NFL Picks Week 7: Home Teams That Will Edge Division Foes

Justin WeltonAnalyst IIOctober 21, 2012

SAN FRANCISCO, CA - OCTOBER 14:  Defensive end Osi Umenyiora #72 of the New York Giants warms up for the game with the San Francisco 49ers at Candlestick Park on October 14, 2012 in San Francisco, California.  (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)
Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

The 2012 NFL season has been pretty wild, but we are only beginning to creep into the madness. 

Sunday's Week 7 has several crucial division games.

Here are three home teams that will edge their division foes.


New England Patriots over New York Jets

I don't know what's going on in New England, but it has to stop eventually. Three losses by a total of four points? Eventually, one would think the Patriots will begin to win the close games.

New England will do just that against the New York Jets and turn the tide of its season. 

The Patriots are third in passing yards (293 per game), fourth in rushing (152.3 ) and fifth in yards allowed on the ground (82.7 ).

However, just like last season, the Achilles' heel of the Patriots is their 28th-ranked pass defense (288.8).

The Jets aren't coming to New England with a fantastic passing offense. In fact, Mark Sanchez, Tim Tebow and the entire offense is pretty lousy. They rank 30th in yards passing (184.3 ) and 15th in rushing (111.2 ). 

Prediction: Patriots 27, Jets 20. 


Chicago Bears over Detroit Lions

With one week to prepare, the Bears will enter Monday night's game with a great game plan and defeat the Lions at home.

Chicago is 4-1 and has outscored the opposition 64-27 in going 2-0 at home.

Detroit is 2-3, 1-2 on the road, having won last week at Philadelphia, and is known for being a better home team. 

I like the Bears on the big stage, a place where Detroit hasn't fared well in years. 

Prediction: Bears 31, Lions 24.


New York Giants over Washington Redskins

Osi Umenyiora is a smart man. Before the season, he called rookie Robert Griffin III "Bob Griffin" because he had not yet earned the right to be called RG3.

Now, as he prepares to face Griffin for the first time, Umenyiora is talking him up. Brilliant!

Griffin will feel the heat from the Giants' front four Sunday. Griffin is still a rookie, believe it or not, and despite all the hype, he's not immune to that kind of pressure.

The Redskins have been hearing how they are playoff material and Griffin is so much better than Andrew Luck while the Super Bowl champions have been taking a backseat. 

If we have learned anything over the past few years, the Giants are a much better team when they feel disrespected.

They feel disrespected this week. 

Prediction: Giants 27, Redskins 24.