Giving a Job Security Score to All 30 MLB Managers Entering 2013

Robert KnapelCorrespondent IMarch 26, 2013

Giving a Job Security Score to All 30 MLB Managers Entering 2013

0 of 30

    The start of a new season does not mean that MLB managers gets a fresh slate. Many of them have to worry about their job security based on their team's performance from the previous years.

    Other managers know that they have job security unless their team's season goes horribly awry.

    The managers have been ranked entering the 2013 season on the following criteria: 2012 performance, chances of living up to 2013 expectations and a hot seat/pressure ranking. For the pressure ranking: the more pressure, the lower the number. Managers that joined new teams were evaluated based on their last job in the majors. Skippers also get two bonus points for each postseason appearance in the past three years.

    The managers with the lowest scores are at the highest risk of losing their job at some point in 2013 or once the season ends.

30) Terry Collins

1 of 30

    2012 Performance: 4

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 7

    Pressure Factor: 6

    Playoff Trips: 0

    Total Score: 17

    There is a lot of pressure that comes with both playing and managing in New York City. Being at the helm of a rebuilding team is no easy task in New York.

    After two poor seasons, it should come as no surprise that Terry Collins' job is at risk. Bill Madden of The New York Daily News recently listed Collins as a manager that is on the hot seat this season.

29) Dale Sveum

2 of 30

    2012 Performance: 4

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 6

    Pressure Factor: 7

    Playoff Trips: 0

    Total Score: 17

    While it was known that the Chicago Cubs were going to be rebuilding in 2012, losing more than 100 games was certainly a bit unexpected. The team could be in for another long season once again in 2013.

    Manager Dale Sveum will have to pay close attention to how he uses both his bullpen and starting rotation this year. While his job is likely safe for the first half of the year, it may not be for long if he starts making poor decisions.

28) Ned Yost

3 of 30

    2012 Performance: 6

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 7

    Pressure Factor: 4

    Playoff Trips: 0

    Total Score: 17

    Ned Yost will be feeling the heat all season as the Kansas City Royals finally look to turn the corner. After trading away top prospect Wil Myers in the James Shields deal, it is clear that the team wants to compete now.

    Kansas City has the talent to reach the postseason, but they need a few things to go right for them. There will be a lot of pressure on Yost to make the proper roster decisions throughout the year, and if he doesn't, he could find himself looking for a new job.

27) Ron Gardenhire

4 of 30

    2012 Performance: 4

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 6

    Pressure Factor: 6

    Playoff Trips: 1

    Total Score: 18

    For most of the 2000s, Ron Gardenhire has been everything that the Minnesota Twins could ask for in a manager. He led the team to six first-place finishes between the start of his tenure in 2002 to 2010.

    The Twins have struggled mightily recently, and it has put some additional pressure on Gardenhire. According to Noah Trister of the Associated Press (via Pioneer Press), Gardenhire will need to manage the Twins to a strong season if he wants to have a chance to stay with the team once his contract expires at the end of the year.

26) Mike Scioscia

5 of 30

    2012 Performance: 6

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 8

    Pressure Factor: 5

    Playoff Trips: 0

    Total Score: 19

    The 2012 season was one of disappointment for the Los Angeles Angels. Even after adding both the top position player and the top pitcher on the free-agent marker, they still failed to reach the postseason. That puts the Angels' postseason skid at three years.

    With the addition of Josh Hamilton to the roster, there will be even more pressure on the Halos this season. If Mike Scioscia cannot manage his team to a postseason berth, his job is likely as good as gone. Chris Behr of The Sporting News believes that Scoscia might not even get a full season if the Angels get a slow start out of the gate.

25) Don Mattingly

6 of 30

    2012 Performance: 6

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 8

    Pressure Factor: 5

    Playoff Trips: 0

    Total Score: 19

    Don Mattingly's case is practically identical to Mike Scioscia's case. He manages a Los Angeles team with a high payroll that failed to make the postseason in 2012 and added a big name during the 2013 offseason.

