Complete New York Yankees 2015 Spring Training Preview
The grass has been cut, the infield raked and the New York Yankees are just about ready to head south for what's left of a brutal, unforgiving winter. Spring training is nearly upon us, and a new era will officially begin on Feb. 20, when pitchers and catchers report for work at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
Welcome to Yankees baseball A.D.—After Derek.
Yes, it's true: Derek Jeter is gone, Alex Rodriguez is back and somewhere, Yankees haters are rejoicing.
But the Yankees didn't go into hibernation this winter. They've spent the past few months recuperating and retooling and head into 2015 with a clean slate and optimistic that what ailed them during a disappointing 2014 season has been left in the past where it belongs.
“We have a lot of talent,” general manager Brian Cashman told The Boston Globe's Nick Cafardo. “Like other teams, we have some ifs. If we get good comebacks and our rotation stays healthy, if our team stays healthy, we’re a good team.”
Let's take a look at how things are shaping up.
Offseason Recap
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Key Additions
| RP David Carpenter | 65 G, 6-4, 3.54 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, 9.9 K/9 |
| SP Nathan Eovaldi | 33 GS, 6-14, 4.37 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9, 6.4 K/9 |
| SS Didi Gregorius | 80 G, .226/.290/.363, 20 XBH (6 HR), 27 RBI |
| 1B/OF Garrett Jones | 146 G, .246/.309/.411, 50 XBH (15 HR), 53 RBI |
| RP Andrew Miller | 73 G, 5-5, 2.02 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9, 14.5 K/9 |
| RP Chasen Shreve | 15 G, 0-0, 0.73 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, 10.9 K/9 |
| RP Justin Wilson | 70 G, 3-4, 4.20 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9, 9.2 K/9 |
Minor League Free-Agent Signings with Spring Training Invites
RP Andrew Bailey, SP Scott Baker, SP Jose Campos, IF Cole Figueroa, IF Jonathan Galvez, OF Slade Heathcott, C Juan Graterol, IF Nick Noonan, C Eddy Rodriguez, RP Wilking Rodriguez
Key Losses
| C Francisco Cervelli | 49 G, .301/.370/.432, 14 XBH (2 HR), 13 RBI |
| SP Shane Greene | 15 G (14 GS), 5-4, 3.78 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9, 9.3 K/9 |
| SS Derek Jeter | 145 G, .256/.304/.313, 24 XBH (4 HR), 50 RBI, 10-for-12 SB |
| SP Hiroki Kuroda | 32 GS, 11-9, 3.71 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9, 6.6 K/9 |
| SP Brandon McCarthy | 14 GS, 7-5, 2.89 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9, 8.2 K/9 |
| SP/RP David Phelps | 32 G (17 GS), 5-5, 4.38 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9, 7.3 K/9 |
| IF/OF Martin Prado | 37 G, .316/.336/.541, 16 XBH (7 HR), 16 RBI |
| CL David Robertson | 63 G, 4-5, 3.08 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9, 13.4 K/9, 39-for-44 SV |
| OF Ichiro Suzuki | 143 G, .284/.324/.340, 16 XBH (1 HR), 22 RBI, 15-for-18 SB |
Analysis
Would Jon Lester or Max Scherzer have improved the Yankees chances of getting back into the playoffs after a two-year absence? Absolutely—elite talent like theirs immediately improves a team's odds of success.
Yet signing one of them—or any of the other high-priced talent that was available via free agency this winter—would have merely been a really expensive Band-Aid, ignoring what truly ails the Yankees: a costly, aging, veteran core whose best years are behind them.
That's not to say that newcomers such as Nathan Eovaldi and Didi Gregorius are cornerstone players that the Yankees can build a new core around. The two of them could very well wind up as nothing more than solid complementary pieces.
But the Yankees have needed to get younger, more athletic and, if at all possible, less expensive for years. By focusing his efforts on the trade market instead of free agency, general manager Brian Cashman did just that.
