Ranking the Top Prospect for All 30 MLB Teams Entering 2015
Earlier today Prospect Pipeline completed our rankings of every organization’s top-10 prospects for the 2015 season. Now, it's now time to go back and break down every club's No. 1 prospect in the form of a team-by-team ranking.
In preparation for spring training as well as our official list of the top 100 prospects for the upcoming season, we’ve put together a tentative ranking of each team's best prospect heading into 2015. Some of the scouting notes for each player have been derived from his original scouting report.
Here are our rankings of the top prospect for all 30 MLB teams entering 2015.
How They're Ranked
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Position Players
- Body type/athleticism
- Speed
- Hitting mechanics, bat speed
- Injury history
- Statistical trends
- Age vs. level: How well a player fared at a certain level relative to his age and that of the competition
- Tools: Number of projectable tools a player possesses in relation to his position, age and competition; present vs. future tool grades
- Hit tool: In the evolution of the prospect landscape, the hit tool is the most important—but also the hardest to project.
- League and park factors
- On-base skills: Approach; strike-zone management; pitch recognition
- Makeup/character
- Defensive tools and skill sets; present vs. projected position
- Place on organization's depth chart
- Positional scarcity; up-the-middle potential
Pitchers
- Body type/athleticism/strength
- Mechanics: Delivery; arm speed; release point
- Age vs. highest level of experience
- Injury history (durability)
- Statistical trends
- Arsenal quality and depth
- Pitch projections: Present vs. future grades
- Hitability: How tough is he to barrel? Does he keep the ball on the ground/in the park?
- Control/command: Is he usually around the zone? Does he effectively command his stuff? How much development/refinement is needed?
- Pitchability: Feel (and confidence) for using and sequencing entire arsenal.
- Approach: Does he fearlessly attack and challenge opposing hitters?
- Projection: Does he project as a starter? If so, what type? Or is he likely to be relegated to the bullpen? If so, why?
Resources
- Firsthand scouting
- Video analysis
- Industry contacts
- Statistics (Courtesy of Baseball-Reference, FanGraphs and MiLB.com)
30. Tyler Kolek, RHP, Miami Marlins
2 of 31Position: RHP
DOB: 12/15/1995 (Age: 19)
Height/Weight: 6’5”, 260 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted: First round, 2014 (Shepherd HS, Texas)
Last Year’s Ranking: NA
ETA: 2018
Future Pitch Grades
| Fastball | Slider | Changeup | Control |
| 80 | 65 | 50 | 50 |
Scouting Report
Selected with the No. 2 overall pick in the 2014 draft, Tyler Kolek is everything one looks for in a potential front-of-the-rotation starting pitcher, as he’s a physical presence on the mound at 6’5” and 250 pounds with elite fastball velocity.
Working on a downhill plane from a three-quarters arm slot, Kolek sits comfortably in the mid-90s with his heater and bumps triple digits. More importantly, he produces the near-elite velocity with ease and holds it deep into games.
Kolek’s secondary arsenal will require thorough development, as he throws an inconsistent slider that flashes plus potential, an average curveball and a seldom-used changeup. However, all three offerings are expected to improve in the coming years, as their current states more so reflect his lack of experience and feel on the mound.
It will be difficult for Kolek to reach his ceiling as a front-of-the-rotation starter without first drastically improving his control and command, but, as it likely will be the case with his secondary weapons, he’s likely to make natural developmental strides with experience.
Ceiling (OFP): 70 (No. 2 or 3 starter) – Extreme risk
29. Steven Moya, OF, Detroit Tigers
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Position: OF
DOB: 08/09/1991 (Age: 23)
Height/Weight: 6’6’, 230 lbs
Bats/Throws: L/R
Signed: 2008 (Dominican Republic)
Last Year’s Ranking: 9
ETA: Debuted in 2014
Tools Breakdown (Future Grades)
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Field |
| 40 | 70 | 50 | 60 | 45 |
Scouting Report
Steven Moya’s nearly elite raw power has long ranked among the best in the minor leagues, but a rash of injuries—including Tommy John surgery—caused him to fall behind the developmental curve, which is why he reached Double-A Erie for the first time this year in his sixth professional campaign.
Suffice it to say that Moya helped to make up for the lost time in a big way, as he was named MVP of the Double-A Eastern League after leading the circuit in home runs (35), RBI (105), extra-base hits (71) and slugging percentage (.555)—all career highs. On top of that, his 35 bombs, 286 total bases, 71 extra-base hits and 105 RBI were single-season franchise records for Erie.
The Tigers rewarded Moya for his breakout performance with a September call-up, and there’s a good chance the team will at least consider him for a bench role to begin the 2015 season.
Ceiling (OFP): 55 (solid-average regular); Medium risk
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28. Franklin Barreto, SS/2B, Oakland Athletics
4 of 31Position: SS/2B
DOB: 02/27/1996 (Age: 18)
Height/Weight: 5’9”, 175 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Signed: 2012 by Blue Jays (Venezuela)
Last Year’s Ranking: 5 (Blue Jays)
ETA: 2018
Tools Breakdown (Future Grades):
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Field |
| 50 | 45 | 60 | 60 | 50 |
Scouting Report
Barreto shined at the plate last season in the Short Season Northwest League, as the 18-year-old shortstop batted a cool .311/.384/.481 to go along with 33 extra-base hits and 29 stolen bases. Once viewed as the potential heir to Jose Reyes in Toronto, Barreto was dealt to the A’s in November in the Josh Donaldson deal.
Barreto is undersized at 5’9”and 175 pounds, but he’s an excellent athlete with plus speed and the potential for four average-or-better tools at maturity. The right-handed batter showcases advanced bat-to-ball skills and a knack for making hard contact, using his strong hands and quick wrists to whip the barrel through the zone on line-drive plane. It’s hard to gauge his power potential due to his age and lack of experience against quality arms, but his approach and bat speed suggests it will be at least fringe-average.
The 18-year-old is raw at shortstop with an inconsistent glove and overaggressive actions, although his body control and feel for game should naturally improve with further experience. Barreto showcases plus arm strength across infield but has fringy accuracy, often rushing his throws rather than setting his feet, while his overall defensive profile could also be a clean fit at second base.
Ceiling (OFP): 55 (solid-average regular) – High risk
27. Willy Adames, SS, Tampa Bay Rays
5 of 31Position: SS
DOB: 09/02/1995 (Age: 19)
Height/Weight: 6’1”, 180 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Signed: 2012 by Tigers (Dominican Republic)
Last Year’s Rank: NR
ETA: 2017
Tools Breakdown (Future Grades):
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Glove |
| 55 | 60 | 50 | 60 | 50 |
Scouting Report
Originally signed by the Tigers in 2012 out of the Dominican Republic, Adames put himself on the prospect radar this past season with an impressive full-season debut. The 19-year-old’s performance at Low-A Bowling Green led to him being traded to Tampa Bay at the July deadline as part of the David Price deal.
