NFL Betting Predictions: 5 Picks for Week 12
There are several close lines in Week 12, which makes this an enticing week to take some over/unders.
With four divisional matchups and a couple of revenge games on the table this week, watch out for some surprises.
Let's take a look at five picks for Week 12.
Last Week: 4-1
Last 4 Weeks: 15-5
All lines courtesy of www.covers.com.
Seattle Seahawks at Miami Dolphins (under 37.5)
Joe Nicholson-US PRESSWIRE
This is a simple matchup of two teams with stagnant offenses and solid defenses.
The Seattle Seahawks are only averaging 17 points per game on the road this year, while the Miami Dolphins are averaging less than 19 points per game at home.
Miami was able to score 35 points against the Oakland Raiders in Week 2. That offensive performance shouldn't even count.
Seattle has been Jekyll-and-Hyde this season by playing phenomenal at home and horrible on the road. Miami hasn't exactly been lighting up the scoreboard either as they were held to just three points by an abysmal Tennessee defense.
Ryan Tannehill is starting to play like the rookie he is and the Dolphins have only scored 17 points combined in their last two games.
Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts (under 51.5)
David Butler II-US PRESSWIRE
Even though the Indianapolis Colts gave up an unprecedented 59 points to the New England Patriots last week, the Buffalo Bills are not the New England Patriots.
The Colts also play much better defense at home and have only allowed one opponent to score more than 25 points at Lucas Oil Stadium.
With the exception of the 31 points they scored in New England, the Bills have averaged less than 17 points per game away from home. Now they must travel to take on a team that was just humiliated on the road.
Though both offenses have looked good at times, 51.5 points is far too much for this total.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Oakland Raiders (over 49)
Denny Medley-US PRESSWIRE
This Oakland Raiders' defense has not only been bad; it's been downright pathetic.
The team has given up over 43 points per game over the last month and has let its last two opponents bring in their backup quarterbacks because the games have been so lopsided.
With Andy Dalton being able to throw to A.J. Green against an Oakland secondary that ranks 24th in the NFL against the pass, this total could go over by halftime.
Carson Palmer is fifth in the league in passing yards and has several weapons to work with, including Marcel Reece, who has helped the Raiders establish their long-lost running game.
Oakland has scored nearly 24 points a game over the last month and Palmer is sure to look for redemption against his former team.
Denver Broncos (-10) at Kansas City Chiefs
Chris Humphreys-US PRESSWIRE
You should always be reluctant to bet against a team that is a double-digit underdog at home; especially an underdog that's playing a divisional rival.
But there is always an exception to every rule.
The Denver Broncos have scored at least 30 points in five straight weeks, while the Kansas City Chiefs have only scored a combined 32 points in their last three games.
Even without Willis McGahee, the Broncos will light up the scoreboard as Peyton Manning will take full advantage of that horrible Kansas City defense that is allowing 28 points per game at Arrowhead Stadium.
The Chiefs kept it close against Pittsburgh, but now they must face one of their arch-rivals at the worst possible time. As dysfunctional as the Chiefs are, it doesn't even matter who their quarterback is.
They are going to get blown out.
Carolina Panthers (-2.5) at Philadelphia Eagles
Despite this extreme failure of a match up on Monday Night Football, there is still money to be made.
The Philadelphia Eagles have looked about as bad as any team could by losing their last six games. They've also lost their last four games by an average of 17 points and they'll be without Michael Vick and LeSean McCoy.
The Carolina Panthers, on the other hand, are coming off a heart-breaking loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and are hungry for a win against the most disappointing team in the league.
The Eagles are also 1-8-1 against the spread this season. Nobody should feel confident taking them right now.