Last season showed that rookies can shift the balance of fantasy football leagues.
Unfortunately, the early stock on some of the most notable rookies might be too high to justify spending a premium pick on an unproven commodity.
While Andrew Luck is undoubtedly a future superstar, some owner will likely jump too high to grab him. Remember, even Peyton Manning" href="http://bleacherreport.com/peyton-manning" target="_blank">Peyton Manning threw 28 interceptions in his rookie season.
Trent Richardson, who should take the bulk of the carries as the Cleveland Browns' workhorse, looks poised to break the mold of young running backs splitting carries. Since Yahoo!'s analysts rank him next to Chris Johnson and Marshawn Lynch, he will need 300 carries to provide a return on value at such a high price.
The first or second round is not the time to roll the dice on a rookie instead of grabbing an established star, but there are still plenty of neophytes obtainable at a more reasonable portion of the draft who can lead you to fantasy football glory.