NFL Picks Week 4: Latest Odds, Prop Bets, Over-Under Lines and Predictions

Five teams remain undefeated and four are still searching for their first victory heading into the fourth week of NFL action. It's been a topsy-turvy start to the campaign, which wasn't entirely unexpected given the lack of dominant teams coming into 2016.

The New England Patriots are a constant presence atop the standings, but there were major question marks around the likes of the fellow unbeaten Philadelphia Eagles and Denver Broncos. On the flip side, expected contenders such as the Carolina Panthers and Arizona Cardinals are both 1-2.

Ultimately, three games is never enough to make any definitive judgments, but that's even more true this year with plenty of time for teams to emerge as contenders from the muddled middle. With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Week 4.

Week 4 Odds

Day	Road	Home	Line	Prediction
Thursday	Dolphins	Bengals	CIN -7	CIN
Sunday	Colts	Jaguars	JAX -2.5	IND
Sunday	Titans	Texans	HOU -6.5	HOU
Sunday	Browns	Redskins	WSH -9.5	CLE
Sunday	Seahawks	Jets	SEA -1.5	NYJ
Sunday	Bills	Patriots	NE -4.5	BUF
Sunday	Panthers	Falcons	CAR -3	CAR
Sunday	Raiders	Ravens	BAL -3.5	OAK
Sunday	Lions	Bears	DET -3	DET
Sunday	Broncos	Buccaneers	DEN -3	DEN
Sunday	Rams	Cardinals	ARZ -8.5	LA
Sunday	Saints	Chargers	SD -4	NO
Sunday	Cowboys	49ers	DAL -3	DAL
Sunday	Chiefs	Steelers	PIT -6	KC
Monday	Giants	Vikings	MIN -4	NYG

Over-Under Lines

Day	Road	Home	Over-Under	Prediction
Thursday	Dolphins	Bengals	44.5	Under
Sunday	Colts	Jaguars	49.5	Over
Sunday	Titans	Texans	40.5	Under
Sunday	Browns	Redskins	45.5	Under
Sunday	Seahawks	Jets	40.5	Over
Sunday	Bills	Patriots	TBD	n/a
Sunday	Panthers	Falcons	46	Over
Sunday	Raiders	Ravens	46.5	Over
Sunday	Lions	Bears	46.5	Under
Sunday	Broncos	Buccaneers	45.5	Under
Sunday	Rams	Cardinals	43	Over
Sunday	Saints	Chargers	52	Under
Sunday	Cowboys	49ers	46	Under
Sunday	Chiefs	Steelers	47.5	Over
Monday	Giants	Vikings	43.5	Over

Super Bowl Future Props

Rank	Team	Odds
1	New England Patriots	7-1
2	Green Bay Packers	8-1
T-3	Seattle Seahawks	17-2
T-3	Pittsburgh Steelers	17-2
5	Carolina Panthers	10-1
6	Arizona Cardinals	12-1
7	New York Giants	14-1
8	Denver Broncos	16-1
T-9	Cincinnati Bengals	18-1
T-9	Indianapolis Colts	18-1
T-11	Dallas Cowboys	20-1
T-11	Kansas City Chiefs	20-1
T-11	Minnesota Vikings	20-1
T-14	Baltimore Ravens	33-1
T-14	Houston Texans	33-1
T-14	Oakland Raiders	33-1
T-17	Buffalo Bills	50-1
T-17	Jacksonville Jaguars	50-1
T-17	New York Jets	50-1
T-17	San Diego Chargers	50-1
T-17	Washington Redskins	50-1
T-22	Atlanta Falcons	66-1
T-22	Chicago Bears	66-1
T-22	Detroit Lions	66-1
T-22	Los Angeles Rams	66-1
T-22	Miami Dolphins	66-1
27	Philadelphia Eagles	75-1
T-28	New Orleans Saints	80-1
T-28	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	80-1
T-30	San Francisco 49ers	100-1
T-30	Tennessee Titans	100-1
32	Cleveland Browns	200-1

Best Bets

Odds: New York Giants (+4)

The Minnesota Vikings are turning a lot of heads by continuing to win without Teddy Bridgewater, Adrian Peterson and Matt Kalil. While that series of injuries figured to decimate the offense, the defense has stepped up in a major way to make up the difference, taking a lot of pressure off quarterback Sam Bradford.

Now the question is whether the success is sustainable. Facing the high-powered Giants offense should go a long way in providing an answer. Eli Manning is coming off back-to-back 350-yard passing games to help New York post the sixth-most yards through three weeks.

The Giants' quarterback did struggle in the team's Week 3 loss to the Washington Redskins, tossing a pair of fourth-quarter interceptions. But he's focused on putting together a strong rebound performance against Minnesota, per Bob Glauber of Newsday.

"It's going to ruin my night, maybe, but I'll be ready tomorrow and bounce back," Manning said Sunday. "We have a long season, we're doing a lot of good things, making plays. I'll learn from it and get better."

While the Vikings have exceeded most outside expectations so far, don't be surprised if this game calms the hype, at least for a short time. It's just hard to imagine Minnesota could suffer so many key injuries without a couple of setbacks along the way. The Giants win in a minor upset.

Over-Under: Atlanta Falcons/Carolina Panthers (Over 46)

The Falcons and Panthers both rank inside the top five in offensive yardage through three weeks. Atlanta actually leads the league in both yards (448) and points (34.7) per game thanks to a more well-rounded attack than in years past.

Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman have formed a strong one-two backfield punch to relieve some of the burden on quarterback Matt Ryan, who was asked to do too much in recent years. Andrew Hirsh of the Falcons' official website commented on the balance:

"

The Falcons offense is spreading the ball around and getting both RBs involved: The recipe for success thus far in 2016.

— Andrew Hirsh (@andrewhirsh) September 27, 2016"

Meanwhile, the typically strong Panthers defense has given up at least 21 points in every game so far this season. That's happened despite facing a mundane group of quarterbacks, featuring Trevor Siemian, Blaine Gabbert and the aforementioned Bradford.

Add in a Carolina offense with its fair share of big-play weapons going against Atlanta's 30th-ranked defense, and the recipe is in place for a shootout. Both teams should be around 30 points, which would push the game comfortably over the line.

Super Bowl: New England Patriots (7-1)

The Eagles are surely going to garner a lot of attention this week, which will likely cause their current 75-1 odds to fall quickly. While rookie signal-caller Carson Wentz has made a seamless transition to the NFL and the defense leads the league in points allowed, it's far too soon to start thinking Super Bowl for Philly.

Meanwhile, the Patriots are a boring selection as the listed favorite. Yet, their ability to keep winning without Tom Brady under center and while dealing with a multitude of high-profile injuries shows why they are still the best choice on the futures market.

Bill Belichick is the best coach in American sports at putting his players in a position to maximize their chance of success based on their talent level. San Antonio Spurs head coach Gregg Popovich is the only person who even comes close. And that's why those two franchises are models for success.

In addition, when it comes to thinking about Super Bowl picks, merely making the playoffs is an essential factor. Bleacher Report's Ian Kenyon noted the Pats are already in fine shape there:

Brady is going to rejoin a roster in Week 5 that's already playing championship-caliber football at most positions. It will take a couple of weeks for him to get back in a rhythm, but by the time the playoffs roll around New England should be a well-oiled machine that makes 7-1 odds seem like great value.