Adames started to come into his own in 2014, as his fluid swing, bat speed and barrel control produced more consistent hard contact as well as in-game power. And given his projectable 6’1”, 180-pound frame, it’s easy to envision Adames adding more power in the coming years, possibly to the point where it’s an above-average tool at maturity.
Though he’s technically just an average runner, Adames still moves well on both sides of the ball thanks to his athleticism and instincts. At shortstop, the teenager has the footwork, hands and arm strength to remain at the position long term, but his average range and his likelihood of losing a step or two with physical maturation could potentially force him to the hot corner.
With one year of full-season ball under his belt, it goes without saying there’s a huge gap between Adames’ present ability and overall potential. The 19-year-old has the makings of an impact hitter at maturity, which is all the more reason for the Rays to keep him at shortstop for as long as possible. He’ll likely open 2015 in the pitcher-friendly Florida State League, which should be a healthy challenge for his promising bat.
Ceiling (OFP): 60 (First-division regular)—High risk
26. Kyle Crick, RHP, San Francisco Giants
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Position: RHP
DOB: 11/30/1992 (Age: 22)
Height/Weight: 6’4”, 220 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted: First round, 2011 (Sherman HS, Texas)
Last Year’s Ranking: 1
ETA: 2016
Future Pitch Grades
| Fastball | Curveball | Slider | Changeup | Control |
| 70 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 45 |
Scouting Report
Crick’s modest success last season at Double-A Richmond was directly tied to his ability to miss bats (11.1 K/9) and limit hard contact (.234 BAA). Beyond that, however, the 22-year-old was consistently inefficient, as he issued 61 walks in 90.1 innings (6.1 BB/9) and frequently reached his club-imposed 100-pitch limit early in the game. More specifically, Crick averaged fewer than 4.1 innings in his 22 starts.
A 6’4”, 220-pound right-hander, Crick’s fastball explodes out of his at 93-96 mph with late life, and he’ll reach back for plus-plus velocity as needed. Unfortunately, he’s yet to figure out how to execute his heater within the zone, which has led to entirely too many deep counts and, you guessed it, walks.
Crick’s changeup is a second plus pitch, thrown with excellent arm speed and considerable fade, and he also throws a pair of breaking balls: an inconsistent curveball that flashes above-average potential and a hard slider in the high 80s that should help him miss even more bats once refined.
Crick projects as a No. 3 starter given his age, durability and electric stuff, but his fringy control and well-below-average command continues to hold him back. The Giants still have every reason to continue developing him as a starter, as he’s a legitimate four-pitch guy with serious untapped potential. If that doesn’t work out, Crick’s combination of power and filth will make him a late-inning force out of the bullpen, possibly even an impact closer.
Ceiling (OFP): 60 (No. 3 starter/top-tier closer)—Medium risk
25. Tyrone Taylor, OF, Milwaukee Brewers
7 of 31Position: OF
DOB: 01/22/1994 (Age: 20)
Height/Weight: 6’0”, 185 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted: Second round, 2012 (Torrance HS, California)
Last Year’s Ranking: 1
ETA: 2016
Tools Breakdown (Future Grades):
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Field |
| 55 | 50 | 60 | 55 | 60 |
Scouting Report
Taylor’s production this past season in the Florida State League mirrored his full-season debut at Low-A Wisconsin from the previous year, as he batted .278/.331/.396 with 45 extra-base hits (36 doubles) and 23 stolen bases in 130 games. The 20-year-old was moved up to Double-A for the final week of the regular season, and he’ll almost definitely return there to open 2015.
The 6’0”, 185-pound outfielder does a good job staying inside the baseball, and he uses the entire field, with a majority of his power going to the gaps. Taylor has the potential for average power at maturity, but he’s still figuring out how to apply it in games.
Taylor’s plus athleticism stands out in center field, as he possesses excellent closing speed and can flat-out go get the ball. Furthermore, he has an instinctual first step and takes direct routes, and he’s especially adept at going back and tracking the ball.
Taylor likely won’t be ready for the major leagues for another two years, but the 20-year-old has the makings of a first-division center fielder with 20-20 potential in his prime.
Ceiling (OFP): 60 (First-division regular) – Medium risk
24. Aaron Judge, OF, New York Yankees
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Position: OF
DOB: 04/26/1992 (Age: 22)
Height/Weight: 6’7”, 230 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted: First round, 2013 (Fresno State)
Last Year’s Rank: 10
ETA: 2016
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Field |
| 50 | 70 | 50 | 60 | 50 |
Scouting Report
Judge doesn’t have a typical big-man’s swing; instead, he features a surprisingly compact stroke, keeping his hands close to his body throughout, and his barrel stays in the hitting zone for an extended period of time. He employs a patient approach that allows him to see lots of pitches, tracking the ball well horizontally as he looks to work deep counts and will take his free passes.
Judge’s height and natural swing length could make him susceptible to good velocity on the hands, and he can struggle to keep his hands back against quality breaking balls. Judge likely will always have some swing-and-miss to his game, but how much? Judge’s swing lacks lift, but with tremendous physical strength and above-average bat speed, he can still effortlessly rope line drives over fences to the deepest part of any park.
Judge runs better than one might expect given his frame, showing average speed on both sides of the ball, but he’s very likely to lose a lot of that giddy-up with natural physical development. His plus arm strength is ideal for right field at the highest level; quick release but gets on top of throws, generating good carry with improving accuracy. He plays well in right field, with solid closing speed in all directions, especially toward the line, and he gets solid reads off the bat despite lack of professional experience. His average range stems from combination of average speed and enormous strides, though durability will always be a concerns given his size.
At 6’7”, 230 pounds (debatable), Judge is not the poorly coordinated ogre you’d expect him to be. Rather, he’s an impressive athlete with loud tools and promising secondary skills on both sides of the ball. Both hit-tool ceiling and long-term durability are question marks, but as long as he stays healthy, Judge has the potential for 20-plus home runs with a high on-base percentage while playing a solid right field in the major leagues.
Ceiling (OFP): 60 (First-division player) - Medium risk
23. Jose Peraza, 2B, Atlanta Braves
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Position: 2B
DOB: 04/30/1994 (Age: 20)
Height/Weight: 6’0”, 165 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Signed: 2010 (Venezuela)
Last Year’s Ranking: 6
ETA: Late 2015
Tools Breakdown (Future Grades)
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Field |
| 55 | 30 | 70 | 60 | 60 |
Scouting Report
What he lacks in physicality at 6’0” and 165 pounds, Jose Peraza makes up for with speed and quickness in all facets of the game. The 20-year-old has the foundation of an above-average hitter but will need to add strength over the course of his development. A right-handed hitter, he drives the ball from line to line and should amass his share of doubles and triples.
However, he also struggles to drive the ball at times, with a majority of his contact staying on the infield. That’s not necessarily a bad thing, though; Peraza is a plus-plus runner who can burn down the line, not to mention an advanced base stealer who’s already skilled at reading pitchers and picking his spots.