He ignored the rotation for the most part, choosing instead to add a quartet of power arms to the bullpen—which will be on its third closer in as many years—and improved the team's defense on the left side of the infield with Gregorius' arrival and re-signing Chase Headley to play third base.
In fact, the Yankees may not be done making moves—Cuban sensation Yoan Moncada, who is expected to sign with a team at some point this month, remains on their radar.
Could this new strategy—a gamble to be sure—blow up in Cashman's face? Absolutely.
But no matter where the team sits in the standings on Oct. 4, it's a gamble that the team needed to take. After all, it's not as if the decision to spend nearly half-a-billion dollars last winter was a rousing success.
Injury Updates Entering Camp
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SP Ivan Nova
Normally, you'd want a player working his way back from a major injury to listen to what his body is telling him. In Ivan Nova's case, that's a terrible idea.
“I know it’s not time yet," he told the New York Post's Dan Martin earlier this week. "I’m trying not to rush. … I was joking with [pitcher Jose] Ramirez that the way I feel, I can pitch right now. But I've got to understand I have to take it easy.”
Less than 10 months removed from Tommy John surgery, Nova's recovery seems to be on track. He's been throwing from 120 feet, which is usually the last hurdle for a pitcher to get over before stepping back on the mound, and a return to action in June looks like a distinct possibility.
SP CC Sabathia
Coming off a season that saw him make only eight starts before undergoing season-ending knee surgery, nobody—including pitching coach Larry Rothschild—is sure what to expect from CC Sabathia when he arrives at camp, much less during the regular season.
"I really don’t know right now," he told Martin. "He’s coming off the knee [surgery], and that seems to be good. Throwing-wise, the arm is good, so it’s just hard to tell. I know he needs to pitch this spring. Even if it’s [simulated] games. He needs to be on the mound as much as we can do without pushing him into any kind of trauma."
Sabathia has been a shell of his former self over the last two seasons, pitching to a combined 4.87 ERA and 1.39 WHIP while battling myriad injuries.
SP Masahiro Tanaka
While Masahiro Tanaka returned from a partially torn ulnar collateral ligament in his right elbow to make a pair of late-season starts in 2014, there was great concern about how his arm would hold up during an offseason he'd spend thousands of miles away from the team's view.
“Everything, including my elbow, feels great," Tanaka reportedly told a group of local Japanese media after a mid-January workout (h/t The Wall Street Journal). "I’m confident and ready to go.”
Rothschild told Martin that he's not heard anything to make him believe otherwise.
“Until we know different, he’s healthy. I've communicated with him. He’s followed what we set up. So far, he’s felt good.”
That said, the team will certainly take a cautious approach with its 26-year-old ace, perhaps limiting how much he throws on his days off as they try to walk a fine line that allows them to build up his arm strength without putting too much stress on his elbow, which will be a concern throughout the season.
Until he arrives at camp and the Yankees get a chance to see and evaluate him, there's no reason to think that he won't be ready to go on Opening Day.
Coaching Staff Analysis
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Coaching Staff
| Manager | Joe Girardi | 8 |
| Hitting Coach | Jeff Pentland | 0 |
| Asst. Hitting Coach | Alan Cockrell | 0 |
| Pitching Coach | Larry Rothschild | 5 |
| First Base Coach | Tony Pena | 15 |
| Third Base Coach | Joe Espada | 0 |
| Bench Coach | Rob Thomson | 7 |
| Bullpen Coach | Gary Tuck | 1 |
| Bullpen Catcher | Roman Rodriguez | 13 |
If George Steinbrenner was still around and running the Yankees, consecutive Octobers without meaningful baseball being played at Yankee Stadium would have been met with a pink slip for not only manager Joe Girardi, but the bulk of his coaching staff as well.
But the boss is long gone, and the Yankees aren't in a rush to part ways with Girardi, who despite his flaws remains one of the premier managers in baseball.
But the time had come to shake things up, and it was a pair of longtime coaches—hitting coach Kevin Long and first base coach Mick Kelleher—that paid the price.
