It was a mistake on my part. I had the privilege of looking at the full data chart, and could see how Manning's numbers stacked up against his peers.
I'm using a similar, but slightly different data chart tonight, so please note that the ratings for Manning are slightly lower than the ones I used today. That's because of the way a handful of passes here and there were charted and classified. The data from Pro Football Focus only goes back to 2008.
For those who are curious:
- The qualified league average passer rating on deep passes in 2008 was 81.1. Manning's rating was 65.4. He ranked 15th of 21 passers.
- The qualified league average passer rating on deep passes in 2009 was 86.0. Manning's rating was 82.2. He ranked 17th of 26 passers.
- The qualified league average passer rating on deep passes in 2010 was 85.9. Manning's rating was 73.2. He ranked 16th of 24 passers.
Again, I apologize that this data wasn't included in the morning project. It obviously only strengthens the case that Manning has not been an excellent deep ball passer since at least 2008.
I fully recognize that passer rating is merely a one snap shot tool for evaluating quarterback play, but it's clear that in this case both the eye test and the numbers align for once.