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At first glance Mike Minor’s fantasy baseball value seems to be more of a risky venture than a wise investment.
Last year’s numbers were no better than average (3-2 with a 5.98 ERA and a 43/11 K/BB ratio in 40.2 IP) and there isn’t even a guarantee he’ll make the roster this spring.
His current ADP is 296.76.
So why draft the guy in the very back of your draft, let alone label him on the verge of a breakout season?
For starters, Mike Minor is expected to win the job for the fifth spot on the roster behind his arsenal of pitches, despite that lack of a guarantee.
What he throws, and how he throws it has been his bread and butter since day one playing for the Rome Braves.
Mike Minor knows how to make batters swing and miss, which is backed by his 163 SO (10.9 K/9) in the minors.
His main pitch is his fastball, which maintained a mid-90 range nearly all season long, while his plus pitch was the change-up, followed by his out pitch or "complement" pitch: the curveball.
He can throw his FB and CU for strikes, but even Mike Minor himself admits he has to work on his third pitch a bit, in order for it to be more effective.
The knock on Minor was his late season bout with fatigue, but to be fair, the bigs are different from the minors so it was to be expected from a rookie.
In addition, it was that late-season fatigue that was said to contribute to that inflated ERA—strangely enough, he still finished with 4:1 strike to ball ratio.
In addition to the aforementioned, Mike Minor’s peripherals were just too good to keep him in the minors for more than two years.
Despite his pedestrian major league numbers from 2010—albeit a bit misleading—there is nothing but upside for a youngster who can throw three very difficult pitches, command the mound with intelligence and provide quality fantasy numbers.
All in all, Mike Minor is a guy whom you will find in the back end of your draft, as well as a guy who you could easily get away spending two or three bucks for in your auction draft.
He’s perfect for mixed leagues, NL-only formats, and especially Dynasty and Keeper leagues.