
Todd McShay NFL Mock Draft 2016: Notable Picks from ESPN Guru's 3-Round Mock
ESPN draft analyst Todd McShay released his three-round "Grade: A" mock draft Tuesday, essentially playing general manager for each team and making a selection for them based on his board and perception of their team needs.
It's important to note this won't be a critique of McShay's mock draft. He has his own draft grades and his own justifications for his selections, which you can read here. Again, McShay noted he isn't projecting or predicting picks here but rather playing general manager.
So instead, let's take a look at some of the more interesting aspects of his mock and discuss the repercussions and justifications of those possible picks:
| 1 | Tennessee | OT | Laremy Tunsil | Mississippi |
| 2 | Cleveland | QB | Carson Wentz | North Dakota State |
| 3 | San Diego | DE | DeForest Buckner | Oregon |
| 4 | Dallas | QB | Jared Goff | Cal |
| 5 | Jacksonville | OLB | Myles Jack | UCLA |
| 6 | Baltimore | DE | Joey Bosa | Ohio State |
| 7 | San Francisco | CB | Jalen Ramsey | Florida State |
| 8 | Philadelphia | RB | Ezekiel Elliott | Ohio State |
| 9 | Tampa Bay | OT | Jack Conklin | Michigan State |
| 10 | NY Giants | OT | Ronnie Stanley | Notre Dame |
| 11 | Chicago | OLB | Leonard Floyd | Georgia |
| 12 | New Orleans | DT | Sheldon Rankins | Louisville |
| 13 | Miami | DE | Shaq Lawson | Clemson |
| 14 | Oakland | DT | Chris Jones | Mississippi State |
| 15 | Los Angeles | WR | Laquon Treadwell | Mississippi |
| 16 | Detroit | OT | Taylor Decker | Ohio State |
| 17 | Atlanta | OLB | Darron Lee | Ohio State |
| 18 | Indianapolis | S | Karl Joseph | West Virginia |
| 19 | Buffalo | ILB | Reggie Ragland | Alabama |
| 20 | NY Jets | CB | Vernon Hargreaves III | Florida |
| 21 | Washington | DT | Jarran Reed | Alabama |
| 22 | Houston | WR | Josh Doctson | TCU |
| 23 | Minnesota | WR | Will Fuller | Notre Dame |
| 24 | Cincinnati | WR | Corey Coleman | Baylor |
| 25 | Pittsburgh | CB | William Jackson III | Houston |
| 26 | Seattle | DT | Andrew Billings | Baylor |
| 27 | Green Bay | DT | Vernon Butler | Louisiana Tech |
| 28 | Kansas City | DT | A'Shawn Robinson | Alabama |
| 29 | Arizona | C | Ryan Kelly | Alabama |
| 30 | Carolina | OT | Germain Ifedi | Texas A&M |
| 31 | Denver | QB | Connor Cook | Michigan State |
| Round 2 | ||||
| 32 | Cleveland | WR | Michael Thomas | Ohio State |
| 33 | Tennessee | CB | Eli Apple | Ohio State |
| 34 | Dallas | DE | Kevin Dodd | Clemson |
| 35 | San Diego | S | Vonn Bell | Ohio State |
| 36 | Baltimore | CB | Artie Burns | Miami (FL) |
| 37 | San Francisco | QB | Paxton Lynch | Memphis |
| 38 | Jacksonville | S | Keanu Neal | Florida |
| 39 | Tampa Bay | WR | Chris Moore | Cincinnati |
| 40 | NY Giants | OLB | Kamalei Correa | Boise State |
| 41 | Chicago | OT | Jason Spriggs | Indiana |
| 42 | Miami | CB | Kendall Fuller | Virginia Tech |
| 43 | Los Angeles | QB | Christian Hackenberg | Penn State |
| 44 | Oakland | CB | Mackensie Alexander | Clemson |
| 45 | Los Angeles | C | Nick Martin | Notre Dame |
| 46 | Detroit | DT | Robert Nkemdiche | Mississippi |
| 47 | New Orleans | G | Joshua Garnett | Stanford |
| 48 | Indianapolis | G/C | Cody Whitehair | Kansas State |
| 49 | Buffalo | DE | Jonathan Bullard | Florida |
| 50 | Atlanta | TE | Hunter Henry | Arkansas |
| 51 | NY Jets | OLB | Noah Spence | Eastern Kentucky |
| 52 | Houston | TE | Jerell Adams | South Carolina |
| 53 | Washington | DE | Jihad Ward | Illinois |
| 54 | Minnesota | OLB | Deion Jones | LSU |
| 55 | Cincinnati | DT | Kenny Clark | UCLA |
| 56 | Seattle | RB | Derrick Henry | Alabama |
| 57 | Green Bay | TE | Nick Vannett | Ohio State |
| 58 | Pittsburgh | S | Darian Thompson | Boise State |
| 59 | Kansas City | WR | Braxton Miller | Ohio State |
| 60 | New England | WR | Tyler Boyd | Pittsburgh |
| 61 | New England | CB | Cyrus Jones | Alabama |
| 62 | Carolina | DT | Austin Johnson | Penn State |
| 63 | Denver | DT | Sheldon Day | Notre Dame |
| Round 3 | ||||
| 64 | Tennessee | G | Christian Westerman | Arizona State |
| 65 | Cleveland | DT | Willie Henry | Michigan |
| 66 | San Diego | TE | Austin Hooper | Stanford |
| 67 | Dallas | WR | Sterling Shepard | Oklahoma |
