The Buffalo Bills will head to New York this Sunday to start their 2012 season against the New York Jets. Among other things, this match will have fantasy implications. Be sure to take the following advice to start off your fantasy season on the right foot.
Sit: Bills Running Back Fred Jackson
You might be tempted to play Fred Jackson this week after his performances in 2011. Resist the urge. Despite his career year in 2011, Jackson is going to be a fantasy disappointment this year.
At age 31, he is not going to be as effective as last year. More importantly, he is going to split carries with C.J. Spiller—the ninth overall pick in 2010. Jackson will not see a ton of carries, and he is unlikely to see the end zone.
Go with someone else to open your fantasy season.
Start: Jets Quarterback Mark Sanchez
This one depends on your roster. If you took a first- or second-round quarterback like Aaron Rodgers, then ignore this. However, if you took wide receivers and running backs in the early rounds, consider Mark Sanchez in Week 1.
Sanchez is an easy quarterback to get for your backup spot. If your starting quarterback is someone like Tony Romo or Matt Ryan—a good but not amazing fantasy quarterback—then you might want to sit them for one week.
For a number of reasons, Sanchez matches up well against the Bills and always carves up their secondary. This may be the only week this year you should start Mark Sanchez.
Nevertheless, go for it.
Sit: Bills Wide Receiver Stevie Johnson
Stevie Johnson is actually on my personal fantasy team, and I am sitting him this week. Johnson admits to being slowed down by his recent groin injury, according to 4for4.com. Moreover, he is likely going to be covered by the best defensive back in the league—Darrelle Revis.
Johnson is likely to have his worst game of the season on Sunday. Keep him on your team, but do not start him Week 1, not even as flex.
Start: Jets Running Back Shonn Greene
The Jets make use of running back by committee, which makes Shonn Greene a pretty weak option most weeks. Drafting him in an early round was a mistake if you did it.
However, if he is on your team, start him this week. If there is one thing the Jets have been able to do for the last several years, it has been to run against the Bills. The Bills have never been able to handle the Jets' offensive line. Adding a pass-rusher in Mario Williams will not change this significantly.
Greene will be used heavily against the Bills on Sunday and will likely score at least one touchdown. Unless you spent your first two draft picks on LeSean McCoy and Matt Forte (which I did), go ahead and start Shonn Greene.
Sit: Jets Tight End Dustin Keller
If you drafted Dustin Keller, bench him for this week and find another tight end. Keller is currently bothered by a hamstring injury. He is likely to play, but he will probably not see a whole lot of action.
The Bills secondary is vulnerable to deep passes, so dump-offs to Keller will not be a priority even when he is in the game.
Definitely sit Keller this week.