“We just wanted to make some changes in the staff, which will put us in position to find higher ground as we move forward,” Cashman told the New York Daily News' Mark Feinsand. “Those guys have been assets for us, they’ve helped us and they’re good baseball people.”
At the suggestion of candidates that he was interviewing to replace Long, Cashman went with a two-pronged approach to the hitting coach vacancy. "It’s something I've never done before," he told Martin, "but one man can’t be in all places.”
Jeff Pentland, the team's new hitting coach, will see some familiar faces when he reports to camp.
He was the hitting coach of the Chicago Cubs when Girardi played there and has worked with Rothschild while he was Tony Pena's hitting coach during Pena's short-lived tenure as manager of the Kansas City Royals. Pentland was also Don Mattingly's hitting coach with the Los Angeles Dodgers in 2011.
Cockrell had been hired to serve as a minor league hitting coordinator. But at the urging of Gary Denbo, the Yankees vice president of baseball operations, Cashman ultimately named him Pentland's assistant.
The only other addition to the staff is third-base coach Joe Espada, who held the same position with the Miami Marlins for four years before joining the Yankees as a special assistant to Cashman last season.
“I could’ve put him (Espada) at first, but with his capabilities at third, I felt that putting Joe there would make us better,” Cashman told Anthony McCarron of the New York Daily News. “Now we have two guys at the corners who speak Spanish and English.”
That last point might seem inconsequential, but it certainly can't hurt.
Pena, who had been Girardi's bench coach since 2009, is moving to first base this season, while former third-base coach Rob Thomson will replace Pena on the bench.
As for whether all these changes were ultimately worthwhile, that's something we won't know until the season gets underway.
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Lineup Preview
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Projected Starting Lineup
| LF Brett Gardner | L | 148 G, .256/.327/.422, 50 XBH (17 HR), 58 RBI, 21-for-26 SB |
| 3B Chase Headley | S | **30 G, .262/.371/.398, 14 XBH (6 HR), 17 RBI |
| CF Jacoby Ellsbury | L | 149 G, .271/.328/.419, 48 XBH (16 HR), 70 RBI, 39-for-44 SB |
| C Brian McCann | L | 140 G, .232/.286/.406, 39 XBH (23 HR), 75 RBI |
| RF Carlos Beltran | S | 109 G, .233/.301/.402, 38 XBH (15 HR), 49 RBI |
| 1B Mark Teixeira | S | 123 G, .216/.313/.398, 36 XBH (22 HR), 62 RBI |
| DH Alex Rodriguez | R* | Did not play (suspended) |
| 2B Stephen Drew | L | ***46 G, .150/.219/.271, 11 XBH (3 HR), 15 RBI |
| SS Didi Gregorius | L | ****80 G, .226/.290/.363, 20 XBH (6 HR), 27 RBI |
*Part of a platoon
**Stats with Yankees, began season with the San Diego Padres
***Stats with Yankees, began season with the Boston Red Sox
****Stats with Arizona Diamondbacks
Projected Bench
| C Austin Romine | R | *81 G, .242/.300/.365, 23 XBH (6 HR), 33 RBI |
| 1B/OF Garrett Jones | L | **146 G, .246/.309/.411, 50 XBH (15 HR), 53 RBI |
| IF Brendan Ryan | R | 49 G, .167/.211/.202, 4 XBH (0 HR), 8 RBI |
| OF Chris Young | R | 23 G, .282/.354/.521, 11 XBH (3 HR), 10 RBI |
*Triple-A stats
**Stats with Miami Marlins
Analysis
If the Yankees lineup is to reach its potential and make us forget the group that scored only 633 runs in 2014—the team's lowest output since 1990—Carlos Beltran and Mark Teixeira have to bounce back from miserable, injury-filled campaigns and regain some of their old form.
While it may seem like a stretch to call them the keys to the offense, it's a premise that Cashman agrees with: "Tex is a year removed from the wrist surgery now, and if we get Beltran producing the way he did the year before that, then we should have a strong lineup," he told The Boston Globe's Nick Cafardo.
