Baltimore Orioles

2011 Fantasy Baseball: Luke Scott Is a Sleeper

BALTIMORE - SEPTEMBER 19:  Luke Scott #30 of the Baltimore Orioles is congratulated by Adam Jones #10, Corey Patterson #6, Nick Markakis #21 and other teammates after scoring the game winning run in the eleventh inning against the New York Yankees at Camden Yards on September 19, 2010 in Baltimore, Maryland. The Orioles won the game 4-3. (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images)
Greg Fiume/Getty Images
Brian KilpatrickContributor IIMarch 17, 2011

Why all the hate on Luke Scott?

All of his 2010 stats are in-line with his career numbers, he has improved every year with the Orioles, he finished the 2010 fantasy season with a 115 ranking and he is only 32 years old. 

Yet for some reason, he still holds an ADP of 341 and a Yahoo ranking of 209. 

Let's take a look at what he has done with his time in Baltimore:

BALTIMORE - AUGUST 31:  Luke Scott #30 of the Baltimore Orioles celebrates after hitting a home run in the eighth inning against the Boston Red Sox at Camden Yards on August 31, 2010 in Baltimore, Maryland.  (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images)
Greg Fiume/Getty Images
YearHRBB%ISOOPSwOBABABIPLD%HR/FB
2008239.9%.215.807.343.28017.1%14%
20092510.9%.229.828.355.28317.1%16.7%
20102711.4%.251.902.387.30418.8%18.6%

 

 

 

Every year he has improved while registering no more than 475 AB. Imagine what he would do with 550 AB in an upgraded lineup.

The spike in BABIP is actually in line with his career BABIP (.300) and can be justified by his increased LD percent.

Since Luke Scott is a left-handed hitter, he will be cemented in the five spot, splitting up Baltimore's right-handed hitters.

The middle of the order should look like this:

  • Three: Derrek Lee (R)
  • Four: Vladimir Guerrero (R)
  • Five: Luke Scott (L)
  • Six: Mark Reynolds (R)
  • Seven: Adam Jones (R)

This is great company if you ask me. He should get plenty of RBI opportunities and score plenty of runs.

Luke Scott is a very easy player to manage fantasy-wise. When he is hot, throw him in your UTIL spot and enjoy the ride. When he's cold, spot start him versus right-handers, at home, at night or on grass.

See chart below:

SplitABHRAVGOBPSLGOPS
RHP34720.297.385.550.935
Home22819.338.419.6711.091
Night32220.295.378.550.928
Grass39724.292.369.547.916

 

 

 

 

Luke Scott has always been an undrafted "wait and see" waiver wire type guy. Things will change after this year.

2011 Projection: 520 AB, .277 AVG, 29 HR, 85 RBI, 79 R, 2 SB

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