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Houston Texans' Alfred Blue (28) rushes for a touchdown against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 27, 2015, in Houston. (AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
Houston Texans' Alfred Blue (28) rushes for a touchdown against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 27, 2015, in Houston. (AP Photo/David J. Phillip)David J. Phillip/Associated Press

Fantasy Football Week 12 Rankings: Final Outlook for Sunday's Flex, PPR Players

Andrew GouldNov 29, 2015

The fantasy football postseason continues to inch closer into sight. For many managers, Week 12 represents the penultimate matchup before slicing down the league's crop of championship combatants.

With so much at stake, players will feel amplified pressure to set the optimal lineup. After Thursday's game, this is already an unattainable goal, especially for anyone who owns Aaron Rodgers, Tony Romo, DeMarco Murray, Matt Forte or Dez Bryant. Others are observing an opponent's bloated point tally on the strength of Matthew Stafford or Calvin Johnson, hoping to somehow erase the deficit.

While the remaining 26 teams are unlikely to play nice and offer predictable outcomes, let's take a last-minute assessment of Week 12's top flex plays for standard and point-per-reception (PPR) leagues. 

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1DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOUDeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU
2Julio Jones, WR, ATLJulio Jones, WR, ATL
3Adrian Peterson, RB, MINAntonio Brown, WR, PIT
4Todd Gurley, RB, STLOdell Beckham Jr., WR, NYG
5Odell Beckham Jr., WR, NYGLarry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI
6Antonio Brown, WR, PITAdrian Peterson, RB, MIN
7LeSean McCoy, RB, BUFTodd Gurley, RB, STL
8Doug Martin, RB, TBMike Evans, WR, TB
9Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARIRob Gronkowski, TE, NE
10Rob Gronkowski, TE, NEAllen Robinson, WR, JAX
11Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARILeSean McCoy, RB, BUF
12Mark Ingram, RB, NODemaryius Thomas, WR, DEN
13Mike Evans, WR, TBMark Ingram, RB, NO
14Lamar Miller, RB, MIAA.J. Green, WR, CIN
15T.J. Yeldon, RB, JAXBrandon Marshall, WR, NYJ
16Allen Robinson, WR, JAXDoug Martin, RB, TB
17Thomas Rawls, RB, SEAJarvis Landry, WR, MIA
18A.J. Green, WR, CINLamar Miller, RB, MIA
19Chris Johnson, RB, ARIEric Decker, WR, NYJ
20Demaryius Thomas, WR, DENBrandin Cooks, WR, NO
21Brandon Marshall, WR, NYJAmari Cooper, WR, OAK
22Javorius Allen, RB, BALMichael Crabtree, WR, OAK
23DeAngelo Williams, RB, PITT.J. Yeldon, RB, JAX
24Chris Ivory, RB, NYJThomas Rawls, RB, SEA
25Eric Decker, WR, NYJStevie Johnson, WR, SD
26Brandin Cooks, WR, NODanny Woodhead, RB, SD
27Latavius Murray, RB, OAKJavorius Allen, RB, BAL
28Amari Cooper, WR, OAKDelanie Walker, TE, TEN
29Alfred Blue, RB, HOUMartavis Bryant, WR, PIT
30Allen Hurns, WR, JAXGiovani Bernard, RB, CIN
31Giovani Bernard, RB, CINJordan Reed, TE, WAS
32Jarvis Landry, WR, MIAStefon Diggs, WR, MIN
33Michael Crabtree, WR, OAKTyler Eifert, TE, CIN
34Tyler Eifert, TE, CINAllen Hurns, WR, JAX
35LeGarrette Blount, RB, NEAntonio Gates, TE, SD
36Martavis Bryant, WR, PITChris Johnson, RB, ARI
37Delanie Walker, TE, TENJohn Brown, WR, ARI
38Frank Gore, RB, INDDeAngelo Williams, RB, PIT
39Danny Woodhead, RB, SDChris Ivory, RB, NYJ
40Stefon Diggs, WR, MINT.Y. Hilton, WR, IND
41T.Y. Hilton, WR, INDLatavius Murray, RB, OAK
42Jordan Reed, TE, WASGary Barnidge, TE, CLE
43Gary Barnidge, TE, CLEAlfred Blue, RB, HOU
44Tevin Coleman, RB, ATLSammy Watkins, WR, BUF
45John Brown, WR, ARIEmmanuel Sanders, WR, DEN
46Spencer Ware, RB, KCLeGarrette Blount, RB, NE
47Ronnie Hillman, RB, DENKamar Aiken, WR, BAL
48Antonio Gates, TE, SDKendall Wright, WR, TEN
49Stevie Johnson, WR, SDTevin Coleman, RB, ATL
50Sammy Watkins, WR, BUFBrandon LaFell, WR, NE

Alfred Blue, RB, Houston Texans

Give a subpar network sitcom 23 episodes per season, and one is bound to elicit a few laughs. Alfred Blue isn't particularly good at football, but simply getting air time often matters more than quality.