Peraza is an above-average defender with outstanding range at both middle infield positions, and his glove will probably always play up thanks to his instincts and first-step quickness.
The Braves shifted Peraza from shortstop to second base last season in deference to Andrelton Simmons, which could give the team one of the best double-play combinations in baseball for years to come. As of now, the Braves seem prepared to begin next season with a combination of Philip Gosselin and the recently signed Alberto Callaspo at the keystone. However, they’ll only be keeping the seat warm for Peraza, who should arrive at some point during the second half.
Ceiling (OFP): 60 (First-division player) - Medium risk
22. Stephen Piscotty, OF, St. Louis Cardinals
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Position: OF
DOB: 01/14/1991 (Age: 23)
Height/Weight: 6’3”, 210 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted: First round, 2012 (Stanford)
Last Year’s Ranking: 3
ETA: 2015
Tools Breakdown (Future Grades):
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Field |
| 60 | 50 | 50 | 65 | 55 |
Scouting Report
Piscotty continued to hit this season at Triple-A Memphis, batting .288/.355/.406 with 41 extra-base hits, but never showed the in-game power many were expecting to see in his second full professional season.
The 23-year-old is a smart hitter with a mature approach and consistently uses the whole field, stinging the ball from line to line. The right-handed batter demonstrates patience at the plate as he works deep counts and waits for specific pitches, and he rarely cheats himself by chasing secondary pitches out of the zone.
Piscotty has plenty of gap power, with at least 40 extra-base hits in each of the last two seasons, but he lacks the power frequency commonly associated with a first-division corner outfielder.
Piscotty's speed may be only average, but it plays up on both sides of the ball thanks to his impressive athleticism. A third baseman in college, Piscotty’s athleticism and high baseball IQ helped him make a smooth transition to the outfield in 2013. He profiles as an above-average defender in right field with plus arm strength, and he gets consistently good reads off the bat and takes direct routes.
Piscotty’s hit tool and solid defense will get him to the major leagues in 2015, but it’s the ongoing development of his in-game power that will determine whether he reaches achieves his projected ceiling of an above-average player.
Ceiling (OFP): 60 (first-division player) – Low risk
21. Andrew Heaney, LHP, Los Angeles Angels
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Position: LHP
DOB: 06/05/1991 (Age: 23)
Height/Weight: 6’2”, 185 lbs
Bats/Throws: L/L
Drafted: First round, 2012 by Marlins (Oklahoma State)
Last Year’s Ranking: 1 (Marlins)
ETA: Debuted in 2014
Future Pitch Grades:
| Fastball | Slider | Changeup | Control |
| 60 | 60 | 55 | 60 |
Scouting Report
Andrew Heaney opened 2014 with a dominant showing between the Double-A and Triple-A levels, which resulted in a promotion to the major leagues in early June. However, the 23-year-old left-handed pitcher couldn’t replicate his minor league success against the game’s top hitters, going 0-3 with a 6.53 ERA and five home runs allowed in 20.2 innings over four starts.
Heaney continued to scuffle after returning to Triple-A, registering a 4.30 ERA and yielding eight more home runs over his final 60.2 innings (11 starts), but he still returned to the major leagues in September and looked sharp, notching four strikeouts and allowing just two hits over 4.2 scoreless innings out of the bullpen.
During the offseason, Heaney was dealt to the Dodgers in December as part of the Dee Gordon trade, only to be traded to the Angels in return for Howie Kendrick.
At 6’2”, Heaney’s frame is both wiry and athletic with room to add strength. As for his stuff, the left-hander features an above-average fastball that sits in the low 90s and touches 95 with late life. His command of the pitch was challenged last season in the major leagues, but there isn’t any reason to believe it won’t improve with experience.
His go-to secondary pitch is an above-average slider he can throw for a strike early in the count, and then use it to put away hitters out of the zone when ahead. The left-hander made significant progress developing his changeup last season, partially in response to facing more advanced right-handed hitters, and it should at least be a solid-to-average offering at maturity.
Heaney should have the opportunity to crack the Angels’ Opening Day rotation, though that might depend on Garrett Richards’ recovery.
Ceiling (OFP): 60 (No. 3 starter)—Low risk
20. Alex Jackson, OF, Seattle Mariners
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Position: OF
DOB: 12/25/1995 (Age: 19)
Height/Weight: 6’2”, 215 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted: First round, 2014 (Rancho Bernardo HS, California)
Last Year’s Ranking: NA
ETA: Late 2017
Tools Breakdown (Future Grades):
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Field |
| 60 | 65 | 45 | 60 | 50 |
Scouting Report
Alex Jackson, the No. 6 overall pick in this year’s draft, suffered a broken bone in his left cheek in late July when he was struck by a fly ball after losing it in the lights during an Arizona League game. The injury kept the 19-year-old outfielder out of action for exactly a month, but he returned to finish his professional debut with a .280/.344/.476 batting line and 10 extra-base hits in 23 games.
Viewed by many as the top prep hitter in the 2014 draft class, Jackson projects as a middle-of-the-order hitter thanks to his plus bat speed, natural hitting ability and big-time raw power. His swing can get long and prevent him from getting to hittable pitches like he should out over the plate; however, that’s a fairly common issue with young power hitters, and one that is often resolved naturally as they adapt to quality professional arms.
Jackson’s projection for plus power stems from the combination of his explosive bat speed and the extension he achieves through contact, as he drives the ball with backspin carry to all fields.
After spending most of his amateur career behind the dish, the 6’2”, 200-pounder was moved to right field upon turning pro. His athleticism gives him average range, while his plus arm is a clean fit at the position. Meanwhile, Jackson’s move to the outfield should get him to the major leagues faster than he would have as a catcher, as it allows him to focus on his offensive development instead of that and refining his skills behind the plate.
Despite playing in only 24 games last summer, Jackson should receive a full-season assignment to Low-A Clinton to begin 2015.
Ceiling (OFP): 65 (Potential All-Star)—High risk
19. Aaron Sanchez, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays
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Position: RHP
DOB: 07/01/1992 (Age: 22)
Height/Weight: 6’4”, 190 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted: First round, 2010 (Barstow HS, Calif.)
Last Year’s Rank: 2
ETA: Debuted in 2014
Future Pitch Grades:
| Fastball | Curveball | Changeup | Control |
| 70 | 65 | 60 | 45 |
Scouting Report
In Aaron Sanchez’s first taste of Double- and Triple-A levels last season, the 22-year-old right-hander saw his strikeout and walk rates trend in opposite directions, though he still proved to be difficult to barrel for opposing hitters. Still, the Blue Jays decided to promote Sanchez to the major leagues in late July and put him in the bullpen, where the right-hander emerged as a late-inning force behind three saves and a .128 opponents’ batting average in 33 innings.