    So it would make sense that if Scioscia's job is on the line, Mattingly's is as well. If the Dodgers are struggling to compete with the San Francisco Giants this season, Mattingly may have to pack his bags.

24) John Gibbons

7 of 30

    2012 Performance: 5

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 9

    Pressure Factor: 5

    Playoff Trips: 0

    Total Score: 19

    There likely will not be a honeymoon period for John Gibbons in Toronto this year. With all that the Blue Jays invested in this offseason, the expectations will be very high.

    Gibbons won't be on the hot seat at the beginning of the year, but he will always be under pressure. If the Blue Jays underperform this season, then Gibbons may not be around for too long.

23) Kirk Gibson

8 of 30

    2012 Performance: 7

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 7

    Pressure Factor: 4

    Playoff Trips: 1

    Total Score: 20

    Towards the end of the 2012 season, Matt Synder of CBS Sports identified Kirk Gibson as a manager that was on the hot seat. Gibson survived the offseason, but this year will be a big test for him.

    Given the level of talent in the National League West, it would not be surprising to see the Arizona Diamondbacks finish in third place. If they look like a third-place team all year, Gibson may find his seat becoming scorching hot.

22) Terry Francona

9 of 30

    2012 Performance: 5

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 7

    Pressure Factor: 8

    Playoff Trips: 0

    Total Score: 20

    In all honesty, this is probably a bit higher than Terry Francona deserves to be ranked on this list. However, one of the reasons why he falls where he does is because of the amount of pressure on his shoulders this year.

    Francona drew some ire for the comments that he made in his book that came out earlier this year. Throw in the fact that the Cleveland Indians spent big money this winter so that they can be a playoff contender, and it is entirely possible that Francona will be under the microscope all season.

21) Charlie Manuel

10 of 30

    2012 Performance: 4

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 7

    Pressure Factor: 6

    Playoff Trips: 2

    Total Score: 21

    Charlie Manuel gets a big boost in the rankings because of the fact that he has led the Philadelphia Phillies to the playoffs for two of the past three years. However, the 2012 season was a disappointment.

    As a result of the Phillies' struggles and the fact that Manuel is in the last year of his contract, Chris Bahr of The Sporting News has identified him as a manager on the hot seat entering the 2013 season.

20) Ron Roenicke

11 of 30

    2012 Performance: 7

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 6

    Pressure Factor: 6

    Playoff Trips: 1

    Total Score: 21

    Even though the Milwaukee Brewers lost Prince Fielder to free agency prior to the start of the 2012 MLB season, they were still expected to be a contender in the National League Central. However, the team struggled and barely finished over .500 for the year.

    Milwaukee once again has the talent to be a playoff team in 2013 and it is Ron Roenicke's job to guide them there.

19) Eric Wedge

12 of 30

    2012 Performance: 7

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 7

    Pressure Factor: 7

    Playoff Trips: 0

    Total Score: 21

    Eric Wedge did a good job of improving the Seattle Mariners between the 2011 and 2012 season. Ownership has brought in some new players, such as Mike Morse, to help the team take yet another step.

    Wedge will be expected to lead the Mariners to a .500 record this year. This is certainly a plausible task, but it will not be easy given the stiff competition in the division.

18) Bud Black

13 of 30

    2012 Performance: 6

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 6

    Pressure Factor: 9

    Playoff Trips: 0

    Total Score: 21

    When a team finishes in fourth place in their division and their manager still gets enough votes to be in fifth place for the Manger of the Year award, it's clear that he helped his team overachieve.

    That is exactly what happened with the San Diego Padres and Bud Black last year. Black should feel pretty comfortable about his job in 2013, and he could lead the Padres to be one of the major's bigger surprises this year.

17) Robin Ventura

14 of 30

    2012 Performance: 8

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 7

    Pressure Factor: 7

    Playoff Trips: 0

    Total Score: 22

    At this point of the list, we enter the group of managers whose jobs are safe barring a massive collapse by their team.

    Robin Ventura did a great job leading the Chicago White Sox to 85 wins in his first year as a manager. He has a strong baseball acumen and will be looking for his team to build on last season's performance.

