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Much of this prediction depends on when Ackley is called up, and what kind of spring he has.
He made the transition last season to second base and wood bats. Early struggles were shaken, and he made his way all the way up to Triple-A Tacoma where he held his own.
Though the Arizona Fall League isn't the best barometer, he was its MVP and continued to make great strides.
He's likely to start the season at Tacoma to refine the second base defense and save service time in the majors. This will, I think, help him in his chase for his first award.
There are a few players who may stand in his way, however.
The Royals' Mike Moustakas is a strong candidate, who could hit 20-plus home runs in his rookie campaign. While Ackley stands to get on base a ton, steal some bases and inject energy into a flailing franchise, voters might be too busy marveling over Moustakas' power to notice.
Another guy in the running will be Tampa's Jeremy Hellickson, who could make his first big league start on his 24th birthday, depending on where he's slotted in the rotation.
Hellickson may break camp with the Rays who want to compete, while Moustakas likely will be held off until May for service time reasons. Pitchers are wildly unpredictable, especially young ones on pitch counts. So, Moustakas will probably be the biggest competition.
There are others who stand to break into the bigs this season that could make a charge, but I'm predicting a second-place finish for Ackley as he also competes for an OBP title.
With a little luck in the form of struggles from Moustakas, Ackley could burst onto the scene with a piece of hardware to show for it.