Beltran, who was limited by a bone spur in his elbow that ultimately required surgery to clean up, told the YES Network last month that his elbow is feeling good—and that he's motivated to leave 2014 in the past where it belongs (h/t NJ.com):
"The strengthening program, you know, we kind of basically did everything. So the range of motion is there. Bending is there. That's the most important part of rehab. Trying to be able to get that range of motion back.
Last year was such a crazy year for me with the injury, trying to play through it. I didn't have the year that I was looking forward to having. This year I just feel like I need to prove myself again.
"
As for Teixeira, whose surgically repaired wrist remained an issue throughout the 2014 season, Cashman told Martin earlier this month at a fundraiser in Connecticut that he's got high expectations for his first baseman:
“I expect Mark to actually pleasantly surprise people and that he still is capable of being what people are used to seeing. I believe you’re going to see the player he was before the injury. And the adjustment period is now in the distant past.”
Expecting a .300 batting average and 40 home runs is unrealistic, but the Yankees would sign up for a Tex that stays healthy, hitting .250 with 25-to-30 home runs and 80-plus RBI in a second.
Chase Headley isn't going to replicate his MVP-caliber numbers from 2012, when he hit .286 with 31 home runs and a National League-leading 115 RBI, but he seemed to rediscover his swing as the season wore down last year.
A full season of Headley and Stephen Drew—who can't possibly be as inept at the plate as he was—will only help to solidify things at the top and bottom of the order.
As for Alex Rodriguez, whatever offense he can provide will be a bonus—provided he can keep his ego in check and not be a massive distraction throughout the year.
Rotation Preview
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Projected Rotation
| Masahiro Tanaka | R | 20 GS, 2.77 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9, 9.3 K/9 |
| CC Sabathia | L | 8 GS, 5.28 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9, 9.4 K/9 |
| Michael Pineda | R | 13 GS, 1.89 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9, 7.0 K/9 |
| Chris Capuano | L | *12 GS, 4.25 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9, 7.5 K/9 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | R | **33 GS, 4.37 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9, 6.4 K/9 |
*Stats with Yankees only; started season with the Boston Red Sox
**Stats with the Miami Marlins
Other Rotation Options
| Ivan Nova | R | 4 GS, 8.27 ERA, 1.84 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9, 5.2 K/9 |
| Bryan Mitchell | R | *23 G (21 GS), 4.37 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9, 8.2 K/9 |
| Jose De Paula | L | *16 G (10 GS), 4.21 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9, 7.2 K/9 |
| Scott Baker | R | **25 G (8 GS), 5.47 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9, 6.1 K/9 |
| Luis Severino | R | *24 GS, 2.47 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, 10.1 K/9 |
| Kyle Davies | R | *26 GS, 3.91 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9, 5.7 K/9 |
| Chase Whitley | R | 24 G (12 GS), 5.23 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9, 7.1 K/9 |
*Minor league stats
**With the Texas Rangers
Analysis
The rotation lost Hiroki Kuroda to Japan and Brandon McCarthy to Los Angeles, leaving the team a bit thin should things suddenly go awry.
Should Masahiro Tanaka hear the fateful pop in his elbow that some believe is an inevitability, things could get ugly quickly, regardless of how much talent the rotation has. You simply don't bounce back from losing your ace.
But if the early reports on his elbow are accurate and he can put the injury behind him, there's no reason to think that he won't build on his stellar rookie campaign. According to The Wall Street Journal's Brad Lefton, the 26-year-old has a short list of things that he wants to accomplish in 2015:
"Among the goals Tanaka had for this coming season were to start 30 or more games, pitch 200 innings, and win 12 more games than he loses."
A healthy Tanaka should be able to hit those marks with minimal difficulty.
Michael Pineda was brilliant when his shoulder let him pitch, but he's thrown less than 125 innings over the past four seasons. Whether his arm can hold up over the course of a full season is a legitimate concern, as is what the Yankees can expect from former ace CC Sabathia.