16) John Farrell

15 of 30

    2012 Performance: 5

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 8

    Pressure Factor: 9

    Playoff Trips: 0

    Total Score: 22

    Over the past two seasons, the Boston Red Sox's clubhouse has been a mess and as a result, it has cost two managers their jobs.

    John Farrell is expected to clean things up this year. Considering the fact that the Red Sox traded for Farrell, he should get at least this season and part of next year to try to turn things around.

15) Clint Hurdle

16 of 30

    2012 Performance: 7

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 7

    Pressure Factor: 8

    Playoff Trips: 0

    Total Score: 22

    During his first two seasons with the Pittsburgh Pirates, Clint Hurdle has had his team get off to a strong start. The issue has been closing out the year.

    However, the Pirates ownership still has faith in him and gave him an extension through 2014 (h/t Associated Press via ESPN). That does not mean that Hurdle's job is entirely safe.

    He has to keep the Pirates' turnaround going, and if he does not, the team will have a decision to make. Hurdle has already been listed as a manager on the hot seat by Chris Behr of The Sporting News.

14) Ron Washington

17 of 30

    2012 Performance: 7

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 6

    Pressure Factor: 6

    Playoff Trips: 2

    Total Score: 23

    Since joining the Texas Rangers in 2007, Ron Washington has finished in the top five of the AL Manager of the Year award voting five times. That is a testament to how much he has helped the team.

    The 2013 season could be a trying one for Washington and the Rangers. They lost Josh Hamilton in the offseason and Washington is going to need to find a way to replace that offense. Additionally, Washington will need to figure out how to work both Elvis Andrus and Jurickson Profar into the lineup at some point this year.

13) Walt Weiss

18 of 30

    2012 Performance: 5

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 9

    Pressure Factor: 10

    Playoff Trips: 0

    Total Score: 24

    The Colorado Rockies know that pitching woes have been one of their biggest issues of late, and in 2012, the team implemented "Project 5183" to try to solve them.

    New manager Walt Weiss likely won't have to deal with that project, but he will have to deal with the team's subpar pitching.

    Colorado still has a lot of offensive talent with Troy Tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzalez, so if Weiss can get the most out of his pitchers, the Rockies could be a decent team in 2013.

12) Mike Redmond

19 of 30

    2012 Performance: 5

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 10

    Pressure Factor: 10

    Playoff Trips: 0

    Total Score: 25

    One of the things that Mike Redmond has going for him is his knowledge of the Miami Marlins ownership from the seven years that he spent with the franchise.

    As a first-year manager for a team that essentially knows that 2013 will be a lost year, Redmond will get a chance to learn the craft without any pressure.

11) Bo Porter

20 of 30

    2012 Performance: 5

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 10

    Pressure Factor: 10

    Playoff Trips: 0

    Total Score: 25

    The 2013 season is going to be a long one for the Houston Astros. They are in rebuilding mode and have moved to the difficult American League West.

    Bo Porter's job for this season will be to figure out how to best position his team for 2014 and beyond. That might not be an easy task, but at least he has a lot of job security.

10) Joe Girardi

21 of 30

    2012 Performance: 9

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 6

    Pressure Factor: 6

    Playoff Trips: 3

    Total Score: 27

    Joe Girardi is probably the most interesting case on this list. He has led the New York Yankees to the playoffs for the last four years, but he finds himself in a strange situation.

    Because of the Yankees' aging roster, their injuries and their high payroll, the pressure is on for yet another postseason appearance. While Bill Madden of the New York Daily News has identified Girardi as a manager on the hot seat, Girardi's job should be fairly safe unless the Yankees falter in a big way this year.

9) Joe Maddon

22 of 30

    2012 Performance: 7

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 8

    Pressure Factor: 8

    Playoff Trips: 2

    Total Score: 27

    Under Joe Maddon's tutelage, the Tampa Bay Rays went from a team that lost 101 games in his first season to one that has won at least 90 in four of the past five years.

    It is clear that Maddon is one of the best managers in the major leagues and his job should be safe throughout 2013.

