NFL Week 7 Picks: Predictions for Each Game's Odds and Over-Under Lines

There are two types of games on the NFL's Week 7 slate: those  expected to be toss-ups and those expected to get ugly. 

Almost nonexistent are the matchups with spreads of four to six points. Those are for people who straddle the fence. Oddsmakers want bettors to either lay a lot of points this weekend or make a decision on numerous coin-flip games. 

This week could be one of the toughest of the season, but a few matchups might determine those games upon closer inspection. 

Here's a look at the latest spreads from Odds Shark for the week, along with a closer look at some toss-up matches and what could determine their outcomes. 

Matchup	Spread	O/U	ATS and O/U Pick
Chicago at Green Bay (TNF)	GB -7.5	46	GB/U
N.Y. Giants at L.A. Rams	NYG -3	44	LAR/U
Washington at Detroit	DET -1	49	DET/O
Minnesota at Philadelphia	MIN -2.5	40	MIN/U
Cleveland at Cincinnati	CIN -10	46.5	CLE/O
Indianapolis at Tennessee	TEN -3	48.5	TEN/U
Baltimore at N.Y. Jets	E	42.5	BAL/O
Oakland at Jacksonville	JAC -1	49	JAC/U
New Orleans at Kansas City	KC -6.5	50.5	NO/U
Buffalo at Miami	BUF -3	44.5	BUF/O
San Diego at Atlanta	ATL -6.5	53	ATL/O
Tampa Bay at San Francisco	TB -2	47.5	TB/U
New England at Pittsburgh	NE -7	46	PIT/O
Seattle at Arizona	ARI -2	43.5	SEA/U
Houston at Denver (MNF)	DEN -7.5	41.5	DEN/U

Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles

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Going into the season, if you had said that a Vikings team without Adrian Peterson and Teddy Bridgewater playing the Philadelphia Eagles with Carson Wentz at quarterback would be one of the top matchups of Week 7, you would have sounded just a bit crazy.

Yet, here we are. 

The Vikings are a perfect 5-0, while the Eagles are off to a 3-2 start with their rookie quarterback. 

But that rookie quarterback going against the vaunted Vikings defense is why Minnesota has a clear edge in this game. 

Wentz started off his freshman campaign strong. However, since coming off the bye week in Week 4, his numbers have taken a bit of a nosedive in two losses on the road:

	Games	Record	Comp./Att.	Yards	TD	INT	Sacks
Before	3	3-0	66/102	769	5	0	4
After	2	0-2	36/55	417	2	1	8

One school of thought might say that the young quarterback simply needs a return home. Coming back to Philadelphia might help him recapture the magic of his hot start. 

But that's too simplistic. Regardless of where the game is played, the Eagles offensive line will still have to protect a rookie quarterback who might hold onto the ball too long. 

Philadelphia has given up eight sacks in its last two games. That's going to be a major problem, as the Vikings lead the NFL in sacks per game with 3.8. 

The Minnesota front seven will be the difference, as its ability to get to Wentz will disrupt everything the Eagles try to do offensively. 

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins

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After a slow start to the season, the Miami Dolphins might have finally found themselves on offense. 

All season, they've been a team without an identity, but in upsetting the Steelers 30-15 last week, Miami discovered that it can run the ball well enough to be a power-running team. Jay Ajayi finally had the breakout game that fantasy football owners thought he was capable of all along—he piled up more than 200 yards rushing, and the offensive line blocked well for him. 

Chris Simms of Bleacher Report praised both the big men up front and the running back, asserting that the Dolphins are going to be a problem for teams going forward if they commit to the run:

That will be put to the test right away when the Dolphins take on the 4-2 Buffalo Bills in a crucial AFC East game.

The problem for the Dolphins is establishing that run game will be much more difficult against the Bills. Buffalo is in the top 10 in the NFL in yards allowed per rush at just 3.8 yards per carry. The unit hasn't allowed 100 yards rushing to a running back since Matt Forte got 100 on 30 carries in Week 2. 

Ajayi's performance was no doubt impressive. And the Dolphins run game might lead the way for even more wins this season, but it won't start against the Bills. The Buffalo defense has spent the season bottling up the likes of David Johnson and Todd Gurley.

Ajayi will join that list in Week 7, as the Bills come out on top in a game that is expected to go to the wire. 

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals

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The trend of teams that looked good in previous weeks running into defenses that just aren't good matchups should continue when the Seahawks go to Arizona for Sunday Night Football. 

The Cardinals finally got things rolling against the New York Jets in Week 6 with 396 total yards in a 28-3 blowout. Head coach Bruce Arians gave credit to Carson Palmer and the passing game for taking what the defense gave them, per Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com.

"We never go in saying we are throwing deep balls," Arians said. "Every (play) we have has a deep ball in it. It’s just whether you throw it or not. It’s just a judgment of what’s going on and how we play it. I thought we had our intermediate game extremely well tonight. It’s always what they give us."

Unfortunately for Palmer and Co., they might run into a defense that isn't giving up much. According to TeamRankings.com, the Seattle defense has actually forced a lower average passer rating on the road (66.6) than at home this season (81.1). 

David Johnson is obviously going to get his. He's been an electrifying talent all season with 833 total yards in six games.  But his success hasn't equated to wins for the Cards. In order to win, they have to get their passing game going, and that will be difficult to do against the Seahawks.