Sabathia needs to transition from thrower to pitcher, and as Bleacher Report's Zachary D. Rymer recently wrote, it's a transition that the team's former workhorse has shown signs of making and is capable of completing. With his elbow and knee issues behind him, perhaps this is the year it happens.
Nathan Eovaldi is a power arm capable of picking up some of the slack if Sabathia should falter, having tossed a career-high 199 innings in 2014, but he also gave up a MLB-high 223 hits. Only 25 years old, the Yankees will try to tap into the big-time stuff that some believe he's yet to unleash.
Ivan Nova will return from Tommy John surgery at some point, but the Yankees can't count on him for much, and the team's other rotation options are either back-end filler (Scott Baker, Chris Capuano and Kyle Davies) or untested youngsters that probably aren't ready for prime time.
Bullpen Preview
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Projected Bullpen
| Esmil Rogers | R | *18 G, 4.68 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9, 8.3 K/9 |
| Justin Wilson | L | **70 G, 4.20 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9, 9.2 K/9 |
| David Carpenter | R | ***65 G, 3.54 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, 9.9 K/9 |
| Chasen Shreve | L | ***15 G, 0-0, 0.73 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, 10.9 K/9 |
| Andrew Miller | L | ****73 G, 5-5, 2.02 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9, 14.5 K/9 |
| Adam Warren | R | 69 G, 2.97 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9, 8.7 K/9 |
| Dellin Betances | R | 70 G, 1.40 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9, 13.5 K/9 |
*Stats with Yankees, began season with the Toronto Blue Jays
**Stats with the Pittsburgh Pirates
***Stats with the Atlanta Braves
****Stats with the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox
Other Bullpen Options
| Jacob Lindgren | L | *19 G, 2.19 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9, 17.5 K/9 |
| Chris Martin | R | **16 G, 6.89 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9, 8.0 K/9 |
| Danny Burawa | R | *42 G, 4.70 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9, 11.1 K/9 |
| Branden Pinder | L | *29 G, 2.06 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9, 8.5 K/9 |
| Jose Ramirez | R | 8 G, 5.40 ERA, 1.80 ERA, 6.3 BB/9, 9.0 K/9 |
*Minor league stats
**Stats with the Colorado Rockies
Analysis
David Robertson took his talents to Chicago, leaving Dellin Betances, who established himself as baseball's premier setup man last year, to take over the ninth inning. If he's anywhere near as productive as he was in 2014, the Yankees could have a stud closer on their hands.
Free-agent addition Andrew Miller will take over Betances' eighth-inning duties and should be equally as effective as he was for the Orioles and Red Sox a year ago. The Yankees also added a trio of hard-throwing relievers in David Carpenter, Chasen Shreve and Justin Wilson to round things out.
This group has the potential to be as good, if not better, than last year's, which sat tied with Kansas City atop FanGraphs' leaderboards with a 5.9 WAR.
Prospects to Watch
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LHP Jacob Lindgren
A second-round selection in the 2014 MLB draft, Lindgren flew through the Yankees minor league system, reaching Double-A in his first year as a pro. Armed with a mid-90s fastball and a wipeout slider that sits in the low-to-mid 80s, the left-handed reliever struck out 48 batters in only 24.2 innings of work.
His command needs refinement—13 walks in less than 25 innings leaves much to be desired—but he's as close to the majors as any of the team's top minor league arms.
If and when the Yankees need another southpaw in the bullpen this year, Lindgren will be among the first that they call upon.
IF Rob Refsnyder
Originally penciled into the major league lineup as the starting second baseman before Stephen Drew re-signed with the Yankees, Refsnyder has a smart approach at the plate and knows how to work counts to put himself into favorable situations.
He split time between Double-A and Triple-A in only his second full season, hitting .318 with a .387 on-base percentage, 58 extra-base hits (14 HR), 63 RBI and a .884 OPS.
