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Denver at New England (-6.5)
It's going to be one exciting contest between Tom Brady and Peyton Manning. Both offenses can explode against either defense and these quarterbacks read defenses emphatically well. So, it will come down to which front seven gets more constant pressure and stops the run.
Neither offense is run-oriented, therefore, the offensive lines have more emphasis to pass protect. Denver, though, has faced a tougher schedule through four games and will win if turnovers are minimized.
Take the Broncos and the points
Buffalo at San Francisco (-10)
Ryan Fitzpatrick is turnover-prone and the San Francisco 49ers field one stellar defense. Buffalo's best hope is to slam well on the ground, but the 'Niners are even better at controlling the line of scrimmage as well.
All Alex Smith and Co. will have to do is move the chains, because the Bills' defense has been suspect week to week.
Take the 49ers against the spread
San Diego at New Orleans (-3.5)
This game has the feel of a blowout for San Diego. However, New Orleans is desperate for a win. The Chargers were exploited by Matt Ryan two weeks ago and Drew Brees is certainly capable of dicing up the Bolts.
So, expect San Diego to run-heavy and keep Brees off the field. In turn, NOLA will stack the box and force a shootout. That's what the Saints need to keep it close and New Orleans gets the win.
Take the Saints against the spread
Houston (-8) at NY Jets
In this AFC Monday night matchup we have arguably the NFL's two most polar opposite units: The Jets offense against the Texans defense immensely favors Houston.
And when the Texans are on offense, their balanced approach will consistently move against Gang Green to win the time of possession. It won't be out of reach until the second half, but Houston quickly gains control of the tempo and never lets go.
Take the Texans against the spread
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