Sanchez is one of the more projectable right-handed pitching prospects, with a ridiculously athletic frame and effortless, drool-worthy arm action. His fastball is a plus-plus offering in the mid- to upper-90s that seemingly jumps on opposing hitters with exceptional late life.
His curveball is flat-out nasty, with tight spin and knee-buckling bite, while his changeup will flash plus and features fastball-like arm speed. However, he still has problems retiring left-handed batters, which is a product of his varying fastball command and inconsistent changeup.
Walks have always been an issue for Sanchez, and his overall lack of efficiency continues to prevent him from working deep into games as a starter. He was much more successful controlling the zone as a reliever, though, as he demonstrated more faith in his pure stuff rather than trying pace himself and execute each pitch.
The Blue Jays still view Sanchez as a starter long term despite his lights-out performance out of the bullpen, meaning there’s a decent chance he’ll return to Triple-A next season to continue developing in that role. However, Casey Janssen’s departure and the fact Toronto didn’t target one of the few available closers on the market makes Sanchez a legitimate candidate to take over ninth-inning duties next year.
Ceiling (OFP): 60 (No. 2 or 3 starter/elite closer) — Low Risk
18. Raul Mondesi, SS, Kansas City Royals
14 of 31Position: SS
DOB: 07/27/1995 (Age: 19)
Height/Weight: 6’1”, 165 lbs
Bats/Throws: S/R
Signed: 2011 (Dominican Republic)
Last Year’s Ranking: 4
ETA: 2017
Tools Breakdown (Future Grades):
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Field |
| 60 | 45 | 70 | 60 | 60 |
Scouting Report
Raul Mondesi's promising full-season debut convinced the Royals to move him up to High-A Wilmington of the Carolina League to begin 2014, where he was the youngest everyday player in his league on Opening Day for the second straight year. However, the 19-year-old didn’t progress offensively as most expected he would and finished the season with a .211 batting average and .256 on-base percentage.
The switch-hitter has a clean swing from both sides of the plate (batting practice video), with bat speed and barrel awareness that suggest a future above-average hit tool. It’s hard to get a read on Mondesi’s true power potential at the moment, as he’s still figuring out his identity as a hitter, but he definitely showed more raw power in 2014, especially from the left side of the plate. He’s still growing into his wiry, 6’1”, 165-pound frame, and I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if he blows past his 45 overall power projection.
Defensively, Mondesi’s athleticism and tools are always on display at shortstop, and he has the instincts to develop into an impact player at the position. The youngster will need a few more years in the minors to refine his skills on both sides of the ball, but his ceiling of an All-Star shortstop should make it worth the wait.
Ceiling (OFP): 65 (First-division player/potential All-Star)—High risk
17. Austin Hedges, C, San Diego Padres
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Position: C
DOB: 8/18/1992 (Age: 22)
Height/Weight: 6’1”, 190 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted: Second round, 2011 (JSerra Catholic HS, California)
Last Year’s Ranking: 1
ETA: 2016
Tools Breakdown (Future Grades)
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Field |
| 55 | 40 | 45 | 65 | 75 |
Scouting Report
Austin Hedges struggled at the plate last year in his first full season of Double-A baseball, as the 22-year-old posted the second-lowest OPS (.589) among everyday players in the Southern League. However, his overall numbers were weighed down by a rough second half during which he batted .198/.234/.237 with five extra-base hits in 54 games.
On the other side of the ball, Hedges registered a 38 percent caught-stealing rate last season and committed only six passed balls in 106 games behind the plate. Hedges' defense could make him an everyday player in the major leagues right now; his quickness and footwork efficiency are unparalleled among his peers, while his top-end catch-and-throw skills, insanely quick transfer and plus arm strength allow him to essentially shut down the running game.
Yet, the right-handed hitter’s bat will ultimately determine whether he reaches his ceiling of an All-Star-caliber catcher or settles in as a glove-first regular. Power has never been Hedges’ calling card—and probably never will be—though he does have the consistent gap pop to be a doubles machine. His approach was challenged in Double-A in 2014 and led to a career-worst strikeout rate of 19 percent, so it’ll be interesting to see what adjustments he makes next season.
Ceiling (OFP): 65 (Potential All-Star)—Medium risk
16. J.P. Crawford, SS, Philadelphia Phillies
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Position: SS
DOB: 01/11/1995 (Age: 19)
Height/Weight: 6’2”, 180 lbs
Bats/Throws: L/R
Drafted: First round, 2013 (Lakewood HS, California)
Last Year’s Ranking: 2
ETA: 2017
Tools Breakdown (Future Grades):
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Field |
| 55 | 45 | 60 | 55 | 60 |
Scouting Report
J.P. Crawford emerged as one of the game’s better shortstop prospects in his first full season, as the 19-year-old showcased an impressive blend of tools and baseball skills while splitting the season between both Class-A levels.
A left-handed batter, Crawford has the potential for a slightly above-average hit tool thanks to his loose wrists, quick-twitch forearm muscles and above-average bat speed. He currently shows a contact-oriented approach and solid bat-to-ball skills, though his swing can get long at times and the barrel will drag. Crawford projects for fringe-average over-the-fence pop at maturity, though he should always be a consistent source of doubles and triples.
Crawford is a good athlete with the above-average speed, range and arm strength to remain at shortstop long term, but he needs to work on his body control as well as some other nuances of the position.
Ceiling (OFP): 65 (First-division player/Potential All Star)—Medium risk
15. Carlos Rodon, LHP, Chicago White Sox
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Position: LHP
DOB: 12/10/1992 (Age: 22)
Height/Weight: 6’3”, 235 lbs
Bats/Throws: L/L
Drafted: First round, 2014 (North Carolina State)
Last Year’s Ranking: NA
ETA: 2015
Future Pitch Grades
| Fastball | Slider | Changeup | Control |
| 60 | 70 | 55 | 50 |
Scouting Report
The White Sox promoted Carlos Rodon, the No. 3 overall pick in last year’s draft, to Triple-A Charlotte in mid-August, less than a month after he made his professional debut in the rookie-level Arizona League.
The 21-year-old impressed at the minor leagues' highest level, posting a 3.00 ERA with 18 strikeouts over 12 innings (three starts), including 15 over his final two starts.
Rodon has everything one looks for in a potential front-end starter with a durable frame, three offerings with plus-or-better potential, highlighted by a low-to-mid 90s heater and a 70-grade slider, and the type of competitive mound presence that can’t be taught. Rodon should compete during spring training for a spot in the South Siders’ Opening Day rotation, and as long as he stays healthy, it shouldn’t take him long to emerge as one of baseball’s premier left-handed pitchers.
Ceiling (OFP): 70 (No. 2 starter) - Medium risk
14. Blake Swihart, C, Boston Red Sox
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Position: C
DOB: 04/03/1992 (Age: 22)
Height/Weight: 6’1”, 175 lbs
Bats/Throws: S/R
Drafted: First Round, 2011 (V Sue Cleveland HS, N.M.)
