Tip No. 1 -- Don't use this guy! He's on bye!
You need some help putting together your Week 10 fantasy football lineup? Well, better to come to me than Kansas City Chiefs general manager Scott Pioli if you need roster advice.
Most fantasy football leagues are past the halfway points in their seasons. Trading deadlines are coming up, and the playoffs are only a week away for most of us. So, this is not the week to pick up the wrong player or use the wrong tight end.
Here is an early guide to fantasy football success for Week 10:
Would you like a mathematical fantasy equation that is fail-safe? Take the Seattle defense at home and add them to the visiting New York Jets offense and that will equal a fantasy jackpot.
Seattle’s defense at home is more cash money than Lil’ Wayne and Birdman. The Seahawks only allowed seven points to Tony Romo’s Dallas Cowboys, 12 points to Aaron Rodgers’ Green Bay Packers and 23 points to Tom Brady’s New England Patriots this year when those offenses visited Starbucksville.
So, the quarterback combination of Mark Sanchez and Tim Tebow should be held to six points or less, all things considered. This terrible twosome has failed against above-average defenses a lot this season—10 points versus Pittsburgh, zero points against San Francisco and nine points in their last game matched with Miami.
Seattle has 14 sacks in four home games and plays much better when its louder-than-a-Megadeth-concert home crowd gets cranked. It is hard to figure out a way the Jets will not get sacked five times and turn the ball over three times in this Sunday’s contest.
I know the Miami Dolphins have the third-ranked run defense in the NFL, and I know Johnson can be about as inconsistent as Andy Reid’s play-calling, but Johnson is a must-play this week.
All Johnson has done is sprint for 141 rushing yards against BOTH the Houston Texans and the Chicago Bears when many fantasy owners probably thought that would be impossible and benched him. He has had a knack for breaking big runs lately, even against stellar defenses who have bottled him up for most of the game.
So, there is no reason to sit Johnson down now just because Miami has been tougher against the run than Republicans are against abortion. Johnson has gotten over his early-season doldrums much quicker than he did last year, rushing for 526 yards over his last four outings, so keep him active against Miami.
Fantasy owners are thrilled to see Freeman revert back to his scintillating 2010 form after a 2011 that was as forgettable as a Lifetime movie.
Freeman has averaged 311 passing yards per game over his past five games and has an 11-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio over his last four. Receivers Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams are having spectacular seasons, and do I have to bring up the greatness of rookie running back Doug Martin?
Unless you own Drew Brees, Tom Brady or Matt Ryan, Freeman is a must-start this week. The guy is hotter than Hades and is facing the 18th-ranked San Diego Chargers pass defense inside the friendly confines of Freeman’s home stadium. I would even use Freeman over the Manning brothers this week.
With Darren Sproles out for a few weeks with a broken hand, someone had to step up and take those available touches in New Orleans. The good news is Ingram grabbed a lot of them this past Monday night. The bad news is he did not have a monopoly on them.
The former Heisman Trophy winner has been a Blair Thomas-like bust so far, making zero fantasy impact in 2011 and averaging under three yards per carry in limited time this season, heading into the Monday night game against Philadelphia.
Ingram had his best game in six weeks—44 rushing yards, 23 receiving yards—but he could not do more than that because fourth-string tailback Chris Ivory actually had more touches.
Even without Sproles, New Orleans seems that it will continue using a three-headed rushing attack, which means the trio of Ingram, Ivory and Pierre Thomas still have minimal fantasy value.
There might be a couple Pro Bowl-caliber kickers on your league’s waiver wire, thanks to last week’s teams that were on bye.
Many fantasy owners refuse to have two kickers on their rosters at the same time, so it is likely that New England’s Stephen Gostkowski, St. Louis’ Greg Zuerlein and San Francisco’s David Akers were dropped last week and available this week.
So, if you want a kicker upgrade and there are no running backs or receivers you have interest in out there, dump Rod Bironas or Mike Nugent and go for one of the aforementioned scorers.
The Vikings defense can now be released in fantasy leagues. Not only have they proven that their early-season success was more about their woeful competition and less about how good Jared Allen’s unit was, but Minnesota’s schedule is scary down the stretch.
Minnesota still has to play Green Bay and Chicago twice apiece, along with Houston, Detroit and St. Louis. That means any reasonable fantasy owner might only use the Vikings defense once, or twice tops, from here on out.
Minnesota has allowed 30-plus points in three of its past four contests. Couple that with the SEC-like schedule coming up and kick returner Percy Harvin’s ankle injury and there is no reason to hold onto the Vikings D any longer. Drop them if you own them and go after another defense showing promise that has an easier schedule from here on out.