Cito Gaston's Home Run Projections in Spring Training Surprisingly Accurate

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Cito Gaston's Home Run Projections in Spring Training Surprisingly Accurate
Christian Petersen/Getty Images
Blue Jays manager Cito Gaston had some surprising projections in spring training

When the Blue Jays started the season, it came as a bit of a surprise that the manager Cito Gaston projected that the Jays lineup would live and die by the home run. 

Gaston suggested that his lineup was packed full of potential 20 home run hitters.

"Bautista has a chance to hit maybe 20-25 home runs because he's done it before," Gaston said. "Then, of course, you've got Hill, you've got Lind and Vernon who hit 20 home runs the year before.

"Then you've got (Lyle) Overbay you hope can hit you 20 and you have (Edwin) Encarnacion; he might hit 20. "You're talking about the first six hitters. If (Travis) Snider makes the club, he might do it, too. I think this club right now, the strength is the hitters."

After all, Adam Lind and Aaron Hill were the only two hitters to surpass the twenty home run mark last year, with 35 and 36 respectively. 

Now that September has arrived, those numbers and projections no longer look so outlandish.  The Blue Jays lead the majors in home runs by a landslide, with 208, the next closest team the Boston Red Sox with 178. 

So how close are those projections so far?

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