Last Year’s Rank: 4
ETA: Late 2015
Tools Breakdown (Future Grades)
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Field |
| 60 | 50 | 50 | 65 | 60 |
Scouting Report
The switch-hitting Swihart’s approach is advanced from both sides of the plate, allowing him to track the ball deep in the zone and utilize the entire field. He’s particularly adept at driving the ball from line to line from the left side, which is critical considering he faces mostly right-handed pitching. He features more swing-and-miss from his natural right side, though a whole-field approach is still present.
Swihart’s power emerged in 2014 at the Double- and Triple-A levels, as he reached double-digit home runs for the first time in his career while tallying his usual 20-plus doubles. Though he’s an extra-base machine from both sides of the plate, Swihart has shown more over-the-fence power as a righty, with a fly ball rate that trails his groundball rate only slightly.
Swihart projects as an above-average baserunner relative to others at the position thanks to his athleticism and surprising speed. He won’t steal bases at the highest level, but Swihart’s knack for piling up both doubles and triples throughout his career speaks to his solid wheels.
One of better defensive catchers in the minor leagues, Swihart threw out more than 46 percent of attempted base stealers between Double- and Triple-A last season, per Baseball Reference. Passed balls are few and far between with the young backstop, highlighting his strength as a receiver. Meanwhile, his athleticism and agility behind the plate makes him adept blocker, and he should only improve in that field as his secondary skills mature.
Swihart’s impact tools on both sides of the ball should give him the opportunity to become an above-average defensive catcher who hits for both average and power. There’s always an inherent high risk with catching prospects, but the 22-year-old has proven to be durable in his young career, which in turn has helped his bat develop quicker than other backstops of similar age.
Unfortunately, the presence of defensive beast Christian Vazquez means Swihart likely will spend most of the season in Triple-A. However, he’ll still probably see some time in the major leagues during the second half of the season, perhaps even earlier in the event of an injury.
Ceiling (OFP): 65 (First-division catcher/Potential All-Star) - Medium risk
13. Tyler Glasnow, RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates
19 of 31Position: RHP
DOB: 08/23/1993 (Age: 21)
Height/Weight: 6’7”, 195 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted: Fifth round, 2011 (Hart HS, California)
Last Year’s Ranking: 3
ETA: 2016
Future Pitch Grades:
| Fastball | Curveball | Changeup | Control |
| 65 | 60 | 55 | 50 |
Scouting Report
Tyler Glasnow posted video-game numbers during his 2013 full-season debut at Low-A West Virginia, as he led the South Atlantic League in ERA (2.18), opponents' batting average (.142), strikeouts (164) and K/9 (13.26).
Amazingly, the 21-year-old's follow-up campaign last season at High-A Bradenton wasn’t all that different; Glasnow paced the Florida State League in ERA (1.74), WHIP (1.05) and opponents’ batting average (.174) while ranking second in strikeouts (157) and strikeouts per nine innings (11.4 K/9).
He was especially dominant during the second half of the season, with a 9-2 record, 1.65 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 109 strikeouts over 81.2 innings (14 starts). Meanwhile, he issued just 29 walks—one more than he allowed in 42.2 innings during the first half—while holding opposing hitters to a .177 average.
A 6’7” right-hander, Glasnow uses his size to create excellent downhill plane, which in turn allows him to dominate hitters with basically two pitches: an explosive fastball in the mid- to upper 90s and a swing-and-miss curveball that flashes plus potential. Glasnow’s changeup tends to play a bit firm given his huge reach toward the plate, but his feel for the pitch should continue to improve, making it at least solid-average at maturity.
Glasnow will occasionally struggle to keep his lanky frame and long limbs in sync during his delivery, but he has definitely become more consistent on that front over the last year and a half. An Opening Day assignment to Double-A should be a healthy challenge for the 21-year-old—a challenge that, if passed, could have him in the major leagues by the end of the season.
Ceiling (OFP): 65 (No. 2 or 3 starter)—Medium risk
12. Robert Stephenson, RHP, Cincinnati Reds
20 of 31
Position: RHP
DOB: 02/24/1993 (Age: 21)
Height/Weight: 6’2”, 190 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted: First round, 2011 (Alhambra HS, Calif.)
Last Year’s Ranking: 1
ETA: 2015
Future Pitch Grades:
| Fastball | Curveball | Changeup | Control |
| 70 | 70 | 55 | 50 |
Scouting Report
Stephenson was challenged over a full season in Double-A, as the 21-year-old right-hander’s inconsistent command led to an elevated walk rate (4.9 BB/9), and his tendency to pitch up in the zone with his fastball allowed hitters to take him deep 18 times (1.2 HR/9).
However, Stephenson was still young for the level, so the fact he held opposing hitters to a .224 batting average and fanned 140 batters in 136.2 innings was encouraging.
The 6’2”, 190-pound right-hander boasts a plus-plus fastball in the 94 to 98 mph range and occasionally bumps triple digits. Stephenson’s secondary arsenal is headlined by a potential plus-plus curveball that’s an absolute hammer with sharp downer action.
He also throws a changeup in the high 80s that’s still a bit on the firm side, but his feel for the pitch has noticeably improved in the last year, as he’s been forced to develop it against Double-A hitters.
Stephenson’s athleticism and arm strength suggest front-of-the-rotation potential, but he’ll need to improve his command and refine his changeup to remain a long-term starter. It wouldn’t be surprising if he returned to Double-A to open the 2015 season; the Reds have no need to rush Stephenson’s development, and he’d probably be better off spending another full season in the minors.
Ceiling (OFP): 7 (No. 2 starter) – medium risk
11. Dylan Bundy, RHP, Baltimore Orioles
21 of 31
Position: RHP
DOB: 11/15/1992 (Age: 22)
Height/Weight: 6’1”, 195 lbs
Bats/Throws: S/R
Drafted: First round, 2011 (Owasso HS, Okla.)
Last Year’s Rank: 1
ETA: Debuted in 2012
Future Pitch Grades
| Fastball | Cutter | Curveball | Changeup | Control |
| 70 | 75 | 60 | 70 | 60 |
Scouting Report
Bundy flew through the Orioles system in 2012, his first professional season, pitching at three full-season levels before making two appearances out of the big league bullpen as a September call-up. However, his career was put on hold the following spring when he was forced to undergo Tommy John surgery.
Bundy, 22, finally returned this summer to make six starts at High-A Frederick after a series of dominant outings with short-season Class A Aberdeen.
The 6’1” right-hander is physically strong with broad shoulders, and he understands how to utilize his lower half and core strength throughout his delivery. Bundy boasts an advanced four-pitch mix highlighted by a dynamic fastball; he throws a mid-90s two-seam fastball with exceptional run as well as a four-seamer that reaches the upper 90s. He also has an outstanding cutter, a potential grade-70 to -75 offering, with late slicing action to his glove side.
However, it’s worth noting Bundy’s velocity was down compared to his pre-surgery form, as Pat Stoetzer of the Carroll County Times (via The Baltimore Sun) reported Bundy topped out at only 89 mph while at Frederick.
