I have now read more analysis, watched more footage and perused more NFL mock drafts than is normal or reasonable for someone not preparing to actually draft a player on Thursday.
Such is the life of a diehard football fan.
Much of the hype surrounding this year’s draft is centered on the quarterbacks that are likely to be drafted in the first round.
Beyond the hype, most of the insanity is focused squarely on two young men: Cam Newton and Blaine Gabbert.
They are the anointed ones, the guys who will be drafted with the expectation that they will be the face of their new franchise for the next decade.
I don’t envy them.
Few QBs are ready to play as rookies in the NFL, and when they are thrown into the fire too early, the results are often disastrous.
But here we are anyway, with two quarterbacks that played systems in college that didn’t exactly prepare them for the complexity of an NFL offense. Two quarterbacks that will need to improve drastically to be consistent starters. Two quarterbacks that will almost certainly be drafted in the top 10 and be given the keys to the kingdom in short order.
Let’s mock our way through the top 10 in Thursday's first round and look at where Newton and Gabbert will land (and also where they would actually fit best).
Note: The percentages on the following slides represent the likelihood that a team would draft Newton or Gabbert if either player was available.