NFL Spreads Week 3: Home Favorites to Be Wary of This Weekend
Every weekend during the NFL season, the oddsmakers fall in love with home teams. However, in some cases those heavy home favorites can be mighty risks.
In Week 3, there are a handful of home teams who are favored to win handily over some under-the-radar opposition.
Heed this warning: Don't fall victim to these spreads.
Let's take a look at some home favorites you should be wary of this weekend.
All spread info according to Covers.com.
Dallas Cowboys (-9)
The Dallas Cowboys return home to Jerry's World in Week 3 to host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are best known these days for bum rushing Eli Manning on the final play of their loss to the Giants last Sunday.
Although the Cowboys will be rejuvenated playing at home for the first time this season, their second win of the year won't come easy. The Bucs boast the NFL's third-best rushing defense, which has surrendered just 52 yards per game this September. That should keep running back DeMarco Murray under wraps, forcing the 'Boys to throw the ball.
Therefore, Tony Romo will be susceptible to interceptions on Sunday. Tampa's D picked off Manning three times last week and turned one of them into a 60-yard touchdown return. Sure, Greg Schiano's Bucs imploded in the fourth quarter last week, but they are far from a team set to rollover in Week 3.
Chicago Bears (-7)
Which home favorite is the most likely to cover the spread in Week 3?
At first glance it may seem more than likely that the Bears beat the Rams at home this weekend by at least a touchdown, but remember that these are two teams traveling in opposite directions. St. Louis is coming off a huge win over the Washington Redskins, while Chicago is coming off a disastrous loss at Green Bay.
Jay Cutler was sacked seven times and picked off four more times in Chicago's Week 2 defeat. To overlook Sam Bradford and the Rams' offense this weekend would be foolish. After all, Indianapolis Colts rookie quarterback Andrew Luck proved in Week 1 that it's possible to throw against the Bears; Luck had 309 passing yards in his first career NFL regular season game.
The Bears' offensive line and Cutler himself seem very shaky right now. Although some good old fashioned home cooking will do Chicago some good this Sunday, the Bears have a lot of work to do against a team that is much better than people think—the Rams are averaging 351 yards of offense per week this September.
Washington Redskins (-3)
No Brian Orakpo? No Adam Carriker? It's safe to say that all the pressure will be on Robert Griffin's shoulders this weekend in DC for the Redskins' regular season home opener against the Cincinnati Bengals.
Despite coming off a loss at St. Louis, the oddsmakers like RG3 and the 'Skins in this matchup. Still, I can't help but see a Bengals win coming Sunday afternoon. Marvin Lewis' squad is coming off a confidence-building win over Cleveland in Week 2, while Mike Shanahan's team has been decimated by early-season injuries.
Washington's defense is allowing over 31 points per game coming into Week 3, and I believe that will be the difference at FedEx Field on Sunday. As talented and mesmerizing as RG3 is offensively, he simply cannot be asked to score more than 30 points per game as a rookie signal-caller.
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