| 68 | San Francisco | WR | Leonte Carroo | Rutgers |
| 69 | Jacksonville | DE | Emmanuel Ogbah | Oklahoma State |
| 70 | Baltimore | ILB | Nick Kwiatkoski | West Virginia |
| 71 | NY Giants | WR | Pharoh Cooper | South Carolina |
| 72 | Chicago | DT | Hassan Ridgeway | Texas |
| 73 | Miami | RB | Kenneth Dixon | Louisiana Tech |
| 74 | Tampa Bay | DE | Shilique Calhoun | Michigan State |
| 75 | Oakland | RB | Devontae Booker | Utah |
| 76 | Los Angeles | CB | Daryl Worley | West Virginia |
| 77 | Philadelphia | CB | Xavien Howard | Baylor |
| 78 | New Orleans | OLB | Jaylon Smith | Notre Dame |
| 79 | Philadelphia | OT | Shon Coleman | Auburn |
| 80 | Buffalo | CB | KeiVarae Russell | Notre Dame |
| 81 | Atlanta | DE | Carl Nassib | Penn State |
| 82 | Indianapolis | OT | Jerald Hawkins | LSU |
| 83 | NY Jets | ILB | Joshua Perry | Ohio State |
| 84 | Washington | WR | Jordan Payton | UCLA |
| 85 | Houston | S | Su'a Cravens | USC |
| 86 | Minnesota | DT | Adolphus Washington | Ohio State |
| 87 | Cincinnati | S | Jeremy Cash | Duke |
| 88 | Green Bay | ILB | B.J. Goodson | Clemson |
| 89 | Pittsburgh | DE | Adam Gotsis | Georgia Tech |
| 90 | Seattle | OT | Le'Raven Clark | Texas Tech |
| 91 | New England | DT | Javon Hargrave | South Carolina State |
| 92 | Arizona | QB | Jacoby Brissett | North Carolina State |
| 93 | Carolina | S | Justin Simmons | Boston College |
| 94 | Denver | RB | Jordan Howard | Indiana |
| 95 | Detroit | CB | Will Redmond | Mississippi State |
| 96 | New England | RB | C.J. Prosise | Notre Dame |
| 97 | Seattle | CB | Briean Boddy-Calhoun | Minnesota |
| 98 | Denver | G | Connor McGovern | Missouri |
Dallas Cowboys Select QB Jared Goff

The Dallas Cowboys, at No. 4, will be the most intriguing selection in this draft. Think about the teams in front of them for a moment:
- The Tennessee Titans are either going to trade the pick or draft offensive tackle Laremy Tunsil to protect franchise quarterback Marcus Mariota. Those are simply the most logical options for the team.
- The Cleveland Browns are going to select a quarterback. It's the most important position in the NFL, and the Browns haven't had a legit option at the position since Bernie Kosar. Either Carson Wentz or Jared Goff are viable options. But the Browns will almost assuredly select one of the two.
- The San Diego Chargers have enough needs to select any of a number of players, or they could trade the pick to a team interested in selecting a quarterback. They cannot really go wrong at No. 3.
But that leaves the Cowboys, who have to make the important decision of either selecting a player who will contribute immediately—on McShay's board, that would mean a player like Joey Bosa, Jalen Ramsey, Myles Jack or even Ezekiel Elliott—or selecting a future quarterback. It's a fascinating choice.
Here's what McShay said about his choice to have the team select Goff:
"And now it gets interesting. Tony Romo turns 36 on April 21, and he's coming off a season in which he played just four games after suffering two collarbone injuries. It's time for the Cowboys to start planning for their future at QB. Yes, they need a pass-rusher—which I took care of in Round 2 with [Kevin] Dodd—but you can't just ignore the game's most important position, especially a season after seeing the true value of having a competent backup in place. It'd be the perfect situation for Goff, too. He'd get time to transition to the pro game after playing in a spread system at Cal, while also getting to learn from Romo and head coach Jason Garrett.
"
You cannot argue with that logic. Selecting Goff potentially addresses the quarterback position for the next decade. In the NFL, you simply don't know when you'll get the chance to add a potential franchise quarterback.
Jason Cole of Bleacher Report says the buzz is growing that the Cowboys will select a quarterback with their No. 4 pick:
On the other hand, the Cowboys—with a healthy Romo—have a playoff-caliber roster and are built to win now. While you could argue that Goff would upgrade the backup quarterback position, Bosa, Ramsey, Jack or Elliott would almost assuredly have a much, much bigger impact in their rookie seasons.
