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Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton (14) lines up at the line of scrimmage in the first half of an NFL football game against the St. Louis Rams, Sunday, Nov. 29, 2015, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Gary Landers)
Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton (14) lines up at the line of scrimmage in the first half of an NFL football game against the St. Louis Rams, Sunday, Nov. 29, 2015, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Gary Landers)Gary Landers/Associated Press

Fantasy Football Week 13 Rankings: Projections to Love and Matchups to Exploit

Chris RolingDec 4, 2015

Green Bay Packers tight end Richard Rodgers gets all of the attention right now for his game-winning catch on Thursday Night Football against the Detroit Lions.

Call it an incredible way to kick off Week 13 of fantasy football, but owners will see it as even more justification for weighing matchups as one of the most important factors around. Right with him on the scoring leaderboard was quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who also sat in one of the week's top matchups.

Below, let's look at the rest. It's a gaudy slate with plenty of chances to craft meaningful lineups and score wins late in the season.

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Week 13 Schedule

Seattle at Minnesota1:00 pm
Cincinnati at Cleveland1:00 pm
Baltimore at Miami1:00 pm
Houston at Buffalo1:00 pm
San Francisco at Chicago1:00 pm
Jacksonville at Tennessee1:00 pm
Atlanta at Tampa Bay1:00 pm
Arizona at St. Louis1:00 pm
N.Y. Jets at N.Y. Giants1:00 pm
Denver at San Diego4:05 pm
Kansas City at Oakland4:05 pm
Carolina at New Orleans4:25 pm
Philadelphia at New England4:25 pm
Indianapolis at Pittsburgh8:30 pm
Dallas at Washington8:30 pm

Quarterbacks

1Cam Newton20
2Tom Brady19
3Carson Palmer18
4Andy Dalton16
5Drew Brees12
6Ryan Tannehill12
7Eli Manning11
8Ben Roethlisberger*10
9Philip Rivers10
10Ryan Fitzpatrick10
11Derek Carr10
12Russell Wilson10
13Blake Bortles9
14Marcus Mariota8
15Jay Cutler8

Other than Cam Newton destroying the New Orleans Saints, Andy Dalton of the Cincinnati Bengals is a great matchup to exploit.

For some odd reason, Dalton still has an ownership percentage of just 93.4, but the chunk of owners have cashed in on 19 or more points in three of his last four outings—he's scored 17 or more points nine times this year.

One of those times came via a 21-point outburst on three touchdowns against the Cleveland Browns. Dalton's AFC North rivals allow the fourth-most points to the position, so his having another major day looks like a sure thing.

Ryan Tannehill of the Miami Dolphins sits in the same ownership-percentage boat at 67 despite 15 or more points five times.

Tannehill's more of a matchup-based play than Dalton, which is just fine this week with the Baltimore Ravens in town. The Ravens look lost and allow the second-most points to the spot with two or more passing touchdowns surrendered eight times this year.

Running Backs

1Devonta Freeman*16
2Adrian Peterson15
3DeAngelo Williams13
4Matt Forte12
5LeSean McCoy12
6Lamar Miller12
7Doug Martin12
8Mark Ingram11
9Todd Gurley11
10Darren McFadden11
11Jonathan Stewart11
12Charcandrick West*10
13LeGarrette Blount9
14T.J. Yeldon9
15Thomas Rawls9
16David Johnson8
17C.J. Anderson8
18Chris Ivory8
19Latavius Murray8
20DeMarco Murray7
21Javorius Allen7
22Jeremy Langford7
23Jeremy Hill7
24Alfred Morris7
25Frank Gore6
26Giovani Bernard6
27Shaun Draughn6
28Antonio Andrews6
29Danny Woodhead6
30Alfred Blue6

Other than the usual suspects at the top of the list, keep a close eye on Pittsburgh Steelers running back DeAngelo Williams, who has worked his way into the top 10 scorers at the position this year. 

Le'Veon Bell's replacement has outings of 36 and 16 points in two of his last three games, a strong example of his production based on matchups this year.

It's nothing but a good thing for owners going into a showdown against the Indianapolis Colts, owners of a defense allowing the eighth-most points to backs with double digits allowed to backfields in every game except two.

Another veteran in for a big day would be Doug Martin of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. His rebound season continues against the Atlanta Falcons, a defense coughing up the fourth-most points to backs with totals of 22 and 33 allowances in recent weeks.

Martin carried the ball 23 times for 71 yards and seven points against the Falcons in Week 8, but the numbers should be even bigger this time around with the Falcons tanking the hardest of any team over the past month.