Defensively, he's still a work in progress, but with more reps at second base can develop into an average defender at the position. It's possible, albeit unlikely, that he breaks camp with the club, but he'll make an impact in the big leagues before the season ends.
RHP Luis Severino
The team's top pitching prospect was impressive across three minor league levels in 2014, putting up a combined 2.47 ERA and 1.06 WHIP over a career-high 113 innings of work, walking 27 while fanning 127.
Severino isn't quite as major league ready as some would like to believe, however. He needs to continue developing his secondary pitches—primarily his changeup and slider—to better complement his plus fastball, and he can certainly benefit from more experience against upper-level competition.
He'll start the season back with Double-A Trenton and could be called upon in a pinch if the Yankees find themselves in need of a starter. The more likely scenario is that Severino will make his major league debut in early September after rosters expand.
Breakout Candidates
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SP Nathan Eovaldi
We've already touched on the untapped potential in Eovaldi's right arm, and he's excited to work with pitching coach Larry Rothschild. "We've already begun to work on things," Eovaldi told McCarron. "He's awesome. It's going to be a lot of fun working with him this year."
A power arm in every sense of the term, his former catcher in Miami, Jarrod Saltalamacchia, told Cafardo that he picked up something new toward the end of last season that could make or break his chances of breaking out with the Yankees:
“At the end of the year he figured out how to throw a new pitch that is really going to help him. He throws hard and all of his pitches are hard, so this new pitch will help that out because he’s got a fastball rotation with split action.”
Now with his third team since 2011, it will be fascinating to see how it all plays out.
SS Didi Gregorius
Questions about Didi Gregorius' ability to consistently hit major league pitching are nothing new, and he's certainly not silenced his doubters with a .243/.313/.366 slash line over parts of three seasons in Arizona.
But the Yankees are convinced that Gregorius has only begun to scratch the surface of his potential at the plate, which was certainly part of he reason why they traded for him in the first place.
"We believe that there's more gas in the tank in terms of his development on the offensive side," Cashman told Newsday's David Lennon. "He's not a finished product. It's hard to answer the question about how much he needs to improve to justify or feel comfortable with [the trade]. I want the best player he can possibly be.''
While he's going to be under more pressure and scrutiny than he's ever faced before—it comes with the territory when you're the guy replacing a legendary and beloved figure—he's also going to get consistent playing time without having to look over his shoulder for the first time in his career.
That alone might be enough to get Gregorius over the hump when he's at the plate.
SP Michael Pineda
There's no need for in-depth analysis here: If Pineda can stay healthy, he can become a dominant force on the mound, making his "breakout" half of a season with Seattle in 2010 look like he was merely going through the motions.
It doesn't get much simpler than that.
Position Battle Predictions
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Second Base: Stephen Drew vs. Jose Pirela vs. Robert Refsnyder
The infield is slanted heavily in Drew's favor in this one, and it would take an unholy meltdown for things to level out.
Scratch that—Drew already had his unholy meltdown last year, and the Yankees still decided to pay him $5 million to come back to the Bronx. The team loves his defense and believes his struggles at the plate were a fluke, not a sign that he's completely lost his way.
Pirela and Refsnyder will get their chances to prove they belong this spring, but they'll ultimately get their marching orders to head back to the minor leagues and refine their crafts so that they're ready when the Yankees come calling during the regular season.
Winner: Drew
Backup Catcher: John Ryan Murphy vs. Austin Romine
It wasn't that long ago that Romine was considered the team's catcher of the future, but his bat never quite developed as the Yankees thought it would. Murphy's bat has always been his calling card to the big leagues, but his defense behind the plate—while improved—still lags behind Romine.
Both struggled at the plate in Triple-A last year and posted nearly identical numbers—a .246/.292/.397 slash line over 51 games for Murphy, a .242/.300/.365 slash line for Romine over 81 games.
Ultimately, this decision will come down to something that's out of their control: Murphy still has minor league options remaining, while Romine does not.
Winner: Romine
Unless otherwise noted, all statistics courtesy of Baseball-Reference and FanGraphs.
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