Sixteen out of 23 mock drafts I looked at predict that the Miami Dolphins are going to take Texas A&M quarterback Ryan Tannehill in the first round.
All seven of the other mock drafts had Tannehill going to the Browns at No. 4, leaving the Dolphins with no other choice.
The Dolphins have been searching for a quarterback since Dan Marino, and the list is almost depressing in its sheer length: 16 starters since Marino retired in 2000—more than any other team in the NFL.
Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M
The stars have seemed to align time and time again for Miami to get their quarterback for the future, but they have gone the road less traveled each time. This time, the Dolphins entire galaxy seems to point to Ryan Tannehill.
He has worked well with new Dolphins offensive coordinator Mike Sherman when the two were together at Texas A&M. There are mixed reviews as to whether he'll successfully transition to the NFL, but these days, overpaying comes with the territory of getting the quarterback you want.
Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame
After trading wide receiver Brandon Marshall to the Chicago Bears, the Dolphins are once again in need of a No. 1 target. The team has already brought Floyd in for a personal workout, which doesn't really mean anything except that the team is interested in learning more about him. Interestingly enough, new head coach Joe Philbin has said in the past that a No. 1 receiver is "not that important."
What it would mean for the Dolphins, though, is an immediate boost to the top of what is a very bottom-heavy Dolphins depth chart at wide receiver. He doesn't have the game-breaking speed you might like to see in a No. 1 wide-out, but he is a play-maker through and through, having collected 36 touchdown receptions in his career with the Irish.
Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State
In the same light as my analysis of the Floyd selection, the Dolphins need a No. 1 receiver badly, but they'd have to really be in love with the guy to take him. Blackmon is one of the draft's best receivers, in arguably a 1A and 1B scenario with Floyd.
Blackmon flashed potential in his rookie year, but took a back seat to Dez Bryant. The chains came off in 2010, and he burst out of the statistical dog house. In the past two years he's accounted for 232 receptions for 3,304 yards (14.2 yards per reception) and 38 touchdowns.
The comparisons to wide receiver Terrell Owens began long ago, starting with B/R NFL Draft lead writer Matt Miller. If that's his ceiling and he can clean up his off-the-field action, he's more than deserving of the No. 8 selection in the draft.
Quinton Coples, DE North Carolina
B/R Dolphins featured columnist Alex Miglio and I debated on Thursday over how important it is for the Dolphins to pick up a talented defensive end now that Cameron Wake failed to show up for team workouts. We agreed that it's now a top priority.
The problem with Coples is that he doesn't give 100 percent effort 100 percent of the time. When he goes full-tilt, he's one of the hardest defensive ends to block, based on sheer athleticism and technique. He needs to give it his all more often, though, and the question will be whether a first-time head coach—an offensive-minded one, at that—can get the most out of him.
Michael Brockers, DT, LSU
The Dolphins have spent big on defensive tackle Paul Soliai with a two-year, $12 million contract, and already drafted former Penn State defensive tackle Jared Odrick in the first round in 2010. To go high on another defensive tackle seems like a questionable move, but if Tannehill is already gone, as was anticipated in the two mock drafts that projected this pick, Brockers could be a best player available acquisition for the Dolphins.
As the draft's top defensive tackle prospect, Brockers isn't expected to make it out of the top 10. A solid interior pass rush is a great way to build a 4-3 defensive line, but the Dolphins sorely need defensive end help.