Philadelphia Phillies: How the Phils Can Have Success in the Second Half

By (Correspondent) on July 11, 2011

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PHILADELPHIA, PA - JULY 09: Starting pitcher Cliff Lee #33 of the Philadelphia Phillies delivers a pitch during the game against the Atlanta Braves at Citizens Bank Park on July 9, 2011 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Drew Hallowell/Getty Images)
Drew Hallowell/Getty Images

With the best record in baseball at the All Star Break, the Phillies have all the momentum heading into the second half of the season.

A great pitching staff and a frustrating, but productive offense have given Philadelphia a 57-34 record and a 3.5 game lead in the NL East.

However, to continue their success in the second half a few more things have to go their way in order to claim their fifth consecutive division title and start a run towards a return trip to the World Series.

Bipolar Offense Needs to Find an Identity

PHILADELPHIA - JULY 10: Left fielder Raul Ibanez #29 of the Philadelphia Phillies bats during a game against the Atlanta Braves at Citizens Bank Park on July 10, 2011 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Phillies won 14-1. (Photo by Hunter Martin/Getty Imag
Hunter Martin/Getty Images

Will the real Raul Ibanez please stand up?

Will Ibanez continue his 6 RBI performance from Sunday or will he revert back to his old ways of looking lost at the plate for extended periods of time?

This question needs to be answered rather soon with the trade deadline only twenty days away.

If Ibanez is starting to find his groove in time for the second half, then the Phillies will finally have a bat behind Howard that can drive in runs on a consistent basis.

If not, Amaro will surely need to be on the phone looking for a right handed option to spell the aging left fielder.

Health in the Bullpen

PHILADELPHIA - JUNE 12: Relief pitcher Ryan Madson #46 of the Philadelphia Phillies throws a pitch during a game against the Chicago Cubs at Citizens Bank Park on June 12, 2011 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Phillies won 4-3. (Photo by Hunter Martin/G
Hunter Martin/Getty Images

Closer Ryan Madson should be back shortly after the break when he completes his rehab assignments.

His return is good timing for a bullpen that is relying on young and inexperienced arms to get the job done over the last two weeks.

Jose Contreras does not look like he will be returning any time soon due to the fact that he is scheduled to visit a surgical specialist.

The X factor in all of this is Brad Lidge.

Lidge is very close to making his 2011 debut and it will be interesting to see what his role will be with this team for the remainder of the season.

Madson is the closer when healthy and Bastardo has nailed down the set up man role.

Where does that leave Lidge other than part time set up man or seventh inning reliever along with rookie Michael Stutes?

Can Lidge be relied upon to fulfill any other role than the one he has become accustomed to over the course of his career?

New Additions

ARLINGTON, TX - JULY 10:  Josh Willingham #16 of the Oakland Athletics at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington on July 10, 2011 in Arlington, Texas.  (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

The most popular name in trade circles concerning the Phillies is Oakland's Josh Willingham.

Willingham is a cheap right handed option that Amaro could take a look at.

However, remember this is Amaro we're dealing with who has become the master of pulling out a deal no one would think would happen.  See Cliff Lee.

Don't be surprised if Amaro goes to the minor league well again to improve the major league club.

Another name that is being circulated is San Diego reliever Heath Bell.

This would be an option if the health of the bullpen does not improve between now and the deadline.

However, Bell is a longshot to be a trade target for the Phillies.

Capitalizing on Series Victories

PHILADELPHIA - JULY 10: Second baseman Chase Utley #26 of the Philadelphia Phillies fields a ground ball during a game against the Atlanta Braves at Citizens Bank Park on July 10, 2011 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Hunter Martin/Getty Images)
Hunter Martin/Getty Images

In order to maintain their lead over the Atlanta Braves, the Phillies need to capitalize on series victories.

The Braves are not going to go away any time soon in the division race.

Despite being up by 3.5 games, the Phillies need to maintain at least a .600 winning percentage over the final 71 games to hold off the streaky Braves. 

With that hypothetical percentage in mind, it would mean that the Phils would need to go 42-29 after the break to reach 99 wins and win their fifth straight division title. 

Its not out of the question that it would take anywhere from 94-99 wins to take the NL East.  The Phillies have the inside track to that mark, but need to maintain a healthy margin above the .500 mark to achieve it.

Keep in mind that this club is usually a second half team, which is a scary thought considering they have already approached 60 wins at the break. 

Intangibles

PHILADELPHIA, PA - JUNE 28: Shane Victorino #8 of the Philadelphia Phillies follows through on a two run home-run during the game against the Boston Red Sox at Citizens Bank Park on June 28, 2011 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Phillies won 5-0. (Photo
Drew Hallowell/Getty Images

If the Phillies find themselves with a comfortable lead at any point in September, the intensity needs to remain in place in order for their success to carry over into October.

I believe that part of their playoff exit against San Francisco can be attributed to clinching the division too early.

I know they swept the Reds in the division series, but it was on the strength of their pitching with minimal impact from their offense as a whole.

This lethargic offense carried over to the Giants series and led to their elimination.

Maybe if they were involved in a division race into the final week of the season, their offense would have still remained in a groove heading into the postseason, where it could have been built upon to combine with their stout pitching staff.

Perhaps, that's what is needed this season for postseason success,

The pitching will be there, its just a matter of whether or not the offense will click when the time comes.

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