Fantasy Football: Russell Wilson Headlines Week 14 Stock Report

Jay Clemons@ATL_JayClemonsFantasy Sports Lead WriterDecember 5, 2012

Fantasy Football: Russell Wilson Headlines Week 14 Stock Report

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    The following countdown details The Fantasy Blog's stock report heading into NFL Week 14.

    Just like the American stock market, these 14 assets are prone to evolving (or devolving) value swings throughout the season.

    But, alas, that's why the NFL schedules the games. Fantasy life, as we know it, undergoes substantial change every weekend.

    Enjoy the show!

Rising: QB Robert Griffin III, Washington Redskins

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    2012 Stats: 2,660 Yards Passing, 23 TD (6 Rush)

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. Robert Griffin III already has 714 rushing yards this season, tops among all quarterbacks.

    2. Griffin boasts a TD-INT ratio of 9-1 in the last three weeks.

    3. Through 12 games, Griffin has crossed the QB-elite threshold of 275 total yards and/or three touchdowns eight times.

Slipping: QB Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons

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    2012 Stats: 3,590 Yards Passing, 23 TD (1 Rush)

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Mildly Concerned

    1. In his last three games, Matt Ryan has thrown six interceptions while accounting for just two touchdowns.

    2. Last week against the Saints, one of the NFL's worst defenses, Ryan posted season lows in completions (18) and yards passing (165).

Rising: RB Bryce Brown, Philadelphia Eagles

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    2012 Stats: 521 Total Yards (488 Rushing), 4 TD

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Ecstatic

    1. There are no excuses for being out of the loop on Bryce Brown's recent dominance—short of backpacking through Europe, or sleeping near a tree for the last 14 days (Rip Van Winkle style).

    2. For Weeks 11 and 12, Brown posted back-to-back efforts of 160-plus rushing yards and two touchdowns (apiece). By a comfortable margin, he was fantasy's No. 1 tailback in that span.

    3. The explosive Brown could be a centerpiece of the Eagles' expected overhaul during the offseason. And yes, I am suddenly living in fear of the club trading LeSean McCoy before the 2013 campaign.

Slumping: RB Ryan Mathews, San Diego Chargers

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    2012 Stats: 864 Total Yards (620 Rushing), 1 TD

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. Ryan Mathews registered season lows in carries (nine), touches (12), rushing yards (26) and total yards (51) last week against the Bengals.

    2. Mathews has averaged 86.4 total yards per game, a substantial reduction from last year's 96.7 average.

    3. The Chargers' back only has one touchdown this season. And for his career, he has never tallied a receiving TD.

Rising: WR Pierre Garcon, Washington Redskins

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    2012 Stats: 23 Catches, 350 Yards, 3 TD

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. Pierre Garcon has racked up 13 catches, 18 targets, 199 yards and two touchdowns in his last two games.

    2. By all accounts, Garcon has fully recovered from a substantial foot injury that essentially wiped out his production for Weeks 2-11.

    3. It's scary to think that rookie Robert Griffin III has been a fantasy marvel this season...mostly without the help of a top-notch wideout like Garcon (three multi-TD outings last year with Indy).

Slumping: WR Dwayne Bowe, Kansas City Chiefs

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    2012 Stats: 57 Catches, 731 Yards, 3 TD

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. Dwayne Bowe hasn't tallied a touchdown in eight straight games, the second-longest scoreless streak of his career.

    2. Since Week 5, Bowe has averaged only 4.5 catches and 48 yards per contest.

    3. The way things are progressing, or regressing with the Chiefs, Bowe will likely fall short of last year's output in catches (81), receiving yards (1,159) and touchdowns (five).

Rising: RB Michael Turner, Atlanta Falcons

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    2012 Stats: 778 Total Yards (675 Rushing), 8 TD

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. Michael Turner has scored a touchdown in each of his last three games.

    2. In his last eight outings against the Panthers (dating back to 2008), Turner has absurdly averaged 115.4 total yards and 1.5 TDs. 

    3. At home this season, Turner is averaging a respectable 82 total yards and 0.8 TDs.

Slipping: RB Vick Ballard, Indianapolis Colts

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    2012 Stats: 601 Total Yards (468 Rushing), 2 TD

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. In his last four games, Vick Ballard only has 241 total yards and one touchdown.

    2. The rookie Ballard is stuck in some kind of fantasy purgatory, where he's the Colts' primary back...but not proficient enough to escape the NFL's bottom-five starting rushers.

    3. Since Week 7, Ballard has logged 15 or more touches only three times.

    4. The Andrew Luck-led (and playoff-bound?) Colts are primarily a pass-first, pass-second outfit.

Rising: WR Josh Gordon, Cleveland Browns

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    2012 Stats: 34 Catches, 646 Yards, 5 TD

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. Against the Raiders last week, Josh Gordon posted season/career highs in catches (six) and receiving yards (116).

    2. Gordon has collected seven-plus targets in each of his last three games.

    3. The athletic rookie has the capacity for 85 yards and one touchdown every Sunday, regardless of opponent. For Weeks 5-7, he scored four times on only seven receptions.

Slipping: WR Malcom Floyd, San Diego Chargers

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    2012 Stats: 51 Catches, 765 Yards, 4 TD

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. Malcom Floyd has failed to clear 70 receiving yards in each of his last seven games. (In fairness, he has three touchdowns in that span.)

    2. For the season, Floyd has only crossed the PPR-elite threshold of six catches, 95 yards and/or one touchdown six times.

Ascending: TE Marcedes Lewis, Jacksonville Jaguars

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    2012 Stats: 37 Catches, 398 Yards, 4 TD

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Optimistic

    1. Since Week 11, Marcedes Lewis ranks as the No. 2 tight end (overall points), trailing only Brandon Myers.

    2. Lewis has 124 receiving yards since Week 12—his highest two-game tally of receiving yards since 2009.

Slumping: TE Vernon Davis, San Francisco 49ers

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    2012 Stats: 37 Catches, 502 Yards, 5 TD

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Crestfallen

    1. Vernon Davis is way off the pace of last year's output in catches (67) and receiving yards (792). With four games left, he's not a mortal lock to match his 2011 TD output (six), either.

    2. Simply put, Davis hasn't lived up to his top-five potential among tight ends from the preseason.

    3. In his last three games, Davis has accounted for only eight catches, 12 targets and 98 yards (with one score).

Rising: QB Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks

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    2012 Stats: 2,344 Yards Passing, 19 TD

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. Last Sunday, Russell Wilson's overtime touchdown pass to Sidney Rice clinched the Seahawks' road win over the Bears.

    2. Rounding up fractionally, Wilson was one of three quarterbacks to register 30 points for Week 13 (standard scoring).

    3. Wilson has accounted for multiple touchdowns in five straight games. Within that span, he has a sterling TD-to-interception ratio of 11-1.

    4. Since Week 8, Wilson is a perfect 5-of-5 in recording 20-plus fantasy points.

Falling: QB Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins

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    2012 Stats: 2,559 Yards Passing, 9 TD (2 Rush)

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. In his last four games, Ryan Tannehill has averaged only 199 yards and 0.8 touchdowns.

    2. Tannehill hasn't completed 20 or more passes since Week 10.

    3. The Dolphins rookie has only accounted for multiple TDs twice this season (Weeks 2 and 6).

    4. In fairness to Tannehill, he may have the AFC's worst supporting cast of receivers and tight ends.