Only desperate or deep-league managers started the Houston Texans running back against the New York Jets' No. 3 defense last weekend. After all, what's an ineffective rusher going to do against an elite run-prevention unit with backup quarterback T.J. Yates behind center?

With the help of 24 touches and a trick play, Blue did enough. His 92 yards weren't particularly efficient, but a 21-yard touchdown grab from wide receiver Cecil Shorts led him to a successful Sunday. 

In six games without Arian Foster, Blue is averaging 15 carries and 51 rushing yards per contest. His 3.3 yards per rush should still concern owners, but heavy volume puts him on the map against an awful New Orleans Saints defense.

Yielding 4.9 yards per run, the Saints ranks No. 27 in rushing defense and No. 29 in fantasy points allowed per game to opposing backs. Before their bye, they led Shane Vereen, Antonio Andrews, Alfred Morris and Matt Jones to usable outcomes. Opportunity doesn't always overcome limited skill—hey there, Davante Adams—but a starting running back who is in line for regular touches against New Orleans will always be a worthwhile choice.

Chris Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals

Chris Johnson also has volume and a strong matchup working in his favor. Only three rushers (Jonathan Stewart, Adrian Peterson and Doug Martin) have received more carries than Johnson, who rode a heavy workload to a big day against the San Francisco 49ers in Week 3:

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Like Blue, Johnson isn't making the most of his chances. On an Arizona Cardinals squad that leads the league in yards (417.3) and points (33.6) per game, the 30-year-old has scored just three touchdowns this season. He has also caught only six passes, which has led to underwhelming PPR results, as noted by Rotoworld's Rich Hribar:

Over those last five games, Johnson has recorded 3.7 yards per rush. He needs heavy usage to matter, but that's certainly in the cards against San Francisco. 

The 49ers rank No. 26 against the run while relinquishing the third-most fantasy points to running backs. When they met on Sept. 27, the Cardinals had plenty of time to run the ball during a 47-7 victory. Odds Shark projects another lopsided bout, favoring Arizona to win the rematch by 11.5 points. 

Nobody can accurately predict touchdowns, but a running back getting regular carries on a heavy favorite is a solid bet for some red-zone handoffs. He has failed to parlay his advantageous circumstances into big gains before, but Johnson's surroundings and matchup maintain his status as a safe starter in standard leagues.

Martavis Bryant, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

Now let's take a steep turn to Martavis Bryant, a big-play wide receiver who is facing the Seattle Seahawks' No. 2 passing defense. The second-year pro has a rickety floor covered in mold, but he also boasts the high-upside talent to win a matchup.

Based on his comments to NFL.com's Ali Bhanpuri, the Pittsburgh Steelers wideout would have a gripe with his placement on the Week 12 flex listings. "I rank myself No. 1," Bryant said. "I don't rank myself behind anyone. Not even A.B [Antonio Brown]. He's my teammate, but I consider myself better. You can't go in with that mindset and think someone is better than you." 

Brown registered 27 catches for 423 yards over his last two games, so fantasy gamers can't follow Bryant's confidence. However, a bigger game from Pittsburgh's No. 2 receiver is feasible if Seattle sends star cornerback Richard Sherman to shadow Brown.

According to Football Outsiders, Seattle rates No. 18 in defensive-adjusted value over average (DVOA) against No. 2 wideouts. In a similar situation two weeks ago, Michael Floyd decimated Seattle's secondary for 113 yards and two touchdowns. On FantasyPros, Football Guys' Sigmund Bloom made a case for Bryant based on Arizona's Week 10 success versus the Seahawks:

"

The Seahawks pass defense at home gave up a huge game to a similar receiver two weeks ago in Michael Floyd, and if the Seahawks devoted Earl Thomas over the top to keep Bryant from going vertical, Antonio Brown is going to eat them alive. The Steelers’ vertical pass offense is very similar to Arizona’s, who put up 39 points in Seattle two weeks ago.

"

Bloom's No. 6 rank for Bryant—the highest among all participating experts—is certainly aggressive, but the wide receiver has procured 440 receiving yards and five touchdowns through five games. Gamers may lament using him, but they can't downplay the risk of missing another huge performance.

Fantasy scoring data obtained from NFL.com

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