With the NFL draft fast approaching, the speculations and mock drafts are heating up. The Indianapolis Colts have reportedly contacted former Stanford QB Andrew Luck to inform him they will be selecting him with the No.1 overall pick.
Could this possibly be a mistake?
We haven't seen two quarterbacks rated this high in the same draft in a while. Usually, teams are grasping at straws trying to pick the next big thing at the position simply because of team need. Luck sure seems like the can't-miss prospect that he is being billed as, but how good might Robert Griffin III be?
The Colts are in a different situation now than they were in back in 1998 when there were also two 'can't miss' QB prospects on the board when they held the No 1 overall pick. Peyton Manning and Ryan Leaf were the two prospects, and we certainly know their history.
Manning went on to be a superstar that elevated the franchise for over a decade, while Leaf is viewed by many as one of the biggest busts in NFL draft history.
Leaf was always viewed as a possible bust in waiting, but RGIII won't be a bust. He may not develop into a star, but he will not be out of the NFL within five years.
The decision to take Luck instead of RGIII is based on the Colts offense, and the system the team is used to running.
Luck is a pocket-passer who makes calls at the line of scrimmage and throws defenses off with his abilities to look off defenders and read defensive secondaries.
Luck is also a superb athlete. He doesn't get nearly enough credit for that. He is going to the Colts to succeed Peyton Manning, true, but he is not nearly as immobile as Manning was, Luck can run. We are being lulled into thinking Luck is the same player as Manning, which he is not.
You think Carolina's rookie sensation Cam Newton is fast? The guy who set the NFL record for rushing touchdowns by a QB? Luck and Newton both ran the 40 in 4.59 seconds at the combine.
RGIII is a great prospect, almost as much of a 'can't miss' as Luck is, but not quite. Luck is what is best for Indianapolis. But, any franchise will be lucky to have either guy.
In a decade we won't be talking about either one like we talk about Ryan Leaf. Both players will be successful NFL QB's.
Drafting Luck is no mistake, it is the right call for Jim Irsay and the Colts organization. The team needs many other pieces to be competitive in 2012, but that's no surprise for the team drafting No.1.
Luck will at least help them win a few games. Cam Newton sure helped Carolina, a team that looked like a lost cause before he was drafted.
I am looking forward to watching both players develop in 2012. Both guys should be starters right away, and both for teams looking to get back to winning.
The Colts will in no way regret taking Luck over RGIII. Luck is simply the better fit in Indy.