Saints vs. Giants: Spread Info, Line and Predictions

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Saints vs. Giants: Spread Info, Line and Predictions
Elsa/Getty Images

The New Orleans Saints (5-7) will invade MetLife Stadium on Sunday afternoon against the defending Super Bowl champion New York Giants (7-5).

These two teams combined for 73 points when they met in Week 12 last season, with New Orleans scoring most of those points and winning 49-24 in the Superdome.

With the Giants holding a one-game lead in the NFC East and the Saints looking to move closer to a wild-card spot—not to mention both teams coming off a division loss—Week 14 could be a turning point for both teams.

Here's your primer for Sunday afternoon's matchup.

 

Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, N.J.

When: Sunday, Dec. 9 at 4:25 p.m. ET

Watch: FOX

Live Stream: NFL Game Rewind

Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

 

Spread: 4.5 (via Bet Online)

Believe it or not, I actually like New Orleans in this one with the spread.

I think it comes down to a late field goal by Lawrence Tynes, but I do like the odds of Drew Brees and the Saints offense keeping it close. There's no way Brees submits two back-to-back subpar performances.

Keep in mind that the G-Men have lost the past two games they played against the Saints last season and in '09—both by more than 20 points.

 

Over/Under: 53 (via Bet Online)

Are you rolling with the over or the under?

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These two combined for some gaudy offensive numbers last season, but I think we see a different type of game here in 2012.

Offensively, the Saints aren't the same without Sean Payton and neither team has been covering the over of late.

As Bovada tells us, the total has gone under in four of the Saints' last six games and six of the last seven games for the G-Men.

If you saw both of these offenses play in Week 13, you'll take the under as well.

 

Key Injuries (via CBS Sports)

 

Saints

S Roman Harper—Rib—QST

TE David Thomas—Knee—PRB

 

Giants

LB Chase Blackburn—Ankle—QST

LB Michael Boley—Shoulder—QST

RB Ahmad Bradshaw—Foot—PRB

S Kenny Phillips—Knee—QST

LB Jacquian Williams—Knee—QST

 

Fantasy Big Plays

 

Saints: Jimmy Graham

Chris Graythen/Getty Images

Graham has been quiet the past two weeks, combining for just eight receptions, 92 yards and no touchdowns, but you can expect that to change Sunday.

The Giants are no strangers to giving up big plays (as we've seen all season), especially to Graham.

Graham had a big day against the G-Men last season, catching five balls for 84 yards and two touchdowns and the odds of him making it three straight games without a TD are pretty slim.

 

Giants: Victor Cruz

Elsa/Getty Images

A healthy Hakeem Nicks will do wonders for Victor Cruz, helping to remove some of the double teams Cruz has faced this season.

Mr. Salsa put up some gaudy numbers against New Orleans last season, hauling in nine receptions for 157 yards and two TDs.

Against a Saints secondary that's probably a lot worse this season, look for Manning to look Cruz's way early and often.

 

Keys to Saints Win: Sustain Long Drives

Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

It's no secret that New Orleans has one of, if not the worst defenses in the NFL.

If the Saints plan on marching into MetLife Stadium and leaving with a win, they need to keep their offense on the field and the Giants' offense off of it.

That means sustaining drives by running the ball effectively and not turning the ball over. After throwing five interceptions last week, it's up to Brees to keep his defense on the sidelines on Sunday.

 

Keys to Giants Win: Fewer Field Goals, More Touchdowns

Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

The G-Men played a solid all-around game against the Red Skins. The problem was they couldn't score touchdowns.

It's been a problem for New York all season, as they rank 22nd in the NFL in terms of red-zone scoring efficiency, scoring a touchdown just 48.9 percent of the time, according to teamrankings.com.

Although it wouldn't be a true test against an almost non-existent New Orleans defense, it'd be nice to see the Giants convert long drives into seven points rather than three.

 

Prediction: Saints 21, Giants 24

I'm sticking with my original prediction.

December is when the Giants really turn it on and I think they get enough pressure on Brees to keep him off the field.

Look for a big day from Eli Manning against a weak Saints secondary.

 

For more information on this game, click here.

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