Bundy’s curveball is a hammer and another plus pitch, thrown with tight rotation and late biting action, but he’s still developing command of the pitch and occasionally leaves it up in the zone. The 22-year-old’s changeup has good fading action, and he sells it with a fastball-like arm action, making it another potential plus offering at maturity.
There was a slight chance Bundy would be ready to rejoin the Orioles last September and pick up where he left off in 2012, but his recovery was unfortunately derailed by a lat strain suffered in early August, per MASN Sports. The Orioles will proceed cautiously with Bundy, and it wouldn’t be surprising if he spent most of 2015 in the high minors, with a late-season call-up to the major leagues. But as long as he stays healthy, it shouldn’t be long until the right-hander is once again viewed as a future ace.
Ceiling (OFP): 70 (No. 1 or 2 starting pitcher) – Medium risk
10. Jon Gray, RHP, Colorado Rockies
22 of 31
Position: RHP
DOB: 11/05/1991 (Age: 23)
Height/Weight: 6’4”, 255 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted: First round, 2013 (Oklahoma)
Last Year’s Ranking: 1
ETA: 2015
Future Pitch Grades:
| Fastball | Slider | Changeup | Control |
| 70 | 70 | 60 | 50 |
Scouting Report
Jon Gray’s arm strength is among the best in the minor leagues, but he dialed it back a bit this season at Double-A in favor of command. While some of the results weren’t spectacular, such as his 3.91 ERA, his overall feel for locating his fastball, slider and changeup was better than expected in his first full season and produced a .237 opponents’ batting average and 113-41 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 124.1 innings.
It’s worth noting the Rockies shut down Gray on Sept. 2 due to right shoulder fatigue, per The Denver Post, though it was more of a precaution than a response to a potentially serious injury.
At 6’4”, 255 pounds, Gray works on a consistent downhill plane with his plus-plus fastball, sitting in the 94-98 mph range while flirting with triple digits early in his starts. (He topped out at 102 mph during a 2013 start at Arkansas.)
Gray also features a slider that will flash plus-plus, sitting consistently between 85-88 mph with late, wipeout break, sharp tilt and excellent pace, while his above-average changeup still represents his weakest offering despite the strides he made last season developing the pitch.
The Rockies had Gray working on different things in 2014, such as his fastball command and ability to expand the zone with his secondary pitches, so the numbers weren’t as impressive as expected. Regardless, his season-long success in Double-A is very encouraging and has him poised to make a midseason debut in 2015.
Ceiling (OFP): 70 (No. 2 starter)—Low risk
9. Archie Bradley, RHP, Arizona Diamondbacks
23 of 31
Position: RHP
DOB: 08/10/1992 (Age: 22)
Height/Weight: 6’4”, 225 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted: First round, 2011 (Broken Arrow HS, Okla.)
Last Year’s Ranking: 1
ETA: 2015
Future Pitch Grades:
| Fastball | Curveball | Slider | Changeup | Control |
| 70 | 65 | 60 | 50 | 50 |
Scouting Report
Bradley seemed destined to make an impact in the major leagues last season before suffering a mild flexor strain in his right elbow in late April during a Triple-A game. The injury led to a two-month stint on the disabled list for the 22-year-old right-hander, and he then was sent to Double-A in late June upon receiving a clean bill of health. Back at in the Southern League—the same league he mastered in 2013—Bradley posted a 4.12 ERA with 46 strikeouts and 36 walks in 54.2 innings.
At 6’4”and 225 pounds, Bradley is an excellent athlete with a durable and projectable frame, and he boasts one of the better two-pitch combinations among minor league pitchers in a heavy, mid-90s fastball and a power curveball with 12-to-6 shape and sharp downer bite.
A bit more on Bradley’s heater: it enters the zone on a steep downhill plane that makes it incredibly difficult for batters to lift, which is why his home runs per nine innings rate (HR/9) sits at a shade over 0.30 for his four-year career. On top of that, the fact Bradley has held opposing hitters to a .210 batting average during that span speaks to his ability to limit hard contact.
Bradley’s feel for a changeup lags behind that of his other offerings, but it flashes average potential and could play up with improved command of his fastball. He also added a slider to his arsenal during the Arizona Fall League and quickly developed a feel for the pitch, throwing it with cutter-like velocity in the upper 80s with late bite. The right-hander didn’t miss as many bats in 2014 compared to previous years, but he still projects as a strikeout pitcher capable of missing a bat per inning.
Bradley’s performance last season made it clear that his command, particularly his fastball command, requires further refinement; his inability to locate his fastball in turn limited the effectiveness of his secondary pitches, as Bradley struggled execute his curveball like he did in 2013 and fewer opportunities to utilize his changeup.
Somewhere in Bradley there’s still a No. 2 starter. However, the 22-year-old didn’t progress from a developmental standpoint last season as he should have, and he’ll now have to take another run at the Double- and Triple-A levels in 2015.
Ceiling (OFP): 70 (No. 2 starter) – Low risk
8. Noah Syndergaard, RHP, New York Mets
24 of 31
Position: RHP
DOB: 08/29/1992 (Age: 22)
Height/Weight: 6’6”, 240 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Last Year’s Rank: 1
ETA: 2015
Future Pitch Grades:
| Fastball | Curveball | Slider | Changeup | Control |
| 75 | 70 | 50 | 65 | 50 |
Scouting Report
The 6'6" right-hander has a physical presence on the mound, throwing everything on a steep downhill plane and pounding the lower portion of the strike zone. Syndergaard’s plus-plus heater sits in the mid-to-upper 90s with late, arm-side life, and he frequently flirts with triple digits.
His curveball also has plus-plus potential, and his command of the pitch improved last season after adding a slider to his already impressive arsenal. He throws his changeup with good arm speed and confidence, and it could serve as a third plus-or-better offering at maturity.
Syndergaard has one of the highest ceilings among all pitching prospects, with the pure stuff and command to pitch at the front of a rotation. Assuming he opens the 2015 season back at Triple-A, the right-hander could be ready to debut around midseason just as Matt Harvey, Zack Wheeler and Jacob deGrom did in previous seasons.
Ceiling (OFP): 70 (No. 1 or 2 starter) – Low risk
7. Lucas Giolito, RHP, Washington Nationals
25 of 31
Position: RHP
DOB: 07/14/1994 (Age: 20)
Height/Weight: 6’6”, 255 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted: First round, 2012 (Harvard-Westlake HS, California)
Last Year’s Ranking: 1
ETA: 2016
Future Pitch Grades:
| Fastball | Curveball | Changeup | Control |
| 80 | 75 | 60 | 55 |
Scouting Report
In his first full season back from Tommy John surgery, Lucas Giolito led the South Atlantic League (among pitchers with 90 innings) in ERA (2.20), strikeout percentage (28.5 percent) and opponents’ batting average (.196).
