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2011 Fantasy Projections, No. 14: Why Yankees' Alex Rodriguez Is a Top-15 Pick

ARLINGTON, TX - OCTOBER 22:  Alex Rodriguez #13 of the New York Yankees looks on during batting practice against the Texas Rangers in Game Six of the ALCS during the 2010 MLB Playoffs at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington on October 22, 2010 in Arlington, Texas.  (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)
Stephen Dunn/Getty Images
Nick KappelAnalyst IIIJanuary 23, 2011

Our 2011 fantasy baseball projections will be released one-by-one until the top 100 players have been revealed. These rankings consider past achievements, current performance and expected future results based on standard 5×5 H2H settings.

Alex Rodriguez has a lot working against him heading into 2011. The 35-year-old has missed a total of 87 games over the last three seasons. He’s failed to hit at least 35 HRs in each of the last two seasons, a total he previously maintained for 11 consecutive years dating back to 1998.

A-Roid’s batting average and slugging percentage (and therefore his isolated power as well) have declined progressively over the last four seasons:

Batting Average

  • 2007: .314
  • 2008: .302
  • 2009: .286
  • 2010: .270

Slugging Percentage

  • 2007: .645
  • 2008: .573
  • 2009: .532
  • 2010: .506

Isolated Power

  • 2007: .331
  • 2008: .271
  • 2009: .245
  • 2010: .236

Despite all this, A-Rod has managed to maintain his incredible streak of 13 years with at least 30 HRs and 100 RBI. Given 550 at-bats, the Yankees’ cleanup hitter is likely to extend that streak to 14 years, making him the third-ranked player at the surprisingly thin hot corner position in 2011.

 PARHRRBISBAVG
2010 Stats59574301254.270
Three-Year Average575853210912.286
2011 FBI Forecast630903011510.284

 

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