Maurice Jones-Drew proved his health and quality in Week 1 against the Tennessee Titans. Jones-Drew led the Jaguars to somewhat of an upset victory in the first game of the post-David Garrard era.
Jones-Drew had 24 carries for 97 yards and a touchdown. He was once again the focal point of the Jaguars offense.
It is OK to be the focal point of an offense, but it is not OK to have to completely carry that offense. This week Jones-Drew will have to completely carry the Jaguars offense, even more than he has over the past few years.
The 26-year-old elite fantasy option is going against one of the best run defenses in the league with a dysfunctional passing game. Luke McCown may have had an impressive debut against the Tennessee Titans—17-for-24, 175 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTS—but that won't be repeated against the Jets.
With Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromartie lining up across from Mike Thomas and Jason HIll, McCown has no hope of moving the ball through the air. Marcedes Lewis may be a beast at tight end, but a combination of David Harris, Bart Scott and Jim Leonhard will be able to shut him down.
This leaves Jones-Drew on his own to impose himself on the Jets defense. Imposing yourself on one of the best run defenses in the league is difficult.
Against the Dallas Cowboys, the Jets proved that they were once again looking to be that type of defense. With a strong pass attack last week, the Dallas Cowboys were unable to break Felix Jones free.
Jones averaged 2.6 yards per carry last week. If he even slightly improves on that number, he will have to have 35 carries to be relevant in fantasy. The Jaguars won't be able to give him that many carries, however, because they will be playing catchup football.
Maurice Jones-Drew is an elite NFL running back and great fantasy option. However, this week his production probably won't match that.