8) Bob Melvin

23 of 30

    2012 Performance: 10

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 8

    Pressure Factor: 7

    Playoff Trips: 1

    Total Score: 27

    One of the most important things that a manager can do is make their players feel comfortable. According to Danny Knobler of CBS Sports, that is the atmosphere in the Oakland Athletics' clubhouse.

    Maybe that's also one of the reasons why the A's were one of the league's biggest surprises in 2012. Manager Bob Melvin did an outstanding job and he was incredibly deserving of his Manager of the Year award.

7) Mike Matheny

24 of 30

    2012 Performance: 9

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 8

    Pressure Factor: 8

    Playoff Trips: 1

    Total Score: 27

    Mike Matheny's first year as manager of the St. Louis Cardinals was the team's first year without superstar first baseman Albert Pujols. Along with the fact that Chris Carpenter missed most of the season, Matheny did a great job of leading the team to the playoffs.

    There will be some new challenges for Matheny in 2013, but the goal is still the same. According to Joe Strauss of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, Matheny has learned that his players want to spend more time with him during the year and that connection should help the team moving forward.

6) Fredi Gonzalez

25 of 30

    2012 Performance: 10

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 9

    Pressure Factor: 8

    Playoff Trips: 1

    Total Score: 29

    Taking over for Bobby Cox in Atlanta was certainly not an easy task for Fredi Gonzalez. However, the manager did a very good job in the skipper's role during his first season with the Braves.

    Gonzalez picked up right where Cox left off and led the Braves to two strong seasons. In 2013, he will be looking to lead the team to their first division title under his tenure.

5) Buck Showalter

26 of 30

    2012 Performance: 10

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 8

    Pressure Factor: 9

    Playoff Trips: 1

    Total Score: 29

    Living up to their performance last season will be difficult, but with Buck Showalter at the helm, the Baltimore Orioles can return to the postseason.

    Showlater's job is certainly safe in 2013 based on his Manager of the Year campaign last season. Baltimore is a much better team with him leading them than they would be with any other managerial option.

4) Davey Johnson

27 of 30

    2012 Performance: 10

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 9

    Pressure Factor: 8

    Playoff Trips: 1

    Total Score: 29

    Based on the way that things are currently expected to play out, Davey Johnson will not be managing the Washington Nationals in 2014. Instead, he will work with the team as a consultant (h/t Washington Nationals).

    Johnson gives the young team an outstanding chance to win the World Series in 2013 as his leadership is invaluable. Washington should look to make the most of Johnson's last year in the dugout.

3) Dusty Baker

28 of 30

    2012 Performance: 10

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 9

    Pressure Factor: 9

    Playoff Trips: 2

    Total Score: 32

    The Cincinnati Reds were one of the best teams in baseball during the 2012 regular season and they have gotten even better this winter thanks to the additions of players such as Shin-Soo Choo.

    As a result, expectations for the team will be very high going into the season, but there are very few reasons to believe that a veteran manager like Dusty Baker will allow such a talented team to miss the postseason.

2) Jim Leyland

29 of 30

    2012 Performance: 10

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 9

    Pressure Factor: 9

    Playoff Trips: 2

    Total Score: 32

    In his seven years with the Detroit Tigers, Jim Leyland has a .535 winning percentage, but that number does not do justice to the job that he has done. For example, in 2006, Leyland led a Tigers team that featured Jeremy Bonderman, Nate Robertson and Kenny Rodgers in the rotation and Craig Monroe as the leading home run hitter to 95 wins.

    Leyland has done an outstanding job of getting the most out of his players over the past few years and 2013 should be no different.

1) Bruce Bochy

30 of 30

    2012 Performance: 10

    Chances of Living Up to 2013 Expectations: 9

    Pressure Factor: 10

    Playoff Trips: 2

    Total Score: 33

    No manager in baseball is safer than Bruce Bochy entering the 2013 season. Over the past three seasons he has led the San Francisco Giants to two World Series titles.

    Bochy will likely keep up the good work again in 2013 and there is a strong chance that he will once again lead the Giants to the playoffs.