Giolito, 20, throws both a two- and four-seam fastball, with the latter consistently registering in the 94 to 96 mph range and the two-seamer at 91 to 93. Based on velocity alone, the pitch graded mostly as a 65 or 70, but everything about Giolito—his size, mechanics, arm action, prior workload—suggests more velocity will come with development. It doesn’t take much to envision him sitting in the upper 90s by the time he reaches the major leagues.
Giolito’s curveball is possibly the best I’ve personally scouted in the last four years; it’s a 60/65 offering that has the potential to add a full grade as he moves up the ladder. Working from the same over-the-top arm angle as his fastball, he throws the pitch in the 76 to 83 mph range with legitimate 12-to-6 break and sharp, downer bite.
The right-hander’s changeup is his least advanced pitch but still grades out at 50, and considering his overall room for improvement on all fronts, the pitch has the potential to be a 60/65 offering at maturity.
Giolito is still a few years away from reaching the major leagues, but if he stays healthy and continues down his current developmental path, the right-hander should have a real chance to be a legitimate No. 1 starter for the Nationals.
Ceiling (OFP): 80 (No. 1/elite starting pitcher)—High risk
6. Joey Gallo, 3B, Texas Rangers
26 of 31
Position: 3B
DOB: 11/19/1993 (Age: 21)
Height/Weight: 6’5”, 205 lbs
Bats/Throws: L/R
Drafted: First round, 2012 (Bishop Gorman HS, Nevada)
Last Year’s Ranking: 7
ETA: Late 2015
Tools Breakdown (Future Grades):
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Field |
| 45 | 80 | 40 | 70 | 50 |
Scouting Report
Joey Gallo led all minor league hitters with 40 home runs in 2013 and then improved on that total this past season with 42, finishing one long ball shy of Kris Bryant’s MiLB lead. The 21-year-old’s impressive campaign began at High-A Myrtle Beach, where his refined approach and shorter swing produced a .323/.463/.735 batting line with 21 home runs and respective strikeout and walk rates of 26.0 and 20.7 percent over 246 plate appearances (58 games).
The slugger hit another 21 dingers in 68 games following a midseason promotion to Double-A Frisco, but his approach was exploited by Texas League pitchers and resulted in a .232/.334/.524 batting line with respective strikeout and walk rates of 39.5 and 12.4 percent over 291 plate appearances.
At 6’5”, 205 pounds, Gallo is a physical specimen with enormous, 80-grade raw power. The combination of his quick wrists, explosive bat speed and lofty swing gives him effortless in-game power to all fields, making it easy to envision him being a true 35-home run threat at the highest level. The 21-year-old will always be a streaky hitter and have a considerable amount of swing-and-miss to his game, but he’s also learning to work counts and take walks, therefore allowing him to see more hittable pitches.
Gallo’s simplified swing played a major role in his improved consistency last season. Specifically, he reduced his pre-pitch load so as to be shorter to the ball, which allowed him to better control the zone and get to many of the pitches he missed the previous year. The adjustment led to improved strikeout (33.3 percent) and walk (16.2 percent) rates as well as a solid average (.271), and it didn’t come at the cost of sacrificing power (42 HR, .344 ISO).
Gallo has worked to become a quality defender at third base, but his present average range is likely to worsen as he ages due to his 6’5” frame. His athleticism and plus-plus arm strength would also play in the outfield, which is where the Rangers began giving him reps this past fall in instructional ball.
Gallo likely will return to Double-A next season to continue refining his swing and approach, and a late-season call-up could be a possibility if he’s able to make more consistent contact in his second tour of the Texas League.
Ceiling (OFP): 65 (Potential All-Star)—Medium risk
5. Corey Seager, SS, Los Angeles Dodgers
27 of 31
Position: SS
DOB: 04/27/1994 (Age: 20)
Height/Weight: 6’4”, 215 lbs
Bats/Throws: L/R
Drafted: First round, 2012 (Northwest Cabarrus HS, North Carolina)
Last Year’s Ranking: 1
ETA: 2016
Tools Breakdown (Future Grades):
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Field |
| 60 | 60 | 50 | 60 | 55 |
Scouting Report
Corey Seager posted gaudy numbers this past season at High-A Rancho Cucamonga, as the 20-year-old mastered the California League with a robust .352/.411/.633 batting line, 34 doubles, 18 home runs and 70 RBI in 80 games.
The offense-friendly parks of the Cal tend to inflate hitters’ numbers, so it was great to see Seager continue his torrid production after moving up to Double-A Chattanooga. In his first taste of the Southern League, he batted .345/.381/.534 with two home runs, 16 doubles and 27 RBI in 37 contests.
Overall, Seager amassed 75 extra-base hits and led all minor leaguers with 50 doubles. On top of that, he actually fared equally well against same-side pitchers as he did righties this season, posting a 1.065 OPS and 24 extra-base hits in 126 plate appearances against southpaws compared to a .984 OPS with 51 extra-base hits in 400 plate appearances total.
A 6’4’, 215-pound left-handed hitter, Seager has the potential for above-average hit and power tools at maturity, though there may always be some swing-and-miss to his game. Seager has an easy, direct swing that allows him to sting the ball from line to line, and there aren’t enough positive things to say about his ability to pick apart pitchers and hit in all counts.
Seager always had shown impressive power to the opposite field, but last season he learned to turn on the ball more consistently and saw his power numbers spike as a result. He’ll only get stronger moving forward, so it’s not crazy to think Seager, like his older brother, will be a consistent 20-homer threat at maturity.
There are questions about whether he’ll stick at shortstop or need to move to third base long term, which could potentially hurt his value. However, he’s continually surpassed expectations at his natural position, and he should be able to remain there well into his major league career.
Regardless of where he ends up defensively, Seager’s bat will have him hitting in the middle of a big league lineup sooner rather than later. The 20-year-old is one of best pure hitters in the minor leagues, with the potential to hit .280-plus and 20 home runs annually while driving in plenty of runs.
The Dodgers’ acquisition of Jimmy Rollins over the winter gives Seager, who is expected to return to Double-A next season, another full year to develop in the high minors. At the same time, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Dodgers were to offer him a taste of the major leagues late in the season.
Ceiling (OFP): 70 (All Star) - Low risk
4. Francisco Lindor, SS, Cleveland Indians
28 of 31
Position: SS
DOB: 11/14/1993 (Age: 21)
Height/Weight: 5'11", 175 lbs
Bats/Throws: S/R
Drafted: First round, 2011 (Montverde Academy, Fla.)
Last Year's Ranking: 1
ETA: 2015
Tools Breakdown (Future Grades):
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Field |
| 60 | 45 | 55 | 60 | 70 |
Scouting Report
The switch-hitting Lindor's offensive skills have steadily improved over the last four years, as he's developed an outstanding hitting eye and aptitude from both sides. He's also refined his ability to read pitchers and stay within his zone, which in turn has led to him working deeper counts and chasing fewer pitches out of the zone.
