There are rumors swirling in Philadelphia that the Phillies will land either Carlos Beltran or Hunter Pence. In order to do that, they would likely have to trade youngsters Domonic Brown or Vance Worley. In addition, they may even have to move prospects Cosart and Singleton.
The majority of people are in favor of adding a big right handed bat. Most fans think if the Phillies do not make a move, then they will be in trouble come playoff time. When in reality, the Phillies should not make any major moves that will mortgage the future.
It is not that they should not be thinking about winning now. As a matter of fact, the Phillies should very much think about winning now. However, the young players are necessary in order to do that for the simple reason that they will allow this team to compete for more than just this season.
At the end of this season, the Phillies have to think about resigning Jimmy Rollins, Cole Hamels and Ryan Madson. Plus, they will need to sign bullpen pitchers with Brad Lidge likely out of town, and be in the market for a low-end starting pitcher with Oswalt likely gone. At the end of 2012, there will be more players to sign. As a result, they need to have the money available to make moves in the offseason to remain a contender for the next few seasons.
The best way to do that is to keep Brown and Worley, who are cheap options that can contribute. By keeping Brown and Worley, the Phillies will have two solid contributors making less than a million dollars next season. They have control of these players for the next few years.
Also, Cosart and Singleton may be ready to contribute within the next year or two, and they will be good options as well. I know there is no salary cap in baseball but the Phillies are stretched near their limits in payroll and we already know that.
The other reason the Phillies should not make any major moves is because of who is available. While Carlos Beltran is a very good player, he would be a three-month rental. I do not see the point in mortgaging the future for a guy you will have for three months. There is no chance the Phillies will pony up the money to sign Beltran at the end of the season, so Beltran should not be a target.
Then there is Hunter Pence, who is under contract for more than just this season. If the Phillies do make a move for a bat, he would seem to be the logical choice. The Phillies have traded with Houston before near the deadline (Roy Oswalt) and their general manager, Ed Wade, used to run the Phillies.
Wade is also a huge Domonic Brown fan, so the Phillies might be able to trade Brown for Pence in almost an even swap. The problem with that is Pence makes about seven times more than Brown. The only way I make that deal is if the Astros pick up part of the money on Pence, which I doubt they will do considering he is under control for more than this season.
Other than Pence and Beltran, there are no other major right handed bats that are appealing enough to move a solid prospect for. I do believe the Phillies make a move at the deadline, but I am hoping it is a minor move that does not give away Brown, Worely, Cosart or Singleton.
The Phillies are good enough to win it all with their current team. They have elite pitching and their bats are solid enough that they have the best record in baseball.
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