NFL Predictions Week 17: Odds Projections, Fantasy Stars to Target and More

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NFL Predictions Week 17: Odds Projections, Fantasy Stars to Target and More
Fred Vuich/Associated Press

In a mostly failed attempt at manifesting meaningful Week 17 matchups, all 32 NFL teams face a division foe. For fantasy football players, this means rematches across the board.

Gamers get a rare opportunity to study previous head-to-head showdowns for trends. They shouldn't read too much into an outcome defying the overall numbers, however. Don't assume a star will struggle against a weak defense again. Don't bank on a no-name catching the same team off guard twice.

These three prominent players are poised to please their fantasy investors one last time before the regular season concludes.

NFL Week 17 Odds
Away Home Odds O/U Pick
New Orleans Saints Atlanta Falcons ATL -6 53 31-28 ATL
New York Jets Buffalo Bills NYJ -2.5 41.5 24-23 BUF
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Carolina Panthers CAR -10.5 46 23-20 CAR
Detroit Lions Chicago Bears CHI -1 45.5 24-21 DET
Baltimore Ravens Cincinnati Bengals CIN -9 41.5 23-13 CIN
Pittsburgh Steelers Cleveland Browns PIT -10.5 47 33-13 PIT
Washington Redskins Dallas Cowboys DAL -4 39 14-13 DAL
Jacksonville Jaguars Houston Texans HOU -6.5 45.5 28-26 HOU
Tennessee Titans Indianapolis Colts IND -6 N/A 20-17 IND
Oakland Raiders Kansas City Chiefs KC -7 43.5 23-14 KC
New England Patriots Miami Dolphins NE -9.5 47 30-20 NE
Philadelphia Eagles New York Giants NYG -3.5 51 34-31 NYG
Seattle Seahawks Arizona Cardinals ARI -6.5 47 30-24 ARI
San Diego Chargers Denver Broncos DEN -9 41.5 20-13 DEN
St. Louis Rams San Francisco 49ers STL -3 37.5 17-15 STL
Minnesota Vikings Green Bay Packers GB -3 45.5 27-24 MIN

Betting via obtained from Odds Shark

All betting info courtesy of Odds Shark

Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants

Andy Clayton-King/Associated Press

What did you think was going to happen without Odell Beckham Jr.?

While the New York Giants wide receiver served a one-game suspension last Sunday night, bad Eli Manning showed up in full force. The erratic quarterback followed two four-touchdown outings with 234 passing yards, one score and three interceptions, damaging anyone foolish enough to keep him in their Week 16 starting lineup.

His last foray with the Philadelphia Eagles didn't go well; he registered 189 yards, a touchdown and two picks during a 27-7 loss. Last year, however, he redeemed a dud at Philadelphia by closing 2014 with 429 yards, 185 to Beckham.

Only the New Orleans Saints—whom Manning torched for six touchdowns earlier this season—have relinquished more NFL.com fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks than the Eagles. With his star receiver back and the matchup shifted to a promising home slate, trust Manning to end the season strong.

DeAngelo Williams, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers

Nick Wass/Associated Press

DeAngelo Williams is a star rusher about to receive a full workload against the NFL's worst rushing defense. But that's also what everyone said the first time the Pittsburgh Steelers played the Cleveland Browns.

Heading into their Week 10 meeting, Williams had replaced the injured Le'Veon Bell as the starting running back, compiling 225 yards the previous week. The sky was the limit, but he finished with 69 yards on 18 touches.

Since then, Williams has averaged 116.4 yards per game. Better yet, the 32-year-old has scooped up six scores over those five matchups. As a heavily utilized part of Pittsburgh's No. 3-rated offense, that's no accident. According to NFLsavant.com, he has amassed 34 red-zone rushes, which ranks No. 7 despite him spending five games as Bell's understudy.

When leading the depth chart, he has a case as fantasy's top running back. Per NFL.com's standard scoring, he's the position's third-best scorer:

2015 RB Scoring Leaders
Rank Player PTS*
1 Devonta Freeman, ATL 230.0
2 Adrian Peterson, MIN 217.9
3 DeAngelo Williams, PIT 189.3
4 Doug Martin, TB 188.5
5 Todd Gurley, STL 187.4

NFL.com

His last game against Cleveland appealed to all fantasy players for good reason. The Browns have surrendered an NFL-worst 135.0 rushing yards per contest. This time around, the Steelers need a win to keep their playoff hopes alive, so Williams should get plenty of touches during a blowout. 

Eric Decker, WR, New York Jets

Kathy Willens/Associated Press

It has taken the entire season for everyone to appreciate Eric Decker as an elite wide receiver.

Looking at his game log, the New York Jets wideout hasn't had a bad performance this season. He has spread out his 11 touchdowns in 11 separate games, and he accrued 276 yards through the other three. Four catches for 81 yards, a solid line for most pass-catchers, represents his worst output of 2015.

Brandon Marshall tops him in receptions (101), yards (1,376) and touchdowns (13), but it's not a zero-sum game. NFL Network's Alex Gelhar observed both receivers' ability to coexist peacefully:

During the Jets' five-game winning streak, Decker has found the end zone four times. The other time he collected a season-high 101 yards on a dozen targets against the Giants. Per the team's Twitter page, he discussed his team's roll:

The Buffalo Bills were supposed to terrorize offenses after hiring head coach Rex Ryan. Instead, they rank No. 23 in passing defense and surrendered at least 20 points in five straight games before shutting down Kellen Moore's Dallas Cowboys.

Decker is tied with DeAndre Hopkins for most red-zone targets, per NFLsavant.com. Many unappreciative owners may realize this too late, but he's a worthwhile top-10 receiver.

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