
NFL Mock Draft 2016: 1st-Round Projections and Prospects to Watch
Now the wait drags.
With pro days coming and going and the NFL combine seeming like it took place six months ago, the worst stretch of draft season has arrived, which will make the next few weeks feel like months for fans who just want to know how the future looks for their teams.
Granted, much will still happen during the wait. Interviews, opinions and plenty more will offer slight variations to stock, and any slight ripple—as most familiar with the draft process should know—can force major changes on how the draft unfolds.
With such a ripple-effect theme in mind, let's take a look at an updated mock draft and some of the top names to watch during the wait.
2016 NFL Mock Draft
| 1 | Tennessee Titans | Laremy Tunsil | OT | Ole Miss |
| 2 | Cleveland Browns | Jared Goff | QB | California |
| 3 | San Diego Chargers | Jalen Ramsey | CB/S | Florida State |
| 4 | Dallas Cowboys | Myles Jack | LB | UCLA |
| 5 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Vernon Hargreaves III | CB | Florida |
| 6 | Baltimore Ravens | Ronnie Stanley | OT | Notre Dame |
| 7 | San Francisco 49ers | Joey Bosa | DL | Ohio State |
| 8 | Philadelphia Eagles | Jack Conklin | OT | Michigan State |
| 9 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Darron Lee | LB | Ohio State |
| 10 | New York Giants | Reggie Ragland | LB | Alabama |
| 11 | Chicago Bears | DeForest Buckner | DE | Oregon |
| 12 | New Orleans Saints | Noah Spence | DE/LB | Eastern Kentucky |
| 13 | Miami Dolphins | Ezekiel Elliott | RB | Ohio State |
| 14 | Oakland Raiders | Mackensie Alexander | CB | Clemson |
| 15 | Los Angeles Rams | Carson Wentz | QB | North Dakota State |
| 16 | Detroit Lions | Taylor Decker | OT | Ohio State |
| 17 | Atlanta Falcons | Shaq Lawson | LB | Clemson |
| 18 | Indianapolis Colts | A'Shawn Robinson | DT | Alabama |
| 19 | Buffalo Bills | Paxton Lynch | QB | Memphis |
| 20 | New York Jets | Jonathan Bullard | DE | Florida |
| 21 | Washington | Corey Coleman | WR | Baylor |
| 22 | Houston Texans | Robert Nkemdiche | DL | Ole Miss |
| 23 | Minnesota Vikings | Josh Doctson | WR | TCU |
| 24 | Cincinnati Bengals | Laquon Treadwell | WR | Ole Miss |
| 25 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Eli Apple | CB | Ohio State |
| 26 | Seattle Seahawks | Leonard Floyd | LB | Georgia |
| 27 | Green Bay Packers | Sheldon Rankins | DT | Louisville |
| 28 | Kansas City Chiefs | Michael Thomas | WR | Ohio State |
| 29 | Arizona Cardinals | Nile Lawrence-Stample | DT | Florida State |
| 30 | Carolina Panthers | Kevin Dodd | DE | Clemson |
| 31 | Denver Broncos | Jason Spriggs | OT | Indiana |
Prospects to Watch
4. Dallas Cowboys: Myles Jack, LB, UCLA
Myles Jack gets a nod as a player to watch for a few reasons.
For one, he's a freak athlete. Folks might get tired of hearing about how eventual first-round picks have elite athleticism, but seriously, Jack is 6'1" and 245 pounds with the speed of some wide receivers.
If he was healthy...
That's the other point with Jack, who won't have a personal pro day and continues to work his way back from a knee injury. His agent, John Thornton, shared a recent workout showcasing how the knee is coming along:
"Myles Jack is fine. Needs more of these drills to get in football shape. Mirroring WRs/DBs to get finish rehab. pic.twitter.com/CZSvLT6udH
— JohnThornton (@JohnThornton) March 29, 2016"
If doctors give a thumbs-up on Jack, it's not hard to see why the UCLA product is a top-five pick. ESPN.com's Todd McShay ranked him sixth overall with high praise:
"An explosive athlete who moonlighted as a running back for the Bruins, Jack has an elite combination of athleticism, fluidity and speed in coverage. He reads the QB's eyes well, and has demonstrated the ability to stick with TEs, RBs and slot WRs in man coverage. Jack shows good pop as a tackler and flashes the ability to uncoil and deliver a violent shot when he's able to line up a ball carrier.
"
Jack is just what a team like the Dallas Cowboys needs as long as the medical side checks out.
The Cowboys not only ranked tied for 22nd against the rush last year, but they tallied just 31 sacks and lost guys like Greg Hardy. Again, so long as he's healthy, Jack is an immediate starter for a problem area that has plagued the Cowboys for years.
12. New Orleans Saints: Noah Spence, DE/LB, Eastern Kentucky
One of the biggest red flags in the draft has seen the buzz around his checkered past die down as of late.
It doesn't mean the NFL has stopped paying attention.
Noah Spence's past might not be a headline topic anymore in the media, but rest assured it is in NFL draft war rooms. Spence is the guy who failed a pair of drug tests at Ohio State, underwent treatment and transferred to Eastern Kentucky instead of simply going pro.
"With anybody with a substance abuse problem that they’ve had, I feel like [teams are] pretty leery about it," Spence said, according to ESPN.com's Jamison Hensley. "But if you can put it behind you, you can convince the team it’s behind you."
There is simply no denying Spence is one of the most talented players in the draft. He uses a large array of moves to get past blockers and a quick-twitch reaction to burst off the snap, twisting and contorting his 6'2", 251-pound frame into a whirlwind of force and speed.
Still, during the rest period, folks will begin to hear about teams that don't have Spence on their boards at all. It's simply how some organizations operate—no matter how good or bad Spence did in interviews.
So long as the New Orleans Saints aren't one of those teams, Spence looks like their guy. The Saints ranked 31st against the rush and pass last year with—surprise—31 sacks to their name.
If the Saints want to exit the land of 31s, it might mean taking a risk on a guy like Spence, whose name continues to demand attention.
13. Miami Dolphins: Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State
The top running back in a class is always one of the best names to watch during the dreaded wait.
Just watch: Some reports will say Ezekiel Elliott isn't great enough to warrant a top-10 pick; others will say at least one team in the top 10 won't let him get past it if he falls.
It's a fun time—if not the smokiest of all smoke screens when it comes to the position that has changed the most over the past decade at the pro level.
On paper, Elliott is absolutely an elite prospect. He's a bully of a running back at 6'0" and 225 pounds who ran for 1,821 yards and 23 touchdowns last year while also hitting every checkmark on the NFL list by holding up well in pass protection and as a receiver.
There's a reason nuggets like this, provided by College Football 24/7, continue to float about:
Just understand that no opinion about Elliott's future is wrong because it's impossible to tell. With such an average quarterback class this year, Elliott is the No. 1 smoke screen teams will use to hopefully entice a trade or get their guy to fall, and on and on.
For now, a slot just outside the top 10 makes sense, as the position is simply too easy to address in later rounds to take in the top 10. Landing with the Miami Dolphins seems suitable, as the organization hasn't exactly gone out of its way to upgrade the backfield this offseason after Lamar Miller left.
An every-down workhorse should the Dolphins use him right, the AFC East gets a little more entertaining, and quarterback Ryan Tannehill's stunted development perhaps gets a boost. Understand the reports and comments about Elliott are just getting started.
Stats courtesy of NFL.com and are accurate as of April 6. All advanced metrics courtesy of Pro Football Focus.
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