Stephen Dunn/Getty Images
If you drafted Ryan Mathews last year, chances were you bought into the rookie hype. I did too, in one league—the luster was too shiny to resist.
This year, he's overvalued again, but you should stay away for different reasons.
First, his legs are an injury concern and they already showed soreness coming into the preseason. It's not a good sign for a player who struggled to stay healthy with ankle issues all of last season.
The big reason, though, is Mike Tolbert. Tolbert is not just a goal-line back; in addition to vulturing plenty of touchdowns, it's been projected that he'll be part of a two-back timeshare.
The coaching staff isn't very pleased with Mathews, and they made that clear by giving Tolbert the start over him in preseason week one. Although Mathews is clearly more talented, they aren't going to anoint him as anything just because of his draft position last year.
That's not what you want if you're drafting Mathews as an RB2 in the third round (ESPN ADP 40.2). Expect a lot of games where he's either injured or receiving 15 touches with no TD's.
He's just not worth the price, and you might even end up getting the less productive player in the backfield anyways.