Lindor never will offer much power, but he has enough strength and bat speed, especially from the left side, to hit 10-12 homers at maturity. He's more likely to be a line-drive machine that accrues roughly 20-25 doubles and a handful of triples over a full season in The Show.
Lindor's above-average speed fuels his extra-base hits total, as his wheels and baserunning instincts help him turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples. Lindor is also an adept base stealer who knows how to pick his spots while his on-base skills suggest numerous seasons with 15-20 stolen bases.
Lindor is an absolute wizard with the glove and profiles as an elite defensive shortstop in the major leagues. The 20-year-old's phenomenal instincts always have him in the right spot to make plays, and that doesn't take into account his impressive range and quick feet. Meanwhile, his plus arm strength is ideal for the position.
Even if Lindor's bat doesn't develop as hoped, he still has the potential to enjoy a long, successful career in the major leagues based on his defensive prowess, superb makeup and ability to control the speed of the game. However, even modest offensive production could make Lindor a perennial All-Star.
Ceiling (OFP): 65 (Potential All-Star) – Low risk
3. Kris Bryant, 3B, Chicago Cubs
29 of 31
Position: 3B
DOB: 01/04/1992 (Age: 23)
Height/Weight: 6’5”, 215 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted: First round, 2013 (San Diego)
Last Year’s Ranking: 2
ETA: 2015
Tools Breakdown (Future Grades):
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Field |
| 55 | 75 | 45 | 60 | 50 |
Scouting Report
Kris Bryant first full professional season was one for the ages, as the 23-year-old slugger posted up monster numbers between Double- and Triple-A but was denied a call-up in September.
Specifically, Bryant led the minor leagues (qualified hitters only) in home runs (43), slugging percentage (.661), OPS (1.098) and wOBA (.472). He also ranked second in runs (118) and fourth in RBI (110), and he batted .325 with a .438 on-base percentage in 594 plate appearances.
Though known for his robust, light-tower power to all fields, Bryant actually has a good feel for hitting, with a line-to-line approach, good pitch recognition and excellent plate coverage. His lack of stride and purely rotational swing will always result in some swing-and-miss, but he’s still a smart enough hitter and controls the zone well enough to be a .270-plus hitter in the major leagues.
At 6’5”, 215 pounds, Bryant possesses effortless 80-grade raw power that has translated in a big way at each professional stop. The right-handed hitter does an excellent job of using his height and size to his advantage, achieving huge extension through the ball to generate towering drives with backspin carry to all fields. At maturity, it’s easy to see him leading the league with 35-plus home runs in a given season.
Bryant is an impressive athlete who moves well on the base paths, with the speed to move up more than one base at a time and put some pressure on opposing defenses. He’s not a pure base stealer, but Bryant’s average speed and ability to pick his spots should lead to numerous seasons with 10-plus stolen bases.
Defensively, Bryant moves well for his size, showing range and agility at the hot corner that’s a tick above average. His plus arm strength is a clean fit at the position and could allow him to move to a corner outfield position down the road if necessary.
No hitter in the minor leagues can match Bryant’s power ceiling, as he projects as a perennial 35-plus home run threat capable of hitting for some average while holding down a corner position.
Ceiling (OFP): 70 (All-Star) – Low risk
2. Carlos Correa, SS, Houston Astros
30 of 31
Position: SS
DOB: 9/22/1994 (Age: 20)
Height/Weight: 6’4”, 205 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted: First round, 2012
Last Year’s Ranking: 1
ETA: Late 2015
Tools Breakdown (Future Grades):
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Field |
| 60 | 60 | 50 | 70 | 55 |
Scouting Report
As one of the younger everyday players in California League, Correa continued to blow past all reasonable expectations last season, batting .325/.416/.510 with 32 extra-base hits, 20 stolen bases and a 45-36 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 62 games. He seemed bound for a promotion to Double-A before suffering a season-ending fibula injury in late June while sliding into third base. He underwent surgery shortly thereafter and will be ready by February for spring training.
The 20-year-old right-handed hitter has a simple, direct swing that allows him to stay inside the ball and utilize the entire field. He’s batted at least .320-plus at both Class-A levels, while his advanced plate discipline and pitch recognition (12.3 BB%, 15.4 K%) has produced on-base percentages consistently north of .400.
At 6’4”, 205 pounds, Correa possesses plus raw power but doesn’t swing for the fences, instead employing an approach that’s geared toward consistent hard contact and getting on base. Considering Correa’s age, it’s safe to assume he’ll show more pop as he fills out, with the potential to hit upward of 22-25 home runs in his prime.
Despite his large frame, Correa is an excellent athlete with the tools to stick at shortstop long term, including soft hands, good range and plus-plus arm strength that produces lasers in the mid- to upper 90s across the infield. Meanwhile, his profile on both sides of the ball could also make him an impact third baseman should he become too thick and/or lose a step, but that won’t be a concern for many years.
Correa is a physically blessed player with present plus makeup and the potential for five average-or-better tools at maturity, and he’s still on the fast track to the major leagues despite the ankle injury. In general, the 20-year-old has one of the highest ceilings in the minors, with the potential to be a perennial All-Star and possibly even an MVP candidate in his prime.
Ceiling (OFP): 70 (Perennial All-Star)—Medium risk
1. Byron Buxton, OF, Minnesota Twins
31 of 31
Position: CF
DOB: 12/18/1993 (Age: 22)
Height/Weight: 6’2”, 189 lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted: First round, 2012 (Appling County HS, Georgia)
Last Year’s Ranking: 1
ETA: Late 2015
Tools Breakdown (Future Grades):
| Hit | Power | Run | Arm | Field |
| 60 | 60 | 80 | 60 | 70 |
Scouting Report
Byron Buxton entered 2014 as the game’s consensus top prospect, and all signs pointed to him reaching the major leagues before the end of the season. Unfortunately, Buxton wound up missing the first half of the season with a wrist injury and then most of the second half after suffering a concussion in a terrifying outfield collision. His chance to get back on track in the Arizona Fall League was also derailed by an injury, as the 21-year-old dislocated and fractured his middle finger in late October and it subsequently required surgery.
Still, there’s simply no other player who can match Buxton’s combination of elite athleticism, legitimate five-tool potential and advanced secondary skills. He is a supremely gifted athlete with 80-grade speed and the potential to be an elite defender in center field.
At the plate, the right-handed hitter showcases outstanding bat speed and hand-eye coordination, while his mature approach and pitch recognition could make him one of the game’s top hitters. And while he’s already an extra-base machine, thanks to his wheels and whole-field approach, Buxton also has the raw power to produce 20-plus home runs at maturity.
Buxton has the ceiling of an MVP-caliber player in his prime, with five potentially plus tools and a feel for making in-game adjustments. However, after losing nearly all of 2014 due to injuries, the 21-year-old now faces at least some pressure to make up for the lost time.
Ceiling (OFP): 80 (Elite big leaguer/MVP candidate)—High risk
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