Odds of Each Redskins Rookie Earning a Starting Job in 2013
The position they selected most was defensive back, and that was their biggest need heading into draft day, which opens up the door for a few of these rookies to start.
Aside from them, there aren’t many players who will have a good shot at becoming starters next year.
The majority of them will likely find playing time, but not nearly as much these three defensive backs.
David Amerson, CB, 51st Overall Selection
Amerson not only fills a need, but also has a pretty high ceiling. He’s a solid player in coverage and has the size and strength to jam bigger receivers on the line of scrimmage.
Overall, he is a very solid prospect and has a good chance of earning a starting spot across from Josh Wilson. He will allow Washington to kick DeAngelo Hall inside to the slot or to the safety position, a more natural fit for the veteran corner.
Amerson has a good chance of being the best player to come out of Washington’s 2013 draft class.
Chance of starting next year: 60 percent
Jordan Reed, TE, 85th Overall Selection
Jordan Reed is a smarter pick than most people believe.
He provides depth at a semi-weak position and is another weapon for RG3.
Reed could open up another dimension of the Redskins offense. He will provide a sure-handed red-zone target and has good skills as a blocker.
Reed could very easily leapfrog over Paulsen and Paul during the offseason and earn himself a good chunk of playing time next year in two-tight end sets.
Given Davis’ recent injury history, there’s a possibility Washington could look to the rookie to keep the tight end position in cruise control.
Chance of starting next year: 20 percent
Phillip Thomas, S, 119th Overall Selection
Phillip Thomas might be the best quality pick from the Redskins this year.
A lot of people had him going in the second or third round, but he lasted until the fourth where Washington snatched him up.
He has tremendous ability and will be a huge upgrade to what they had last year at the safety position. He is a talented, young player who has great upside.
Thomas will likely be expected to come in and start right away given the weakness of the safety position, which won’t be a bad thing.
Along with Amerson, Thomas could really turn out to be a solid starter right away for Washington.
Chance of starting next year: 75 percent
Chris Thompson, RB, 154st Overall Selection
Chris Thompson was a surprise pick to many, and for good reason.
The Redskins seemingly sewed up the running back position in last year’s draft with the pleasant surprise who is Alfred Morris.
Thompson is a smaller, more shifty running back with great quickness.
Although Morris is great running between the tackles and on stretch plays, Washington lacks a home run hitter out of the backfield who can both run and catch the ball with speed.
Thompson does that. Thompson does that well.
In all likelihood, he will never push Morris off of his mountain. However, he could find a solid role as a third-down back and maybe even as a kick/punt returner.
Chance of starting next year: 15 percent
Brandon Jenkins, LB, 162nd Overall Selection
Redskins fans everywhere were surprised when they saw their favorite team select a linebacker in the fifth round.
Given the recent success of Brian Orakpo and Ryan Kerrigan, who could blame them? But, when you look at the tape, Brandon Jenkins is a beast and was a tremendous value pick.
If it weren’t for an injury last year, Jenkins probably wouldn’t have escaped the first round. He is a good size for a 3-4 OLB and could very well find his way into a rotational role in his first year.
The outside linebacker positions are stacked at the moment between Orakpo and Kerrigan, but Jenkins provides depth and a backup plan should one of them go down.
Chance of starting next year: 15 percent
Bacarri Rambo, S, 191st Overall Selection
Many jaws were dropped when safety Bacarri Rambo fell to the sixth round, but the Redskins’ war room was ecstatic.
Rambo was a ferocious hitter in his Georgia Bulldog days and was also pretty good in coverage.
As I mentioned before with Thomas, Rambo will have a wide-open shot at earning a starting spot at safety. The decimated Redskins secondary is in desperate need of a game-changer, and Rambo could be that guy.
When it comes down to it, this kid was a steal in the sixth round, has a chip on his shoulder and is ready to play some damn football.
Chance of starting next year: 70 percent
Jawan Jamison, RB, 228th Overall Selection
This was a surprise pick to a lot of people.
Selecting one running back was already a bit of a shocker, but drafting a second one was quite a stupefaction.
Jawan Jamison is the same type of runner that Morris is, but doesn't have quite the same potential.
Being a seventh-round pick doesn’t exactly add up to a lot of luck for Jamison, but who knows. I hate to be cliché, but, “any given Sunday”.
If Jamison does in fact make the roster, and if Morris goes down with any sort of injury (knock on wood), then he could be definitely be a viable replacement.
His best shot of making the team will probably be as a reserve fullback or special teamer. Gonna be a tough road to starter-ship for Jamison.
Chance of starting next year: 5 percent