Heath Miller - Pittsburgh Steelers
Projected Stats: 4.01 receptions, 52.31 receiving yards, 0.44 receiving TDs
Standard League Fantasy Points: 7.83 FP
NumberFire Rank: No. 5 TE (No. 93 overall)
Week 14 Opponent: vs. San Diego Chargers
Just how good has Heath Miller been? In our rankings of the most productive tight ends this season, Tony Gonzalez currently ranks at No. 1, with Rob Gronkowski at No. 2 (only below Old Man Gonzalez due to injury). Know who's at No. 3? It's not Jimmy Graham, there's no Antonio Gates here, and shame for thinking it's Jason Witten.
Say hello to the reemergence of Heath Miller as a must-start fantasy tight end.
Miller has gained the Steelers 43.89 NEP over expectation so far this season even after drops and attempted targets are taken into account. That's good for 0.85 NEP per catch, meaning that every time Heath Miller touches the ball, the Steelers can be expected to score almost a full point more than they had previously.
That's why, although the Chargers hold numberFire's No. 9 opponent-adjusted defense, Miller still remains a must-start. He's currently being started in less ESPN leagues than Vernon Davis, Antonio Gates, Brandon Pettigrew, Jermichael Finley and Jermaine Gresham, but we like Miller much more than each of those guys this week.
Brent Celek - Philadelphia Eagles
Projected Stats: 3.92 receptions, 46.22 receiving yards, 0.33 receiving TDs
Standard League Fantasy Points: 6.51 FP
NumberFire Rank: No. 10 TE (No. 120 overall)
Week 14 Opponent: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Considering the boom-or-bust nature of most tight ends outside of the top six or seven, it's often hard to predict breakout players from the rest of the pack. But if there's one guy you may not have expected that we think can break out, it's Celek.
Nick Foles has already been named the starter for the rest of the season in Philadelphia, and judging from the past couple of weeks, that can only help Celek owners.
This past week, Celek led all Eagles players with eight targets, or 24 percent of Foles' throws. The week before, Celek finished third on the team in targets with 14 percent of throws. And in Foles' first full game, Celek tied for second with eight targets, or 17 percent of Foles throws.
Assuming that trend continues against Tampa Bay, Celek has a great chance of getting into the endzone. The Buccaneers are slightly less than effective this season, coming in as numberFire's No. 20 opponent-adjusted defense.
For full rankings, refer to numberFire's Full Projection List for Week 14. You can follow numberFire on Twitter @numberFire. The author takes no responsibility for any Norv Turner spiteful Alexander benchings that may change the order of our projections.