Week 13 NFL Predictions: Over-Under Bets That Are Sure to Win

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Week 13 NFL Predictions: Over-Under Bets That Are Sure to Win
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While people normally look at points spreads to make their bets, there are often plenty of opportunities to make money through over/unders.

In Week 13 of the NFL season, every single line is set to be between 40 and 50 points, according to Vegas Insider. Although many will be close to this mark, we will see a lot more variety on Sunday.

It is sometimes tough to predict how the pace of each game will go, but you can expect a few games to be especially high- or low-scoring. Here is a look at over-under bets certain to pay out this weekend.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cleveland Browns (Under 40)

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Even though this is the smallest line of the week, you can expect these two teams to stay under it.

Cleveland's defense has been solid all season, allowing the fourth-fewest yards in the NFL. Teams have been able to score points against this unit, but the Jaguars will be less able to take advantage of mistakes than other opponents. 

Jacksonville has scored the fewest points in the league by more than 40 points. Without the ability to move the ball consistently, it will be tough to get anything on the scoreboard.

Of course, this does not mean it will be a blowout for the Browns. Brandon Weeden will get the start, and he has been one of the worst quarterbacks in football this season. His team is 0-4 when the former first-round pick starts at quarterback, only averaging 11.5 points per game.

This is certain to be an ugly battle no matter which team has the ball. But while I would not advice watching it, you definitely can make some money by placing the under.

 

Atlanta Falcons vs. Buffalo Bills (Over 46.5)

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It's impossible to deny that the Falcons have been awful defensively this season, allowing the fourth-most points per game in the league. They have been even worse on the road, giving up an average of 30.4 points.

Buffalo has generally been solid offensively when EJ Manuel is on the field. Coming off a bye, the squad should be able to run the ball consistently with Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller while beating the young cornerbacks over the top with some big plays.

Still, this game should be competitive based on the fact that the Atlanta offense is much better than it has shown lately. The last five losses have come against four of the top 10 passing defenses and an improving Tampa Bay Buccaneers squad. 

With Matt Ryan throwing the ball to Harry Douglas, Tony Gonzalez and Roddy White, the offense should be able to move the ball against the Bills, who have been a bit inconsistent on the defensive end.

The Bills should be able to pull out a win at home, but not before each side racks up a lot of touchdowns.

 

Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings (Over 50)

This is certainly a high spread, but these two teams have a chance to blow it away, especially considering they combine to allow 59.6 points per game.

Chicago has had an up-and-down season, but Josh McCown has done a good job filling in for the injured Jay Cutler. The veteran quarterback threw for 352 yards a week ago and could exceed this mark against the 29th-ranked Vikings defense.

With elite skill players like Brandon Marshall, Alshon Jeffery and Matt Forte making plays after the catch, this offense should put plenty of points on the scoreboard.

On the other hand, the Bears have been awful against the run this season and seem to be getting worse. The St. Louis Rams rushed for 258 yards last week after Ray Rice had his best game of the year in Week 11.

If Benny Cunningham can rush for 109 yards against this unit, just imagine what Adrian Peterson will do.

The Vikings will be able to run the ball early and often to be effective offensively and stay in this game. With these two poor defenses, do not be surprised if both squads score at least 30 points to go over the line.

NFL Week 13
Away Home Spread Over/Under Pick ATS
Tennessee Titans Indianapolis Colts IND -3.5 45 Colts
Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs DEN -5.5 49 Broncos
Jacksonville Jaguars Cleveland Browns CLE -7 40 Jaguars
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Carolina Panthers CAR -7.5 41.5 Panthers
Chicago Bears Minnesota Vikings MIN -1 50 Bears
Arizona Cardinals Philadelphia Eagles PHI -3 48.5 Eagles
Miami Dolphins New York Jets NYJ -2 40 Jets
Atlanta Falcons Buffalo Bills BUF -3 46.5 Bills
St. Louis Rams San Francisco 49ers SF -8 42 Rams
New England Patriots Houston Texans NE -7 47 Patriots
Cincinnati Bengals San Diego Chargers SD -1 48.5 Bengals
New York Giants Washington Redskins NYG -1 45.5 Giants
New Orleans Saints Seattle Seahawks SEA -5.5 47 Saints

Spread info courtesy of Vegas Insider

 

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