for his helpless team, losing games so he can get the Stanford quarterback? The team has to be sure of getting the number one pick if that's the case.
Getting Andrew Luck would mean Shanahan stays around much longer to help the quarterback develop. The Redskins would have the youngest quarterback in the NFC East, by far, and they could rule the division down the road with their future quarterback and left tackle already in place.
All the talk about the 2012 draft is premature, though, to say the least.
1: Offensive Line Woes
Mitchell Layton/Getty Images
The team had a poor offensive line last season, and they haven't upgraded in the offseason. The starting quarterback this season will get rid of the ball quicker, and with more accuracy, in the short passing game than McNabb.
However, the division has good pass rushers, and the Eagles just added Jason Babin. Washington will want to be conservative and run the ball, but the weakest part of the line is in the middle.
Trent Williams's work ethic was questioned coming into the 2010 NFL Draft, but he better be in shape for the season, because inexperienced quarterback play doesn't blend well with bad blocking against Trent Cole and others.