
MLB's 11 Burning Questions for the New Year
Even though we are in the thick of Bowl Season and the NFL Playoffs are looming large on the sports landscape, it’s never too early to start thinking about the 2011 Baseball Season.
This offseason brought a flurry of activity. Some teams got healthy, while others weren’t so lucky. As with every baseball season, there are plenty of questions to be answered and 2011 will be no different.
So as we enter the new year, we seek the answers to these 10 burning questions of 2011.
1. Philadelphia Phillies
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Question:
Will the rotation really be that good?
Answer:
Yes and no. They will be a serious rotation, but rarely does any rotation live up to the hype. What makes this rotation so scary is their health. All four of their starters have started 28 or more games in the last three seasons. They are as durable as they are good.
With that being said, don’t bet on more than one of these guys rattling off 20 wins. Still, it’s realistic that all these guys win 15 games or more. As long as they stay healthy, they will be a nightmare in the National League.
2. New York Yankees
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Question:
Can the Yankees win the East with their current staff?
Answer:
No way. Not in a season where Boston’s rotation should be healthy again, and the Rays still have a solid staff. The Yankees have C.C. Sabathia and bunch of question marks. Even if the Yankees can coax Andy Pettitte into coming back for another year, that doesn't guarantee anything.
Still, they are the Yankees and come July, someone will have a starting pitching available. That’s when the Yankees will have to land a big name. The Yankees whiffed on Greinke, but expect them to revisit him as an option if the Brewers aren’t going anywhere.
3. Minnesota Twins
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Question:
Can anyone overtake the Twins in the Central?
Answer:
Yes. Every year it seems people are ready to count the Twins out, but every year the Twins seem to stand atop the AL Central by season's end.
This is the year they fall short.
The Sox have the best shot to overtake them. The Tigers will keep it competitive, but they haven’t made a lot of significant additions this offseason, so it’s unlikely they’ll be good enough to keep up.
The Sox, on the other hand, have signed Dunn to give them left handed power to complement a strong pitching staff. As long as the Sox can settle on a closer early, they should be good at the back end of the bullpen. The Sox always seem to fall short of the Twins, but this season the Sox should win, not for their additions, but for the Twins' lack thereof.
4. Offseason Contracts
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Question:
What offseason signing will prove to be the most valuable?
Answer:
Adam Dunn. Remember the question here is “value.” Cliff Lee is the biggest icing on the cake because he makes Philly so dangerous, but by the end of that contract, what will his worth be?
Dunn is only 31 and signed for just four years. It’s likely he’ll still be worth close to the investment at the end of the deal too. He gives the Sox the left handed power they need, and he could DH to avoid his awful defensive play. Not only that, but Dunn has a reputation of being a good clubhouse guy, which is never a bad thing on the South Side.
5. Offseason Contracts (2)
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Question:
What offseason signing will prove to be the least valuable?
Answer:
Jayson Werth. Seven years for 126 million is borderline insane. He is a career .272 hitter who knocks in around 85 runs a year. Even if his production goes up as the featured hitter in that lineup, don’t expect Werth to ever be worth the contract they gave him. And the icing on the cake: he’ll be 38 in the last year of the contract.
6. Washington Nationals
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Question:
Will Bryce Harper be a significant part of the Nationals this season?
Answer:
Yes. The initial instinct is to say “no,” but Harper was so good in the Arizona Fall league and he seems more ready than most 18 year olds are. After losing Strasburg, the Nationals will want to do anything they can to keep their fans hopeful for the future. If Harper is hitting well in the minors, you can bet he’ll be a mid-summer call up.
7. St. Louis Cardinals
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Question:
What will the Cardinals do about Pujols?
Answer:
Whatever they have to. Pujols is a free agent at the end of the season, but don’t expect him to go anywhere. The problem is Pujols can command serious money and the Cardinals don’t have it to pay him. However, most other teams don’t either.
Pujols knows his value, but expects that he won’t get his full worth. Look for St. Louis to get creative on a deal, like 5 years/150 million, and to try deferring some money. Pujols stays a Cardinal.
8.Milwaukee Brewers
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Question:
Will Zack Grienke last the season in Milwaukee?
Answer:
No. While it was a nice grab for the Brew Crew, they know Grienke’s true value. He’s better trade bait for teams in the playoff hunt. The Brewers will struggle to compete in the NL Central and a team like the Yankees or the Twins will come calling, and the Brewers will answer.
9. The Playoffs
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Question:
Which playoff team will take a step back next season?
Answer:
The Texas Rangers. It might seem like a stretch, but you have to look at what the Rangers did in the offseason.
They didn’t do much.
They made no notable acquisitions and they lost Cliff Lee. Teams have to improve each season or they get worse. If you are asking if the Rangers get to the World Series next season, I would almost bet they won’t. They might not make the playoffs.
10. The Playoffs (2)
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Question:
What team with take a big step forward this season?
Answer:
The Boston Red Sox. They could go from missing the playoffs to winning a World Series. The addition of Crawford solidifies a lineup that already has a some big time hitters.
Don’t discount the recent of signing of closer Bobby Jenks as an afterthought. He’s a proven closer with World Series success. He’ll be a good insurance policy for Papelbon if he struggles.
11. Cincinnati Reds
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Question:
Are the Cincinnati Reds for real?
Answer:
Yes. They are for real for two important reasons: their pitching and their division. They have a strong rotation with Volquez, Cueto and Arroyo. Their bullpen has a big arm in Chapman and a big time closer in Cordero.
The other reason is their division. Houston, Pittsburgh and Chicago are all rebuilding. St. Louis has a lot of question marks in their lineup and their rotation (not to mention the ever growing concern with the health of Albert Pujols), and Milwaukee is a bit unpredictable. No one else concerns you in that division, so the Reds have a great shot to get back to the post-season.
Bonus Question: San Francisco Giants
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Bonus Question:
Will the Giants repeat?
Answer:
No. It’s nothing against a talented pitching staff, but the Giants were the beneficiary of everyone playing well at exactly the same time. That kind of good fortune doesn’t happen in consecutive years. Since the Yankees repeated in 1977, only the 1993 Blue Jays and the 2000 Yankees have repeated. It’s just tough to do.

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