Wide Receivers

1Julio Jones14
2A.J. Green13
3Alshon Jeffery13
4Antonio Brown12
5Odell Beckham Jr.12
6DeAndre Hopkins12
7Larry Fitzgerald11
8Brandon Marshall11
9T.Y. Hilton10
10Amari Cooper9
11Jarvis Landry9
12Brandon LaFell9
13Mike Evans8
14Michael Crabtree8
15Danny Amendola*8
16Allen Robinson8
17Sammy Watkins8
18Eric Decker8
19Stevie Johnson8
20Martavis Bryant8
21Jeremy Maclin8
22Demaryius Thomas8
23Dez Bryant7
24Tavon Austin7
25Brandin Cooks7
26Emmanuel Sanders7
27Kamar Aiken6
28Jordan Matthews6
29Doug Baldwin6
30John Brown6
31Donte Moncrief6
32Kenny Stills6
33Vincent Jackson6
34Michael Floyd6
35Marvin Jones6

Thursday didn't show it much, but Week 13 figures to be a strong one for wideouts. 

Even Colts wideout T.Y. Hilton should get in on the top-scoring action with 40-year-old quarterback Matt Hasselbeck under center. 

He sure did last week, catching six passes for 95 yards and two scores, good for 21 points. It was a matter of time before Hilton developed strong chemistry with the veteran gunslinger, and just in time for a Steelers defense allowing the fourth-most points to wideouts.

Seriously, Pittsburgh just allowed five touchdown passes last week to Seattle. Hilton's going to find pay dirt.

Alongside Hilton in the rankings is Oakland's Amari Cooper. The rookie stands as the Raiders' top weapon this year with six trips to double digits. He gets his first of two shots at the Kansas City Chiefs this weekend, owners of a defense surrendering the second-most points to his position.

The Chiefs have let up double digits to opposing wideouts in every game this year. Cooper's a lock to go for such a total on his own as the No. 1 wideout.

Tight Ends

1Greg Olsen14
2Travis Kelce12
3Delanie Walker10
4Tyler Eifert*8
5Scott Chandler8
6Gary Barnidge8
7Julius Thomas8
8Jordan Reed7
9Coby Fleener7
10Antonio Gates6
11Heath Miller6
12Martellus Bennett*6

Other than a member of the Panthers yet again destroying the Saints, it's all about Kansas City's Kelce at tight end.

Kelce hasn't been the most reliable player in the world by any means this year, but he did break through for double digits last time out for the first time since Week 8.

Now Kelce gets to ride that momentum into a matchup with the Raiders, a team so bad against tight ends that at one point owners had no choice but to start whoever lined up against them. Oakland still allows the second-most points to the position and coughed up 19 last week, so expect Kelce to have a major day.

Don't forget about Jacksonville Jaguars tight end Julius Thomas either, who also enters this week after a strong double-digit outing. Thomas isn't posting anywhere near the numbers he did last year in Denver, but he's now healthy and playing well.

Owners better have him in the lineup this weekend against the Tennessee Titans. They allow the seventh-most points to the position, and back in Week 11 Thomas caught a touchdown and totaled eight points against the unit.

More this time around wouldn't be a shock.

Defense/Special Teams

1Broncos10
2Cardinals9
3Bengals9
4Bears9
5Seahawks8
6Panthers7
7Patriots7
8Titans6
9Texans6
10Jets6

It wouldn't hurt to follow logic that says start any defense that plays the Browns.

Of course, it certainly helps that it happens to be the Bengals this week. Cleveland allows the second-most points to opposing defenses this year, a scary proposition against a Cincinnati defense that ranks among the top 10 scorers at the position.

Cincinnati has at least one interception in all but two games this year and is sure to make Austin Davis' start a nightmare. Expect sacks and interceptions galore as the Bengals gun for a No. 1 seed in the conference and a season sweep of the Battle of Ohio.

Kickers

1Blair Walsh8
2Matt Bryant*8
3Cairo Santos8
4Brandon McManus8
5Graham Gano8
6Chandler Catanzaro8
7Mike Nugent7
8Steven Hauschka7
9Josh Brown7
10Dustin Hopkins6

Cairo Santos looks like one of the top dogs heading into the divisional showdown between the Chiefs and Raiders.

The Raiders allow the second-most points to kickers this year, having permitted six double-digit performances with three of its last four opponents attempting three field goals per game.

Santos, on the other hand, has four double-digit outings this year as fantasy's third-highest scorer. He's attempted 12 kicks over his past three outings alone, so sheer volume against a bad unit will ensure a big day.

All scoring info courtesy of ESPN standard leagues, as is points-against info and ownership stats as of Dec. 4.

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