Fantasy Football: 10 Guys Who Could Kill Your Season from the Start

By (Correspondent) on August 25, 2011

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JACKSONVILLE, FL - DECEMBER 26:  Maurice Jones-Drew #32 of the Jacksonville Jaguars watches the action during the game against the Washington Redskins at EverBank Field on December 26, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida.  (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

You can't win your fantasy football league on draft day. You could snag that late-round sleeper, but if you don't make the right pickups and start the right guys during the season, you won't win.

You can, however, lose your league on draft day. Spending an early-round pick on someone who ends up being a complete bust can torpedo even the best of teams.   

You will see a lot of big names on this list, but I also included some middle-round guys as well. 

Enjoy, and remember, avoid these guys if possible come draft day. 

Austin Collie

INDIANAPOLIS - JANUARY 24:  Wide receiver Austin Collie #17 of the Indianapolis Colts catches a 46-yard pass in the second quarter over Drew Coleman #30 of the New York Jets during the AFC Championship Game at Lucas Oil Stadium on January 24, 2010 in Indi
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Austin Collie put up nearly identical numbers in his first two seasons, only he played seven less games in 2010 than 2009. 

When Collie played last season, he was unstoppable. Prorate his numbers to a 16-game season and he would have had 103 receptions, 1,153 yards and 14 touchdowns. Those are probably unattainable numbers, but they're still impressive. So why could Collie kill your fantasy season? 

Simple: injuries. He suffered three concussions last season. He simply can't be trusted. If he suffers one more concussion, he is guaranteed to go on injured reserve. I started him in my playoff matchup last season after he came back from his second concussion and was worried sick he would get hurt, and sure enough, he did. Granted, he had two touchdowns before that happened, but the risk still lingers.

Every time he goes over the middle he is at risk of suffering a concussion. You don't want that on your fantasy team.

Michael Turner

JACKSONVILLE, FL - AUGUST 19:  Jeremy Mincey #94 of the Jacksonville Jaguars attempts to tackle Michael Turner #33 of the Atlanta Falcons during a game at EverBank Field on August 19, 2011 in Jacksonville, Florida.  (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

Michael Turner managed to play in all 16 games last season, but played with an injured groin that ultimately required surgery. The 29-year-old running back has now lead the league in carries two of the past three seasons and is coming off a groin surgery.  

Also add in that the Falcons are expected to open up the offense and pass more this season, which would cut into Turner's carries. All of these factors indicate Turner is due for a decline this season.  

He is even riskier in PPR leagues. 

Dwayne Bowe

KANSAS CITY, MO - JANUARY 09:  Wide receiver Dwayne Bowe #82 of the Kansas City Chiefs warms up prior to playing the Baltimore Ravens in their 2011 AFC wild card playoff game at Arrowhead Stadium on January 9, 2011 in Kansas City, Missouri.  (Photo by Dil
Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images

Fantasy football is an impossible game to predict. Part of the reason is that touchdowns are so volatile and thus, impossible to predict. 

Dwayne Bowe scored 15 of them last year. The odds of his replicating that are next to impossible. With second-year tight end Tony Moeaki improving and the addition of Steve Breaston, Bowe will see less red-zone targets.

Also, Charlie Weis is gone as offensive coordinator, and in the playoffs when it was known Weis would be gone, the Ravens kept Bowe completely off of the box score.   

Maurice Jones-Drew

JACKSONVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 21:  Maurice Jones-Drew #32 of the Jacksonville Jaguars is chased down by Matt Roth #53 during a game agaisnt the Cleveland Browns at EverBank Field on November 21, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida.  (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty I
Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

Maurice Jones-Drew has been a regular in fantasy football lineups for the past five years. His reign at the top may be coming to an abrupt end. 

Jones-Drew only managed seven touchdowns last season, untypical for a guy who perennially has double-digit touchdowns. More importantly, he had offseason surgery to correct a bone-on-bone condition in his meniscus. Bone-on-bone is never a phrase you want to hear. 

Add in the fact that the Jaguars have no receivers that defenses have to game-plan against, and the possibility of a rookie taking over at quarterback sometime during the season, and the negatives keep stacking up. 

I'm a huge MJD fan, but even in one of my drafts, I passed him up in the second round. Let someone else gamble on him this season.  

