New York Mets: Why Ike Davis Is Ready to Become a MLB Superstar

Andrew LeRayContributor IIApril 11, 2012

Despite his slow start, Ike is ready to blossom.
Despite his slow start, Ike is ready to blossom.Chris Chambers/Getty Images

Wait...aren't we jumping the gun? 

Maybe we should let Ike improve on his 1-for-20 start before we go crowning him a superstar, right?

Nonsense. Ike Davis is bound for stardom, and I'm here to tell you why.

We're going to get real bold, and compare Ike to perhaps the best left-handed hitting first baseman in the game today: Boston's Adrian Gonzalez.

Gonzalez was drafted as the first overall pick in the 2000 draft by the former Florida Marlins, but did not make his debut until 2004 with the Texas Rangers.  Expected to be great from the beginning, it took Adrian several years to become the sweet-swinging lefty we see today.

Ike has strong bloodlines as the son of Ron Davis, a former big league pitcher of 11 years and one-time All-Star.  Like Gonzalez, the 25-year old Ike was a first-round draft pick and was seen as a key piece in the future success of the Metropolitans.

For the sake of making a better comparison, we will look at Ike's career numbers versus those of Gonzalez through his age-25 season.

Gonzalez, considered to be an above average gap hitter, recorded one double every 15.9 at bats.  Davis has hit a two-bagger once every...15.9 at bats.  Both men averaged 1/2 run per game.

Gonzalez hit a home run once every 24.6 at bats.  Davis, once every 25.

Davis has only 10 less RBI in 110 less at-bats.  Ike does have a propensity to strike out however, whiffing once every 3.9 plate appearances, compared to Gonzalez's average of once every 4.9.  

However, the occasional hole in Ike's bat is made up for by his eagle eye.  Davis has walked 25 more times than did Gonzalez.  As a result, Davis has a career OBP of .357 versus Adrian's .340.  Since then, Gonzalez has raised his career OBP to an impressive .375.

Where the two differ most is in batting average. Davis is a career .271 hitter while Gonzalez was hitting at a .285 at age 25.  Now, Adrian is coming off a .338 season and has a career average of .293.

Not enough to convince you? Fine. Let's compare Ike to potential hall-of-famer David Ortiz.  

At the same age, Ortiz also had 110 more at bats than Davis. Ike has more home runs (26 vs. 20), a higher slugging percentage (.460 vs. .434), fewer strikeouts (169 vs. 184), and a considerably higher WAR (3.8 vs. .9).

Now with a fully healthy ankle, Mets fans should be excited for a full year of development and improvement from the homegrown lefty.  

The future is bright.  The ceiling is still very far away. 

Now if we could only cure this Valley Fever...