
A Statistical Approach: 30 Greatest Quarterbacks in NFL History
“Sure, luck means a lot in football. Not having a good quarterback is bad luck.”
-Don Shula
Rather than let bias skew my rankings, I created a formula (depicted above) to do the sorting for me.
This formula uses 18 different variables, each weighted in such a way that no one attribute, such as a high quarterback rating or low playoff win average, will cheat a worthy quarterback out of a good score. It looks at a quarterback's entire body of work.
I do not have the time to test every quarterback in NFL history using this formula, so I picked 30 well-known quarterbacks, both from the past and present. For this reason, this list is not a true "Top 30," however, it gives a rather good indication because most of the NFL's most iconic quarterbacks are included.
Below are the 30 quarterbacks that are included in this list, arranged in alphabetical order:
(NOTE: Is not the ordered list, just an alphabetical overview of the quarterbacks I test.)
Troy Aikman
Drew Bledsoe
Terry Bradshaw
Tom Brady
Drew Brees
Len Dawson
John Elway
Boomer Esiason
Brett Favre
Dan Fouts
Jim Kelly
Peyton Manning
Dan Marino
Donovan McNabb
Steve McNair
Joe Montana
Warren Moon
Joe Namath
Philip Rivers
Aaron Rodgers
Ben Roethlisberger
Phil Simms
Ken Stabler
Bart Starr
Roger Staubach
Fran Tarkenton
Joe Theismann
Johnny Unitas
Kurt Warner
Steve Young
30. Joe Namath
1 of 30
Score: 40.351
29. Aaron Rodgers
2 of 30
Score: 40.753
28. Boomer Esiason
3 of 30
Score: 42.664
27. Drew Bledsoe
4 of 30
Score: 43.156
26. Dan Fouts
5 of 30
Score: 44.164
25. Warren Moon
6 of 30
Score: 48.490
24. Philip Rivers
7 of 30
Score: 49.707
23. Drew Brees
8 of 30
Score: 50.178
22. Phil Simms
9 of 30
Score: 54.042
21. Len Dawson
10 of 30
Score: 56.471
20. Steve McNair
11 of 30
Score: 58.471
19. Troy Aikman
12 of 30
Score: 58.676
18. Kurt Warner
13 of 30
Score: 60.801
17. Joe Theismann
14 of 30
Score: 61.008
16. Jim Kelly
15 of 30
Score: 61.101
15. Ken Stabler
16 of 30
Score: 61.416
14. Bart Starr
17 of 30
Score: 61.772
13. Fran Tarkenton
18 of 30
Score: 62.026
12. Dan Marino
19 of 30
Score: 65.439
11. Donovan McNabb
20 of 30
Score: 65.874
10. Ben Roethlisberger
21 of 30
Score: 71.612
9. Terry Bradshaw
22 of 30
Score: 72.664
8. Johnny Unitas
23 of 30
Score: 76.071
7. Roger Staubach
24 of 30
Score: 81.474
6. Steve Young
25 of 30
Score: 82.831
5. Brett Favre
26 of 30
Score: 83.973
4. John Elway
27 of 30
Score: 86.174
3. Peyton Manning
28 of 30
Score: 90.933
2. Joe Montana
29 of 30
Score: 92.024
1. Tom Brady
30 of 30
Score: 94.451
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