Week 14 NFL Picks: Tips, Odds and Over/Under Predictions for Sunday

A coin flip kicked off Week 14 for NFL bettors.

Those playing the odds out of Las Vegas didn't have a surefire way to go on Thursday Night Football between the Oakland Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs. The latter had an advantage in the odds by about three points for most of the week, with the Raiders failing to help those who banked on an upset.

The good news is the early-week affair was likely the hardest to predict. With the rest of the slate looking more welcoming, those who won Thursday can keep building bankroll. Those who lost can start forging an epic comeback.

Here is a look at the updated lines and predictions heading into the weekend.

NFL Week 14 Odds

Matchup	Spread	O/U	Predicted Winner
Pittsburgh at Buffalo	PIT -3	47	PIT 27-17
Houston at Indianapolis	IND -6.5	46	IND 24-20
Washington at Philadelphia	WAS -2	47	WAS 26-23
Denver at Tennessee	TEN -1.5	43.5	DEN 23-20
Arizona at Miami	ARI -2	43.5	MIA 20-17
Minnesota at Jacksonville	MIN -3.5	39.5	JAC 20-13
San Diego at Carolina	CAR -1.5	48	CAR 24-20
Cincinnati at Cleveland	CIN -6	43.5	CIN 28-17
Chicago at Detroit	DET -8	43.5	CHI 27-24
N.Y. Jets at San Francisco	SF -3	44	NYJ 17-10
Seattle at Green Bay	SEA -3	46.5	GB 23-20
New Orleans at Tampa Bay	TB -3	51.5	TB 30-27
Atlanta at L.A. Rams	ATL -7	45	ATL 27-17
Dallas at N.Y. Giants	DAL -4	47.5	DAL 23-20
Baltimore at New England (MNF)	NE -7	45	NE 24-14

Odds courtesy of OddsShark.

Cincinnati (-6) at Cleveland

How about a softball over the plate?

A seemingly easy way for bettors to get back in good standing if necessary is a contest featuring the Cleveland Browns.

For those thinking crazy thoughts—don't. The Browns do hit this contest out of a bye and will have starting quarterback Robert Griffin III back under center. But the Bengals, 4-7-1 or not, blew the Browns out of the water in Week 7, 31-17.

Like usual, the Browns couldn't stop a passing attack, coughing up 308 yards and two touchdowns to Andy Dalton and another 271 yards and two scores on the ground.

According to Geoff Hobson of Bengals.com, the team won't have A.J. Green. Even this shouldn't sway bettors much, though, seeing as Dalton still threw for 332 yards and two touchdowns in a Week 13 win without his No. 1 receiver.

The Browns might eventually get a win this year, especially with games against the Buffalo Bills and San Diego Chargers on the schedule. But it won't come Sunday against a Bengals team somewhat hitting a stride. Cleveland simply needs to get RG3 on the field and help him become effective within the offense before thinking about actually winning a game.

Prediction: Bengals 28-17

New Orleans at Tampa Bay (-3)

Bettors should feel safe riding with one of the NFL's hottest teams right now.

One out of touch with the NFL might look at the above and figure it refers to Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints.

Nope.

A new era has started to emerge in the NFC South, one championed by Jameis Winston and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The young quarterback has his team on a four-game tear and sitting at a 7-5 mark in the division just like the Atlanta Falcons.

Over the course of the four wins, the Buccaneers have allowed more than 20 points in a game once while taking down high-profile teams such as the Chiefs and Seattle Seahawks. Next, the task is welcoming the Saints to town, a situation Buccaneers head coach Dirk Koetter isn't taking lightly.

"Us and Atlanta sitting there at 7-5, New Orleans at 5-7, just do the math for New Orleans and we're not too far ahead. So it's going to be huge," Koetter said, according to Stats LLC (via ESPN.com).

It's a smart approach seeing as the Saints aren't a team to overlook, not with Brees sitting on 30 touchdowns to 11 interceptions. The problem for New Orleans, other than travel, is the defense allowing an average of 27.9 points per game.

That said issue is why the Saints' only two wins over their past five came against San Francisco and Los Angeles. Tampa Bay won't have a problem moving the ball against such a unit now that Winston and his offense are confident, and it is clear the playoffs are a real possibility.

Prediction: Buccaneers 30-27

Atlanta (-7) at L.A. Rams

This line might scare some bettors. The outright pick isn't hard to figure out, but a seven-point spread against the Los Angeles Rams while the team plays at home doesn't seem the surest thing. 

Such a line of thinking might be true earlier in the season. Try to keep in mind, though, the Rams have lost their last two games by totals of 49-21 and 26-10 while taking on the high-flying offenses of New Orleans and New England, respectively.

This isn't the same Rams team that played opponents such as Seattle and Tampa Bay tough earlier this year. It's more like the team that opened the season with a dumbfounding 28-0 loss to San Francisco.

Todd Gurley (four scores, 3.2 average) can't run behind such a struggling offensive line and rookie quarterback Jared Goff continues to learn on the fly.

Atlanta, on the other hand, ranks first at 32.2 points per game. Matt Ryan looks like an MVP candidate with 27 touchdowns to seven interceptions. Devonta Freeman averages 4.5 yards per carry and has scored seven times.

The Falcons, a team with wins against Oakland, Tampa Bay, Denver and Green Bay, know how to hit the road and take care of business against a franchise that has clearly thrown in the towel on the season.

Look for the Falcons to hop out to an early lead and silence the crowd, riding a ball-control offense and letting a rush defense boasting 25 sacks pin the ears back and get after a rookie.

Prediction: Falcons 27-17

Stats courtesy of NFL.com. All advanced metrics courtesy of Pro Football Focus. 

Follow Chris Roling (@Chris_Roling) on Twitter.