The NFC East is wide open, with no clear favorites in the division, so Dallas could easily go from first to worst this season. That is certainly something the team has to consider.
So for Dallas, it's the classic conundrum: draft for the future or draft for right now? McShay believes the team will go for the former. Much of the draft will be dictated by the team's decision.
Jalen Ramsey, Vernon Hargreaves III Drop Down Board

This is surprising. Ramsey, for one, has received buzz as a potential top overall pick. Jim Wyatt of TitansOnline.com noted "Ramsey is under consideration for the top spot."
The defensive back met with the team Monday, and he spoke about what he hoped to accomplish in that meeting, per Wyatt:
"I feel like this is one of the last impressions that I’ll be able to make on them. I feel like I’ve done everything in my power leading up to now, and I just have to finish it off strong and that is what I am here to do. I don’t feel like I have to really sell them on anything. It’s just the person I am, the player I am. I am an open book. Any questions they have, I can answer them.
"
Then, he pitched himself to the Titans:
"They are going to get the best player in this draft class. They are going to get the hardest worker in this draft class. They are going to get a corner, they are going to get a safety, they are going to get a nickel, and they are going to get a special teams player. They are going to get a leader, they are going to get a guy who gives them longevity. They are going to get the total package.
"
Most scouts and front office personnel would likely agree with that assessment.
So why did Ramsey drop to No. 7 on McShay's board? Especially after he named Ramsey the best player on his board?
Perhaps it's due in part because Ramsey "doesn't have elite ball skills," per the ESPN analyst. Surely, it's in part because he has two quarterbacks going in the top four picks. More than likely, he felt the team needs didn't match up for Ramsey to go higher than No. 7.
Ramsey shouldn't drop out of the top seven picks. But if he does, a team like the San Francisco 49ers is going to be very, very happy.
Hargreaves' drop to No. 20 was surprising as well, particularly because he'll be a possibility for the Philadelphia Eagles at No. 8 (even though the team could go with Elliott if he's available, as he's the perfect fit for Doug Pederson's offense).
Hargreaves' size could drop him out of the top 10 picks, but it would be shocking if he dropped down to No. 20, simply because he's such a well-rounded corner with excellent feet, acceleration and ball skills.
It would be surprising if he dropped past the Miami Dolphins at No. 13.
Several Big Names Fall Out of 1st Round

McShay simply doesn't have a first-round grade on Paxton Lynch and has him falling to the second round—where the 49ers select him with the 37th overall pick in his mock, a great fit for what head coach Chip Kelly wants to do—so that drop isn't shocking.
It's interesting that McShay has the Denver Broncos selecting Connor Cook in the first round over Lynch, however. It's certainly justifiable from the perspective that Cook is much more of a plug-and-play starter than Lynch, who has big upside but lacks polish. For a team like the Broncos that wants to compete for another Super Bowl next year, Cook would seemingly be the logical pick.
And boy, if the draft plays out with the Niners landing Ramsey and Lynch with their first two picks, they might shut down the city for the ensuing party.
Robert Nkemdiche might be the most difficult player to project in this year's draft, and McShay has him falling out of the first round. Peter King of MMQB.com broke down the Nkemdiche enigma:
"One guy put it best about the Ole Miss defensive tackle with top-five talent and top-five off-field issues: “There’s not that much special talent in this draft. He’s special, potentially. Coaches with security will take a chance on a guy like this with such good tools.” I heard like things from a couple of others—namely, that Nkemdiche is a very likely first-round pick, though it may be late. Maybe a Pete Carroll (Seattle picks 26th) or Bruce Arians (Arizona picks 29th) will feel confident enough, with the kind of strong locker room each has, to put Nkemdiche in the mix. He’s articulate, he’s an artist, he plays the saxophone. He’s a tough riddle.
"
It won't be surprising if Nkemdiche falls out of the first round. It won't be surprising if his talent makes him a top-20 pick, either.
Noah Spence is another intriguing talent who has off-field concerns that may drop him down the board. McShay certainly believes those concerns will keep Spence out of the first round. One AFC scouting director spoke to Eric Edholm of Yahoo Sports about Spence and tends to agree:
"Good player. Those tackles [at the Senior Bowl] likely were glad when that week was over. He got in a few of their heads I think. The kid from Harvard [Cole Toner] still hasn't gotten out of his stance yet. But [Spence] was too light at his pro day, and he didn't interview well with us. I'll still go to bat for him, but he's a second-rounder all day.
"
If Spence wasn't a bit of a 'tweener as an edge-rusher, he might sneak into the first round. And there is always the possibility of a team drafting him for his explosiveness on Day 1. But Spence seems to be trending as a second-rounder more and more, which jibes with McShay's board.
You can follow Timothy Rapp on Twitter.


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