Peyton Manning looked mortal Monday against the Atlanta Falcons, throwing three picks in the first half before mounting a comeback that fell one score short.
His fantasy numbers were decent if not spectacular—and decent would be a solid showing for fantasy owners who have him as their starter against the Houston Texans on Sunday.
Manning has racked up some solid numbers against the Houston Texans in the past: He's tossed 42 touchdowns—the most he has thrown against any NFL team—and eight interceptions in 18 games, while averaging 285 yards per game.
But that was before the Texans built one of the top-five defenses in the league.
The Texans are allowing only 124 yards passing per game this season, giving up just one touchdown and posting three interceptions. Of course, that was against two of the least experienced quarterbacks in the league in Ryan Tannehill and Blaine Gabbert of the Dolphins and Jaguars.
Manning will outperform both of them Sunday, but his Fantasy numbers depend as much on his receivers stretching the field and his running game offering some balance.
Sunday's game will prove the old adage, "history teaches nothing."
This is a new Peyton Manning and a new Houston Texans, a team that has allowed just four fantasy points per game this year.
Manning has had his moments during his comeback season, but even Manning at his best could not pick apart this Texans D.
Many experts are backing Manning for a start today.
I'm not one of them.
If you have a better option, up against a less stingy defense, go for it. At best, I see Manning getting on the board twice today. Maybe less.
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