NFL Week 14 Picks: Underdogs You Can Count on to Cover the Spread

Michael MillSenior Analyst IIIDecember 9, 2011

HOUSTON, TX - DECEMBER 04: Quarterback T.J Yates #13 of the Houston Texans tries to rush for a touchdown before being tackled by outside linebacker Mike Peterson #53 of the Atlanta Falcons on December 4, 2011 at Reliant Stadium in Houston, Texas. Texans won 17 to 10. (Photo by Thomas B. Shea/Getty Images)
Thomas B. Shea/Getty Images

As the season gets further and further along, Vegas gets more and more difficult to predict.

At this point in the year they typically have a lot of the spreads right on and difficult to dispute. It makes it really tough to pick out underdogs that may cover those spreads.

However, there still are a few that you should be able to count on.

Here are three underdogs that you can count on to cover the spread this weekend.


Houston Texans (+3)

Explain to me why the Houston Texans are actually listed as underdogs for this weekend's matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals.

Sure, they will be without Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson. That's still not enough of a reason for them to be underdogs.

The Bengals have a great rushing defense, but Ben Tate and Arian Foster will still get the job done. As long as they can put up 14 points, the Texans should walk away with a win.

This Houston team has the top-ranked defense in terms of total yards allowed. They are ranked third against the pass and fourth against the run.

The defense will keep this game close. Foster and Tate give the team the edge.


Kansas City Chiefs (+10.5)

The Kansas City Chiefs are not going to beat the New York Jets this weekend.

However, it's very possible that they can stay within the 10.5-point spread that has been placed on the game.

The Jets have been inconsistent all season.

The defense isn't as good as it has been in years past. The offense can very rarely establish any rhythm.

The Chiefs have shown sparks of brilliance this year, but they often fade.

With Kyle Orton doubtful they will need Palko to step up and play better than he did in last week's win against the Bears.

Like stated previously, they likely won't win, but if the defense continues to play at a high level they can cover the spread.


New York Giants (+3.5)

I'm buying the New York Giants and selling the Dallas Cowboys.

The Giants may be on a crazy downward slide, but they showed just how good they can be last week when they nearly knocked off the undefeated Packers.

This week their opponent is much easier. The Cowboys may be leading the NFC East, but they aren't a very good team.

They have had a cupcake schedule where they nearly blew games against Miami and Washington. They did blow last week against the Cardinals.

The Giants will walk away with the win and control of their destiny in the NFC East.