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In only three games in 2010, Tim Tebow almost earned half the fantasy football points that Kyle Orton made in 13 games. From a fantasy football perspective, if Tebow can stay healthy running the football as much as he does, he could potentially be on the same level as Michael Vick, who led all quarterbacks last season.
However, Tebow needs to start first.
If he isn't starting, Tebow is not worth the risk as a fantasy football player. Tebow starting, however, may not be too far off from what some people think. He doesn't have the accuracy to be the starting quarterback in the NFL yet, but he does have the intangibles. His throwing motion is still a work in progress, but his leadership skills are off the charts. He doesn't always make all his reads, but he has a knack for making a play when it seemed like there was nothing there at all.
One day in the NFL, Tebow will be very special. It may not be this season though.
In John Fox's run-first offense, Tebow might get some looks in the red zone as an H-back or in the Wild Horses formation. In these formations he will get a chance to run the ball and scramble for a touchdown. This would further diminish Kyle Orton's value, and possibly the value of running backs Knowshon Moreno and Willis McGahee.
Last season, Tebow racked up 95 fantasy football points.
This season, I predict Tebow will eclipse the 100-point mark, but will not do much better than that (unless he is named the starter and remains the starter all season; then all bets are off).