Roy Williams

CHICAGO, IL - AUGUST 13: Roy Williams #11 of the Chicago Bears watches as his teammates take on the Buffalo Bills during a preseason game at Soldier Field on August 13, 2011 in Chicago, Illinois. The Bears defeated the Bills 10-3. (Photo by Jonathan Danie
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

In case you didn't learn your lesson when Roy Williams was with the Cowboys, learn it now before it's too late. 

Changing teams is going to do nothing for Roy Williams. He still can't beat press coverage, create separation from defenders or hold on to the football.

He's a big name and because of that he gets a lot of attention he doesn't deserve. He's already been put on notice by the Bears for reporting to camp out of shape and is in danger of losing the starting job that was given to him. 

Michael Vick

PHILADELPHIA, PA - JANUARY 09:  Michael Vick #7 of the Philadelphia Eagles reacts after a touchdown in the thrid quarter against the Green Bay Packers during the 2011 NFC wild card playoff game at Lincoln Financial Field on January 9, 2011 in Philadelphia
Al Bello/Getty Images

Michael Vick is the ultimate risk/reward player in fantasy football. If he's on his game and stays healthy, he's the best player in fantasy, hands down. That's a enormous "if," though. 

He has only played 16 games once in his career. His running ability, while great fantasy-wise, also lends himself more prone to injuries. While he was dominant last season, he struggled in the last two games he played.

Don't forget that coming into last season, no team expected to see Vick. Now they know he is on the schedule; thus, they will be prepared and throw the kitchen sink at him.   

I'm not hating on Vick. I'm just acknowledging he comes with a ton of question marks. 

Peyton Hillis

CLEVELAND - NOVEMBER 28:  Running back Peyton Hillis #40 of the Cleveland Browns scores a touchdown as he runs from safety Sherrod Martin #23 of the Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns Stadium on November 28, 2010 in Cleveland, Ohio.  (Photo by Matt Sul
Matt Sullivan/Getty Images

Peyton Hillis made a lot of fantasy football owners happy last season. That might be the case this season.

Hillis slowed down big time late last season, failing to cross the goal line in the final five games. Heading into this season, Hillis carries some serious risk. The Browns have a new coaching staff, added Brandon Jackson and still have Montario Hardesty. 

Wearing down last late season casted some serious doubts about whether Hillis can be a feature back. Couple that with a new coaching staff and Hillis could be in line to share more carries than fantasy owners would like.   

Josh Freeman

TAMPA, FL - JULY 29:  Quarterback Josh Freeman #5 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers signs an autograph during the team's first pre-season training camp practice July 29, 2011 at One Buccaneer Place in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)
Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images

Josh Freeman had a remarkable second season. It was an enormous improvement from his rookie season and one no one saw coming. I mean, he raised his passer rating by 36 points. 

Don't get too caught up with his numbers, though, as they're bound to decrease. Tom Brady and Ben Roethlisberger were the only quarterbacks to throw less interceptions than Freeman, and Big Ben only played in 12 games. His 25 touchdowns passes were heavily skewed by a five-touchdown performance against a Swiss cheese Seattle Seahawks secondary. He also failed to throw for over 300 yards in any game.    

I've seen a few guys wait on taking a quarterback and then snag Freeman as their starter. Avoid the temptation and select him as a backup.   

Dez Bryant

ARLINGTON, TX - AUGUST 11:  Dez Bryant #88 of the Dallas Cowboys at Cowboys Stadium on August 11, 2011 in Arlington, Texas.  (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

Dez Bryant has the potential to be one of the best receivers in the game and I believe that will happen, just not this year. 

There are too many heads to feed in Dallas for Dez to become an elite fantasy player—like many owners are drafting him to be. He will get his, but he's the third option in the offense behind Miles Austin and Jason Witten.

You can't discount Felix Jones, who I think is prime to have a monster year, and regardless, will be a factor in the passing game. He will be a starter for your team, just not what you're hoping for based on where you drafted him.    

Daniel Thomas

Daniel-thomas_display_image

You aren't spending as high of a pick to get Thomas as you are with others, but that doesn't mean he can't hurt you. The rookie running back hasn't looked great in camp and isn't impressing anyone with his power.

The Dolphins have basically anointed Reggie Bush their starter and while Bush isn't getting 20-25 touches a game, Thomas won't be getting the ball regularly. Even if Bush were to go down, he would probably split carries with Lex Hilliard.

It can't be a good sign about his progression when the team goes out and signs Larry Johnson.  

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